sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,068

justme003

0xcb8…a2e8
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$27.6kvol $3.26M
PnL 30d+$11.0kgains $13.5k · losses $4,188
PnL 7d+$3,280win rate 7d 82.1%
Win rate76.5%adj 75.0% · 30d 87.2%
Open value$207kcash n/a
Positions63 / 404open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$6,462below peak −$8,048Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 76.5% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 63

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes29.2k69.1¢83¢$24.2k+$4,059−$1,107
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No21.0k78.8¢93.5¢$19.6k+$3,082$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes18.4k87.1¢95.6¢$17.6k+$1,552+$103
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes13.9k90.1¢90.5¢$12.6k+$48$0
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No12.7k93.9¢92.5¢$11.7k−$179$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No11.0k75.7¢94.5¢$10.4k+$2,068−$439
Iran leadership change by October 31?No7,97797¢98.3¢$7,837+$102$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No8,20089.4¢88.5¢$7,257−$73$0
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No7,93885.2¢89.5¢$7,104+$341$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No7,30485.3¢95.5¢$6,975+$746$0
US recession by end of 2026?No7,33785.6¢93.5¢$6,860+$579$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No7,06879.5¢95.5¢$6,750+$1,131−$130
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?No5,99994.5¢92.5¢$5,549−$120$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No5,81486.3¢94.5¢$5,495+$479$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,53383.3¢87.3¢$4,830+$222−$617
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No4,38292.7¢95.9¢$4,200+$136−$1,008
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?No4,62592.3¢90.5¢$4,185−$84$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No4,43083.3¢93.5¢$4,142+$452$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No4,51883.6¢91¢$4,111+$335$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No4,04472.9¢93¢$3,761+$812+$649
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes3,58887¢83.5¢$2,996−$126−$40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No3,00097.7¢98.4¢$2,951+$20$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No2,78797¢98.5¢$2,745+$41$0
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes2,64490.1¢85.5¢$2,261−$122$0
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No1,66392.1¢96.6¢$1,607+$75$0
Iran leadership change by November 30?No1,50094¢94.5¢$1,418+$7.50$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,47584¢95.5¢$1,408+$169$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,50066.5¢89.5¢$1,342+$346−$1,744
Iran Nuke before 2027?No1,28192.4¢96.3¢$1,234+$51+$24
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No1,27992¢95.9¢$1,226+$50$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?No1,18187¢94.5¢$1,116+$89$0
New pandemic in 2026?No1,14191.1¢94.5¢$1,079+$38+$8.52
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No1,16690.8¢87¢$1,015−$44$0
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No1,09478.4¢88.5¢$968+$110$0
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No1,06188.9¢91¢$966+$22$0
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Yes1,31254.8¢68.5¢$899+$180$0
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No1,01377¢77.5¢$785+$5.07$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No70786.1¢91¢$644+$35−$46
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No69485¢85¢$590$0$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes68182¢81.5¢$555−$3.41$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No50097.8¢97.4¢$487−$2.00$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No50089¢93.5¢$468+$23−$1,360
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No50083¢78.5¢$392−$22$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No38180.1¢94.5¢$360+$55$0
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No34488¢97¢$334+$31$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No32288¢94.4¢$304+$20$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No31292¢96.1¢$300+$13−$9.90
D4vd released from custody in 2026?No22092¢92.5¢$204+$1.10$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No22672.2¢83.5¢$188+$25$0
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No20091¢91¢$182$0−$1,019
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No15087¢97.7¢$146+$16$0
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No10987¢95¢$103+$8.70$0
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No10087¢98¢$98+$11$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No10090¢89¢$89−$1.00$0
New pandemic before 2028?No6081¢85¢$51+$2.40$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes5593¢91.5¢$50−$0.82$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No5088¢97.8¢$49+$4.88+$43
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No4692¢93.5¢$43+$0.69$0
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No2378¢95¢$22+$3.86$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No595¢94.5¢$4.72−$0.03$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes320.3¢9¢$0.23−$0.29−$16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes1,70126.6¢0¢$0−$453−$698
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-22?Yes1,65078.5¢0¢$0−$1,294−$4.70

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoIran leadership change by November 30?94¢458$43177%42
BUY NoMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?95¢5$4.7577%42
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?91¢500$45577%42
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?97.8¢236$23077%42
BUY NoIsraeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?93.1¢2,000$1,86277%42
SELL YesWill Albania vs. San Marino end in a draw?17.9¢630$11377%42
BUY YesWill Spain win on 2026-10-06?95.8¢2,000$1,91577%42
BUY NoWill San Marino win on 2026-10-06?98¢785$76977%42
SELL YesWill England win on 2026-10-06?99.9¢3,000$2,99777%42
SELL YesWill Albania win on 2026-10-06?67.5¢700$47377%42
SELL YesWill Albania win on 2026-10-06?68¢800$54477%42
BUY YesWill Albania win on 2026-10-06?97.4¢1,500$1,46177%42
BUY YesWill Switzerland win on 2026-10-06?94¢1,500$1,41077%42
BUY YesWill England win on 2026-10-06?94¢1,000$94077%42
BUY YesWill England win on 2026-10-06?94¢3,091$2,90577%42
BUY NoWill North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06?96.3¢1,000$96377%42
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?95¢257$24477%42
BUY NoWill Türkiye win on 2026-10-05?94¢4,985$4,68677%42
BUY NoWill Romania win on 2026-10-05?92¢634$58477%42
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?93¢2,000$1,86077%42