| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 270k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $216k | +$81.4k | +$31 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 270k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $53.6k | −$81.4k | +$81 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 62.1k | 81.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $45.7k | −$4,970 | +$131 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 42.2k | 81.6¢ | 87¢ | $36.7k | +$2,278 | +$2,156 | |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 42.5k | 82.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $31.2k | −$3,849 | +$34 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 32.4k | 87.1¢ | 85.5¢ | $27.7k | −$505 | +$4,477 | |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 29.5k | 87.4¢ | 88¢ | $25.9k | +$184 | +$129 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 27.6k | 83.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $25.5k | +$2,588 | +$1,236 | |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.1k | 55.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $22.5k | +$8,493 | +$5,340 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | No | 33.5k | 81.9¢ | 57.6¢ | $19.3k | −$8,153 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | No | 19.4k | 92.6¢ | 94.1¢ | $18.3k | +$280 | +$52 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 13.0k | 91.2¢ | 90.5¢ | $11.8k | −$88 | +$184 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 13.2k | 48.8¢ | 85.6¢ | $11.3k | +$4,874 | −$959 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 12.0k | 92.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $10.9k | −$240 | +$135 | |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | No | 11.3k | 87.8¢ | 87.3¢ | $9,898 | −$59 | +$52 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | No | 12.0k | 83.5¢ | 82¢ | $9,831 | −$187 | $0 | |
| Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? | Yes | 9,523 | 87.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $8,808 | +$440 | +$85 | |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | No | 8,841 | 79.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $8,355 | +$1,292 | +$174 | |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | No | 8,640 | 93.3¢ | 92¢ | $7,948 | −$114 | +$226 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 8,893 | 88.1¢ | 87.5¢ | $7,781 | −$50 | +$512 | |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 7,080 | 86¢ | 89.5¢ | $6,336 | +$247 | +$2,067 | |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 7,181 | 90.4¢ | 86.5¢ | $6,211 | −$276 | +$92 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 6,000 | 92.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $5,550 | −$26 | +$61 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 9,152 | 72.6¢ | 54.5¢ | $4,988 | −$1,656 | −$5,627 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 6,012 | 84.1¢ | 77.5¢ | $4,659 | −$396 | −$1,646 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 4,719 | 95.7¢ | 95.1¢ | $4,488 | −$30 | −$874 | |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 4,969 | 89.9¢ | 82¢ | $4,074 | −$392 | +$27 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,013 | 64.3¢ | 47.8¢ | $3,830 | −$1,322 | −$1,290 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 6,000 | 65¢ | 63.5¢ | $3,810 | −$90 | $0 | |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | No | 6,419 | 76.5¢ | 58¢ | $3,723 | −$1,188 | +$17 | |
| Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 7,613 | 70.9¢ | 48¢ | $3,654 | −$1,745 | +$1.07 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,000 | 91.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $3,420 | −$240 | +$37 | |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 3,884 | 81.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $3,165 | +$0.58 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 4,000 | 83.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $2,900 | −$440 | $0 | |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 4,950 | 75¢ | 56.5¢ | $2,797 | −$915 | +$5.33 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | No | 2,812 | 91.6¢ | 92.5¢ | $2,601 | +$25 | +$6.14 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | No | 6,596 | 46.9¢ | 37.5¢ | $2,474 | −$622 | +$0.11 | |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,217 | 79.2¢ | 75.5¢ | $2,429 | −$118 | +$4.93 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 3,003 | 79.4¢ | 77¢ | $2,312 | −$71 | −$253 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? | No | 3,000 | 83.6¢ | 75.6¢ | $2,269 | −$239 | +$1.80 | |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,667 | 88.8¢ | 84.5¢ | $2,253 | −$114 | +$11 | |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,826 | 80.9¢ | 78.5¢ | $2,218 | −$67 | −$3.29 | |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? | No | 2,305 | 92.9¢ | 90¢ | $2,075 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | No | 2,345 | 85.6¢ | 86.5¢ | $2,029 | +$22 | +$6.96 | |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 2,350 | 85.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $2,009 | −$8.25 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2,268 | 88.9¢ | 88.5¢ | $2,007 | −$8.20 | +$508 | |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 3,155 | 68.2¢ | 62¢ | $1,956 | −$196 | +$335 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,043 | 95.4¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,951 | +$1.02 | +$143 | |
| Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? | No | 2,465 | 80.8¢ | 79¢ | $1,947 | −$44 | +$0.71 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 2,000 | 92¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,830 | −$10.00 | −$24 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,762 | 50¢ | 48.6¢ | $1,826 | −$55 | +$2.36 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 2,000 | 92.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,810 | −$37 | −$8.33 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 2,000 | 93.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,810 | −$60 | +$325 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 2,000 | 88.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $1,790 | +$20 | +$2.17 | |
| Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,925 | 91.5¢ | 90¢ | $1,732 | −$29 | +$0.38 | |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | Yes | 1,991 | 84.6¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,723 | +$37 | +$144 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | No | 1,950 | 90.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $1,706 | −$58 | +$156 | |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | No | 2,131 | 86¢ | 77¢ | $1,641 | −$191 | −$224 | |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 1,834 | 86¢ | 89.5¢ | $1,641 | +$64 | +$274 | |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? | No | 2,600 | 60.2¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,625 | +$60 | +$3.80 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 80.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $1,590 | −$20 | +$261 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | No | 2,000 | 82¢ | 79¢ | $1,580 | −$60 | +$13 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | No | 2,000 | 79.5¢ | 78.5¢ | $1,570 | −$20 | +$15 | |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | No | 2,000 | 81¢ | 77.5¢ | $1,550 | −$70 | +$40 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 2,000 | 76.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $1,550 | +$20 | +$130 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2,000 | 80.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $1,550 | −$60 | −$55 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 2,000 | 75¢ | 74.5¢ | $1,490 | −$10 | +$286 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 2,000 | 75.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,470 | −$40 | −$1,843 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 2,000 | 73.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,430 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,840 | 77.3¢ | 77.5¢ | $1,426 | +$4.09 | +$3.66 | |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,658 | 85.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,417 | −$6.72 | +$26 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,651 | 81.6¢ | 81.5¢ | $1,346 | −$1.73 | −$489 | |
| Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election? | Yes | 1,600 | 89.6¢ | 83¢ | $1,328 | −$105 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9,631 | 54.4¢ | 13.5¢ | $1,300 | −$3,937 | −$509 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 1,536 | 83.1¢ | 82.5¢ | $1,267 | −$9.72 | +$17 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027? | No | 1,296 | 90¢ | 94.6¢ | $1,226 | +$59 | +$1.78 | |
| Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | No | 1,361 | 91.5¢ | 89¢ | $1,212 | −$34 | −$3.34 | |
| Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? | No | 1,500 | 86.1¢ | 80.7¢ | $1,210 | −$82 | +$5.00 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 2,000 | 58.5¢ | 58.5¢ | $1,170 | +$0.01 | −$154 | |
| Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? | Yes | 1,392 | 84.6¢ | 79.5¢ | $1,107 | −$72 | +$3.35 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 4,000 | 27.3¢ | 27.5¢ | $1,100 | +$6.68 | −$303 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? | No | 1,800 | 76.4¢ | 60.5¢ | $1,089 | −$287 | $0 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1,220 | 88.6¢ | 87.2¢ | $1,064 | −$18 | +$1.17 | |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 1,297 | 80¢ | 80.5¢ | $1,044 | +$6.48 | $0 | |
| Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? | Yes | 1,362 | 78.1¢ | 75.5¢ | $1,028 | −$36 | +$9.57 | |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | No | 1,020 | 93.9¢ | 98.1¢ | $1,001 | +$43 | −$157 | |
| Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31? | No | 1,041 | 95.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $983 | −$6.17 | +$16 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,150 | 90.4¢ | 84.8¢ | $975 | −$65 | −$74 | |
| Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 96.1¢ | 96.2¢ | $962 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | No | 978 | 96.7¢ | 97¢ | $948 | +$2.59 | +$5.46 | |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 1,138 | 79.6¢ | 80.5¢ | $916 | +$9.99 | +$20 | |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | No | 1,009 | 90.4¢ | 89.5¢ | $903 | −$9.50 | −$25 | |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | No | 1,200 | 80.5¢ | 75¢ | $900 | −$66 | $0 | |
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,065 | 85.1¢ | 83.5¢ | $889 | −$17 | +$12 | |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 1,205 | 73¢ | 73.5¢ | $886 | +$6.03 | $0 | |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon? | No | 989 | 89.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $875 | −$9.89 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2,000 | 49.7¢ | 43.7¢ | $874 | −$121 | +$87 | |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 998 | 86.7¢ | 86.5¢ | $863 | −$1.66 | −$46 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 1,004 | 86¢ | 85.5¢ | $858 | −$4.94 | +$252 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 81.9¢ | 82.5¢ | $825 | +$5.63 | −$327 | |
