PnL all-time+$107kvol $9.93M
PnL 30d+$2,782gains $1,886 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,042win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate80.3%adj 79.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$206kcash n/a
Positions6 / 501open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.4%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$119kbelow peak $0Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
77/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale72
Adjusted win rateraw 80.3% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity64
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? · Yesclosed+$27.4kWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? · Yesclosed+$15.7kWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Noopen+$14.0kUS military action against Iran before July? · Yesclosed+$7,443Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? · Noclosed+$6,891
Worst markets
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yesclosed−$27.6kWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? · Yesclosed−$9,657Israel military action against Iran before July? · Noclosed−$5,038Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noclosed−$4,637Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October? · Noclosed−$4,248
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 99.0k | 89.8¢ | 97.8¢ | $96.7k | +$7,883 | +$6,070 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 60.0k | 93.9¢ | 96.4¢ | $57.8k | +$1,530 | +$165 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.0k | 92.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $28.3k | +$646 | +$5.76 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 20.2k | 93.4¢ | 97.5¢ | $19.7k | +$814 | +$428 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 4,000 | 97.2¢ | 97¢ | $3,878 | −$10.00 | +$105 | |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | Yes | 20.0k | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$71 | −$98 |
Recent trades
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