| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 814 | 93.2¢ | 92.5¢ | $753 | −$5.72 | $0 | |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12? | Yes | 667 | 30.5¢ | 100¢ | $666 | +$463 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 986 | 64.2¢ | 58.2¢ | $573 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,637 | 32.7¢ | 28.5¢ | $467 | −$69 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 367 | 93.2¢ | 99.2¢ | $364 | +$22 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 216 | 89.4¢ | 85.5¢ | $185 | −$8.34 | $0 | |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 2,236 | 6.5¢ | 7.6¢ | $169 | +$23 | −$5.59 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 180 | 91.9¢ | 86.5¢ | $156 | −$9.73 | +$0.06 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 231 | 59.2¢ | 58.5¢ | $135 | −$1.54 | $0 | |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 383 | 13.2¢ | 34.8¢ | $133 | +$83 | $0 | |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 135 | 88.9¢ | 89.5¢ | $121 | +$0.81 | $0 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 188 | 61.9¢ | 62.5¢ | $117 | +$1.22 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 134 | 53.1¢ | 87.1¢ | $116 | +$45 | +$11 | |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | No | 120 | 94.4¢ | 96.5¢ | $116 | +$2.56 | −$0.84 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 256 | 40¢ | 42.5¢ | $109 | +$6.41 | +$4.94 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 118 | 72¢ | 84¢ | $99 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 112 | 82.9¢ | 86.5¢ | $97 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 124 | 68.3¢ | 74.5¢ | $93 | +$7.65 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 111 | 85.8¢ | 82.5¢ | $92 | −$3.64 | +$5.12 | |
| Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | No | 178 | 59¢ | 50.5¢ | $90 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat? | No | 99 | 85.4¢ | 88¢ | $88 | +$2.59 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 141 | 57¢ | 60.5¢ | $85 | +$4.89 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 204 | 40¢ | 41.5¢ | $85 | +$3.06 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 221 | 27.8¢ | 37.5¢ | $83 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 83 | 91¢ | 98.6¢ | $82 | +$6.31 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 217 | 28.3¢ | 37.5¢ | $81 | +$20 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 95 | 76¢ | 85.5¢ | $81 | +$9.02 | −$1.49 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 80 | 92.8¢ | 95.8¢ | $77 | +$2.33 | −$1.71 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 89 | 78.4¢ | 83.5¢ | $75 | +$4.53 | $0 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 81 | 88¢ | 88.5¢ | $72 | +$0.41 | $0 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 81 | 74.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $72 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 486 | 18.4¢ | 14.8¢ | $72 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 82 | 84.8¢ | 87¢ | $72 | +$1.75 | −$0.23 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 193 | 30.3¢ | 36.5¢ | $70 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? | No | 110 | 64¢ | 60.5¢ | $66 | −$3.84 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 337 | 53.7¢ | 19.5¢ | $66 | −$115 | −$2.66 | |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 71 | 77¢ | 90.5¢ | $65 | +$9.64 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 73 | 66.6¢ | 87.5¢ | $64 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 96 | 63¢ | 64.5¢ | $62 | +$1.44 | $0 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 64 | 94.4¢ | 97¢ | $62 | +$1.62 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 56 | 97.4¢ | 98.2¢ | $55 | +$0.42 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 56 | 87.6¢ | 93.5¢ | $52 | +$3.28 | −$1.49 | |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 72 | 76¢ | 69.5¢ | $50 | −$4.70 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | Yes | 55 | 82¢ | 90.5¢ | $50 | +$4.66 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 90 | 44.5¢ | 53.5¢ | $48 | +$8.