sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,047

graynotebook19

0xcff…673d
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$57.2kvol $5.32M
PnL 30d−$22.8kgains $2,514 · losses $843
PnL 7d−$3,294win rate 7d 36.9%
Win rate36.9%adj 37.5% · 30d 36.9%
Open value$714cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 55,568open / all-time
Max drawdown−72.7%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 59m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$40.7kbelow peak −$106kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 36.9% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity27

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1,0281.6¢0.2¢$2.06−$14$0
Will Brandon Royval be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes3975.2¢0.3¢$1.19−$20$0
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes1,4842¢0.1¢$0.74−$30$0
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,3171.8¢0.1¢$0.66−$22$0
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,3161.8¢0.1¢$0.66−$22$0
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,3161.8¢0.1¢$0.66−$22$0
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,3161.8¢0.1¢$0.66−$22−$1.88
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,3161.8¢0.1¢$0.66−$22$0
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,3161.8¢0.1¢$0.66−$22$0
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.64−$12$0
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.64−$12−$0.01
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.64−$12−$0.01
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.64−$12−$0.01
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.64−$12$0
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.64−$12$0
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes5421.6¢0.1¢$0.54−$7.91−$7.13
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1,0281.6¢0.1¢$0.51−$16$0
Will Nicolás del Caño win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1,0281.6¢0.1¢$0.51−$16$0
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes8402.9¢0.1¢$0.42−$24−$0.03
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes7702.8¢0.1¢$0.39−$21$0
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes7702.8¢0.1¢$0.39−$21$0
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7471.3¢0.1¢$0.37−$9.58$0
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7471.3¢0.1¢$0.37−$9.58$0
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7471.3¢0.1¢$0.37−$9.58$0
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7471.3¢0.1¢$0.37−$9.58$0
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7471.3¢0.1¢$0.37−$9.58$0
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7441.3¢0.1¢$0.37−$9.55−$0.03
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7171.3¢0.1¢$0.36−$9.19$0
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7171.3¢0.1¢$0.36−$9.19$0
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes7111.3¢0.1¢$0.36−$9.11−$0.07
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes70220¢0.1¢$0.35−$140$0
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.32−$13$0
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.32−$13−$0.01
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.32−$13−$0.01
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.32−$13+$0.08
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.32−$13−$0.01
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.32−$13−$0.01
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes6352¢0.1¢$0.32−$13−$0.01
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6331.1¢0.1¢$0.32−$6.73$0
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6321.1¢0.1¢$0.32−$6.72+$0.01
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6141.1¢0.1¢$0.31−$6.58−$0.13
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6141.1¢0.1¢$0.31−$6.58−$0.08
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6141.1¢0.1¢$0.31−$6.58+$0.12
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes5712.9¢0.1¢$0.29−$16$0
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes5492.7¢0.1¢$0.27−$15$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5241.1¢0.1¢$0.26−$5.61+$0.04
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes5193.1¢0.1¢$0.26−$16$0
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4893.1¢0.1¢$0.24−$15$0
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4893.1¢0.1¢$0.24−$15$0
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4893.1¢0.1¢$0.24−$15$0
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4893.1¢0.1¢$0.24−$15$0
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4793.1¢0.1¢$0.24−$15$0
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4793.1¢0.1¢$0.24−$15$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?Yes4786.7¢0.1¢$0.24−$32$0
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4492¢0.1¢$0.22−$8.94−$0.01
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes4352.9¢0.1¢$0.22−$12−$0.03
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4293.1¢0.1¢$0.21−$13$0
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4293.1¢0.1¢$0.21−$13$0
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4293.1¢0.1¢$0.21−$13$0
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4291.1¢0.1¢$0.21−$4.59−$0.13
Will Kyoji Horiguchi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes4045.2¢0.1¢$0.20−$21$0
Will Steve Erceg be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes3975.2¢0.1¢$0.20−$21$0
Will Tatsuro Taira be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes3905.2¢0.1¢$0.19−$20$0
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes13.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$210−$0.26
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes13.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$210−$0.26
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes13.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$210−$0.26
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes13.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$210−$0.26
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes13.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$210−$0.26
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes13.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$210−$0.26
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes13.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$210−$0.26
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes13.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$210−$0.26
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes13.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$210−$0.26
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes13.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$210−$0.26
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes13.9k1.5¢0¢$0−$210−$0.26
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes11.6k1.5¢0¢$0−$176−$0.18
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes7,5263.4¢0¢$0−$259−$0.11
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes7,5263.4¢0¢$0−$259−$0.11
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes7,5263.4¢0¢$0−$259−$0.11
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes7,5263.4¢0¢$0−$259−$0.11
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes7,5263.4¢0¢$0−$259−$0.11
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes6,8063.4¢0¢$0−$234−$0.14
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,5944.3¢0¢$0−$286−$0.14
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,5944.3¢0¢$0−$286−$0.14
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,5944.3¢0¢$0−$286−$0.14
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,5944.3¢0¢$0−$286−$0.14
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,5944.3¢0¢$0−$286−$0.14
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,5944.3¢0¢$0−$286−$0.14
Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,5944.3¢0¢$0−$287+$3.11
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,5944.3¢0¢$0−$286−$0.14
Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,4984.3¢0¢$0−$282−$0.13
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,3784.3¢0¢$0−$277−$0.13
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,3784.3¢0¢$0−$277−$0.13
Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,3784.3¢0¢$0−$277−$0.13
Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,3784.3¢0¢$0−$277−$0.13
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes6,3784.3¢0¢$0−$277+$3.03
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes6,3302¢0¢$0−$127−$0.11
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes6,3302¢0¢$0−$127−$0.11
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes6,3302¢0¢$0−$127−$0.11
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes6,3302¢0¢$0−$127−$0.11
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes6,3302¢0¢$0−$127−$0.11

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?16.5¢1$0.2037%49
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on October 15?99.9¢40$4037%49
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 15?99.9¢10$9.9937%49
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 15?98.9¢7$6.9237%49
BUY NoWill Z.ai be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?99.7¢5$4.9937%49
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on October 15?99.9¢10$9.9937%49
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 15?54.5¢10$5.4537%49
BUY NoWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?12¢10$1.2037%49
SELL YesWill Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?0.1¢2$037%49
SELL YesWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?19¢2$0.3837%49
BUY NoWill Jenna Dewan win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?95¢8$7.6037%49
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?97.5¢40$3937%49
SELL YesWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on November 30, 2026?29¢2$0.5837%49
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 14?55¢5$2.7537%49
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 14?55¢5$2.7537%49
BUY NoWill MC win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?89.9¢10$8.9937%49
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 14?55¢10$5.5037%49
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 14?66.7¢10$6.6737%49
BUY NoWill there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?99.5¢10$9.9537%49
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?78¢40$3137%49