sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,648

xcnstrategy

0xcce…d58b@Demelain2
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$88.2kvol $1.65M
PnL 30d+$517gains $2,795 · losses $12.1k
PnL 7d+$44win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate81.7%adj 79.0% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$127kcash n/a
Positions18 / 231open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.5%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 6d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$103kbelow peak −$2,305Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 81.7% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d79
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May? · Noclosed+$41.3kWill egg prices be more than $6.00 in March? · Yesclosed+$25.5kXi Jinping out in 2025? · Noclosed+$6,498Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August? · Noclosed+$5,925Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July? · Noclosed+$5,637

Worst markets

Fed rate hike in 2026? · Noclosed−$12.1kWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? · Noclosed−$4,676Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? · Noclosed−$4,272Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? · Noclosed−$2,432Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed−$2,070

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No30.0k81¢97.2¢$29.1k+$4,845$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No27.2k86.1¢95.5¢$25.9k+$2,556$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No20.0k85.5¢95.5¢$19.1k+$1,990$0
SBF released from custody in 2026?No10.0k87¢98.5¢$9,845+$1,145$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No10,00087.5¢97.7¢$9,765+$1,015$0
New pandemic in 2026?No9,22987¢94.5¢$8,722+$692$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No8,00091¢98.3¢$7,860+$576$0
China coup attempt before 2027?No6,13190¢96.3¢$5,904+$386$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No5,08389.3¢97.2¢$4,938+$400$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?No2,09689.3¢97.5¢$2,043+$172$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?No1,79990¢97.5¢$1,754+$135$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?No1,04689¢95.9¢$1,004+$72$0
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?No1,29350.8¢57.5¢$743+$86$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?No31188¢96.8¢$301+$27$0
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?No31589¢92¢$290+$9.45$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?No12389¢94.8¢$116+$7.06$0
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–2.00 in April?Yes1,2423.1¢0¢$0−$39−$1.64
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April?No76931¢0¢$0−$238−$7.84

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?89¢315$28082%82Sharp
BUY NoWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?52¢1,085$56482%82Sharp
BUY NoWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?44.7¢208$9382%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?89¢5,000$4,45082%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?89¢5,000$4,45082%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?89¢5,000$4,45082%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?89¢2,000$1,78082%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?89¢3,000$2,67082%82Sharp
SELL YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5¢20.0k$1,00082%82Sharp
SELL NoFed rate hike in 2026?5¢14.5k$72582%82Sharp
SELL NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?95¢115$10982%82Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?82¢3,345$2,74382%82Sharp
BUY NoWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April?31¢733$22782%82Sharp
BUY YesWill a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–2.00 in April?3¢1,142$3482%82Sharp
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?89¢5,000$4,45082%82Sharp
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?93.2¢4,000$3,72682%82Sharp
BUY NoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?91.2¢2,000$1,82482%82Sharp
BUY NoNew pandemic in 2026?87¢700$60982%82Sharp
BUY NoFed rate hike in 2026?85¢4,460$3,79182%82Sharp
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?94.5¢2,232$2,10882%82Sharp