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 51 | 94¢ | 94.5¢ | $48 | +$0.25 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 47 | 96.4¢ | 96.7¢ | $46 | +$0.14 | −$0.55 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 56 | 62¢ | 79.5¢ | $45 | +$9.87 | $0 | |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | No | 48 | 84¢ | 88.1¢ | $42 | +$1.95 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 148 | 28¢ | 28¢ | $41 | $0 | $0 | |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 51 | 68¢ | 79.5¢ | $41 | +$5.92 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat? | Yes | 83 | 48.7¢ | 48.5¢ | $40 | −$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | Yes | 63 | 64¢ | 60.5¢ | $38 | −$2.20 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 67 | 45.5¢ | 56.3¢ | $38 | +$7.25 | −$6.79 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65 | 32¢ | 58.5¢ | $38 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-12? | No | 39 | 65¢ | 96.5¢ | $37 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 38 | 93.2¢ | 97.1¢ | $37 | +$1.46 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | Yes | 44 | 58¢ | 81.5¢ | $36 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? | Yes | 40 | 73¢ | 88.5¢ | $35 | +$6.21 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 133 | 30.5¢ | 26.5¢ | $35 | −$5.32 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | Yes | 116 | 34.9¢ | 30.5¢ | $35 | −$5.15 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | No | 64 | 56¢ | 55.5¢ | $35 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? | No | 55 | 56.2¢ | 62¢ | $34 | +$3.15 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 40 | 80.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $34 | +$1.71 | +$0.49 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 32 | 93.8¢ | 95.7¢ | $31 | +$0.59 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 31 | 96¢ | 96¢ | $30 | $0 | −$1.54 | |
| Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | Yes | 294 | 10.2¢ | 10.3¢ | $30 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 41 | 61¢ | 71.5¢ | $29 | +$4.28 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | No | 42 | 59¢ | 67.5¢ | $29 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? | No | 56 | 63¢ | 47.5¢ | $26 | −$8.62 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 28 | 89.4¢ | 91.1¢ | $26 | +$0.48 | $0 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 33 | 73¢ | 72.5¢ | $24 | −$0.17 | −$1.96 | |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? | Yes | 40 | 73¢ | 52.8¢ | $21 | −$8.08 | $0 | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | No | 80 | 25¢ | 24.5¢ | $20 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat? | Yes | 83 | 24¢ | 23.5¢ | $20 | −$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | No | 19 | 89.3¢ | 92.8¢ | $18 | +$0.66 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | 82¢ | 87.5¢ | $18 | +$1.11 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 63 | 32¢ | 27.5¢ | $17 | −$2.81 | −$0.25 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? | Yes | 65 | 31¢ | 26.5¢ | $17 | −$2.90 | $0 | |
| Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 16 | 95.8¢ | 97.2¢ | $16 | +$0.22 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 26 | 58¢ | 58.5¢ | $15 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 16 | 75¢ | 93¢ | $15 | +$2.88 | $0 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 16 | 87¢ | 91.5¢ | $15 | +$0.72 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22 | 57.9¢ | 63.5¢ | $14 | +$1.26 | −$29 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | 56.7¢ | 34.5¢ | $14 | −$8.95 | −$0.94 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 16 | 74¢ | 84¢ | $13 | +$1.60 | $0 | |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? | Yes | 56 | 36¢ | 23.5¢ | $13 | −$6.94 | $0 | |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Yes | 17 | 60¢ | 75¢ | $13 | +$2.54 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 44 | 47.5¢ | 27.7¢ | $12 | −$8.81 | +$4.67 | |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 243 | 18.6¢ | 4.6¢ | $11 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 11 | 88.8¢ | 98.1¢ | $10 | +$0.98 | $0 | |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 12 | 83¢ | 84¢ | $10 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 97.2¢ | 97.4¢ | $10 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 95.4¢ | 96.3¢ | $10 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 11 | 87.9¢ | 87.9¢ | $9.99 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 498 | 1.5¢ | 2¢ | $9.71 | +$2.24 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 8 | 91.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $7.40 | +$0.09 | −$0.11 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 11 | 52.5¢ | 61.5¢ | $6.80 | +$1.00 | +$5.62 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 9 | 77.1¢ | 72.4¢ | $6.53 | −$0.43 | −$305 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 45 | 33¢ | 14.5¢ | $6.47 | −$8.26 | +$4.68 | |