| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 285k | 74.2¢ | 95.5¢ | $272k | +$60.7k | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 294k | 82.3¢ | 84.5¢ | $248k | +$6,453 | −$9,487 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 816k | 40.1¢ | 15.5¢ | $126k | −$201k | +$682 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 74.1k | 90.5¢ | 98.3¢ | $72.8k | +$5,763 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 50.9k | 88¢ | 90.5¢ | $46.1k | +$1,272 | +$2,747 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 27.2k | 82.7¢ | 95¢ | $25.8k | +$3,331 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 39.2k | 62.6¢ | 49¢ | $19.2k | −$5,355 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 19.0k | 84¢ | 84.5¢ | $16.1k | +$95 | −$2,724 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.7k | 82.2¢ | 75.5¢ | $15.6k | −$1,377 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 58.1k | 19.1¢ | 15.5¢ | $9,009 | −$2,065 | +$26.4k | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 6,560 | 88¢ | 90.5¢ | $5,937 | +$164 | +$1,825 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 36.8k | 37.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $5,341 | −$8,485 | −$2,070 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,117 | 48.4¢ | 62.5¢ | $3,198 | +$719 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,034 | 35.8¢ | 20.5¢ | $1,237 | −$921 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 1,161 | 91¢ | 97.5¢ | $1,131 | +$75 | +$201 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 6,741 | 13¢ | 5¢ | $334 | −$543 | $0 | |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 162 | 65.1¢ | 36¢ | $58 | −$47 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.75M | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$378k | −$21.6k | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Yes | 574k | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37.7k | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 404k | 43.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$177k | −$16.3k | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 327k | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$55.4k | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 324k | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51.2k | −$2,025 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 220k | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,613 | +$11 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 204k | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33.6k | −$349 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 182k | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88.0k | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 137k | 16.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22.7k | +$59.7k | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Yes | 133k | 42.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56.1k | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 100k | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11.6k | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 52.7k | 12.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,584 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 46.6k | 34.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16.1k | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | Yes | 43.5k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$516 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 39.3k | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$629 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 35.0k | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,332 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | Yes | 33.7k | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$286 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 32.3k | 62¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.0k | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 25.8k | 30.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,921 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | Yes | 25.7k | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,317 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 23.7k | 24.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,869 | +$12.6k | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.0k | 48.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,745 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Yes | 16.5k | 33.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,555 | −$11.7k | |
| Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? | No | 13.4k | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$403 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | Yes | 11.0k | 32.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,607 | $0 | |
| Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30? | No | 10.6k | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,786 | $0 | |
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday? | No | 10.0k | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,200 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,949 | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$615 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,013 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,465 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | 5,217 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$626 | +$234 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 5,029 | 15.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$792 | −$753 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 4,650 | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$251 | $0 | |
| US national XRP reserve in 2025? | Yes | 4,066 | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$537 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 3,291 | 54.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,801 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | Yes | 3,023 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$302 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | Yes | 2,544 | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$116 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 2,502 | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$196 | +$1,048 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | Yes | 2,431 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$656 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 2,057 | 65.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,339 | $0 | |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | Yes | 2,051 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$369 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | Yes | 2,045 | 27.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$571 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | Yes | 2,017 | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$197 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 1,758 | 52.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$928 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 1,650 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$990 | −$8,000 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 1,626 | 40.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$656 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | Yes | 1,423 | 8.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$991 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 925 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$167 | −$33 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 787 | 22.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$178 | −$11.5k | |
| Bill Belichick engaged in 2025? | Yes | 460 | 34.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$157 | $0 | |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025? | Yes | 100 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | Yes | 100 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31? | Yes | 15 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.85 | $0 | |
