sharpside
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Traders/Rank #315

tourists

0xc6d…4b9f
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$622kvol $66.7M
PnL 30d+$96.6kgains $79.9k · losses $5,497
PnL 7d+$12.5kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate72.5%adj 71.6% · 30d 84.6%
Open value$392kcash n/a
Positions33 / 835open / all-time
Max drawdown−24.1%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$644kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

77/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale83
Adjusted win rateraw 72.5% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d87
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 33

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo110k90.5¢91.5¢$101k+$1,050$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No76.0k92.3¢95.1¢$72.3k+$2,122+$17.3k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No74.1k92.4¢94.5¢$70.1k+$1,543+$1,735
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes52.8k70.7¢85.7¢$45.2k+$7,897$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No36.1k77.6¢86.5¢$31.2k+$3,192$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes28.7k80¢79.5¢$22.8k−$145−$645
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No10.0k84¢97.5¢$9,750+$1,350$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No8,02396.8¢98.8¢$7,923+$157+$175
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No7,55170¢80.5¢$6,078+$793−$148
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?No4,72289.1¢96¢$4,533+$328$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No4,71487¢90.5¢$4,266+$165$0
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No4,11189.1¢97.8¢$4,019+$354$0
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes3,59487.9¢99.5¢$3,576+$416−$42
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?No2,13785¢88.5¢$1,891+$75$0
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?No1,58089.5¢98¢$1,547+$133$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No3,46580.8¢44¢$1,524−$1,274$0
Anduril IPO before 2027?No1,40087.7¢97.9¢$1,370+$142+$185
Iran Nuke before 2027?No1,26387¢96.5¢$1,219+$119$0
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No1,23675.5¢85¢$1,050+$117$0
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?No44390.3¢94.4¢$418+$18$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes89659.6¢23.5¢$210−$324$0
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No18367.7¢92.5¢$170+$45$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes10,00081¢1.2¢$115−$7,985$0
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No32034¢26.5¢$85−$24$0
Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027?No11788.9¢56¢$66−$39−$5.63
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes14634¢3.4¢$4.96−$45$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No340¢42.5¢$1.06+$0.06$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes552¢12¢$0.60−$2.00$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes80.3k0.9¢0¢$0−$723−$0.13
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes22.1k95.7¢0¢$0−$21.2k−$1,182
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No9,24470.6¢0¢$0−$6,529$0
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes2,40017.1¢0¢$0−$410−$10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes1,39135¢0¢$0−$487$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.6¢10.2k$8,75273%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?99.3¢3,235$3,21273%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?96.7¢3,025$2,92573%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?87¢5$4.3573%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?95¢8,057$7,65473%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.3¢610$51473%77Sharp
SELL YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?87¢7,402$6,44073%77Sharp
SELL YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?88¢679$59773%77Sharp
SELL NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?89¢46$4173%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢1,063$90473%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?88¢9,524$8,38173%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?87¢6,459$5,62073%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?64.6¢449$29073%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63.3¢2,000$1,26673%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63.1¢250$15873%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63.1¢5,604$3,53673%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?57.4¢1,952$1,12073%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?57.2¢1,702$97373%77Sharp
BUY NoWill GameStop acquire eBay?94¢12.6k$11.9k73%77WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?62.7¢5,087$3,19073%77Sharp