sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,486

Ahpo

0xcdb…276c
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$132kvol $17.6M
PnL 30d+$19.1kgains $25.8k · losses $2,443
PnL 7d+$2,488win rate 7d 91.3%
Win rate91.5%adj 89.9% · 30d 91.3%
Open value$88.0kcash n/a
Positions34 / 3,151open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.3%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$138kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

86/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 91.5% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$21.3kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$8,301US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? · Noclosed+$3,823Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yesclosed+$3,402Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,868

Worst markets

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$21.3kNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$2,894Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$1,220US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? · Yesclosed−$457Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026? · Noclosed−$388

Open positions · 34

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No50.0k50¢92.7¢$46.3k+$21.3k$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No14.1k80¢81.5¢$11.5k+$212$0
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No5,52296.7¢97.2¢$5,367+$29+$160
US recession by end of 2026?No5,01688.5¢93.5¢$4,690+$252+$1,206
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50.0k50¢7.4¢$3,675−$21.3k$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,00083.3¢83.5¢$2,505+$5.00+$936
AI bubble burst in 2026?No1,73382.2¢93.9¢$1,627+$202+$896
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No2,17272.5¢74¢$1,607+$32−$225
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No1,53499.3¢99.4¢$1,524+$0.77+$253
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No1,47097¢97.2¢$1,428+$2.94$0
Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?No1,11693¢94.5¢$1,055+$17$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No1,00096.8¢97.8¢$978+$9.50$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No1,00092.5¢94.5¢$945+$20$0
Databricks IPO before 2027?No84686¢98.2¢$831+$103+$130
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?No78695.9¢98¢$770+$16+$11
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No71894.2¢95.7¢$687+$11+$549
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes1,00076.8¢68¢$680−$88−$143
Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?No32884.9¢83.5¢$274−$4.52+$0.32
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?No52050.7¢47¢$245−$20+$14
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No24495.7¢98.7¢$241+$7.32$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes28888.6¢76.1¢$219−$36$0
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?No15490.4¢98¢$151+$12+$3.57
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No16874.6¢73.5¢$123−$1.87+$5.65
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No11887.8¢99.1¢$117+$13+$4.38
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No13253.3¢64.1¢$85+$14$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?No7096.7¢97.2¢$68+$0.32$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes7088.6¢79.5¢$56−$6.35+$0.44
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?No7571¢69.5¢$52−$1.13+$3.59
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?No4793.9¢98.2¢$46+$2.00$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?No4496¢98.3¢$43+$0.98+$0.15
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?No2482.1¢92.5¢$23+$2.53+$8.97
Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?No3420.8¢49.5¢$17+$9.89$0
Will Markus Allard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?No1493¢96.3¢$13+$0.46$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?No3485¢31.3¢$11−$18−$16

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?97¢30$2992%86Sharp
SELL NoMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?75¢40$3092%86Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?99.9¢300$30092%86Sharp
SELL NoMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?76¢22$1792%86Sharp
SELL NoMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?83¢22$1892%86Sharp
BUY NoFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?97¢50$4992%86Sharp
BUY NoFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?96.9¢467$45392%86Sharp
BUY NoFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?96.8¢525$50892%86Sharp
SELL NoWill the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?52¢932$48592%86Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?97.8¢599$58692%86Sharp
SELL NoWill the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?54¢125$6892%86Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?71.3¢42$3092%86Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 30?90.8¢1,020$92692%86Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?71.8¢4,114$2,95492%86Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?82.7¢921$76292%86Sharp
SELL YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?70.5¢524$36992%86Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?65¢548$35692%86Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 15?63.1¢137$8792%86Sharp
BUY NoFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?97.8¢28$2792%86Sharp
BUY NoFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?97.8¢45$4492%86Sharp