sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,020

pantomime

0xd03…2532
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$199kvol $24.2M
PnL 30d+$53.0kgains $92.5k · losses $36.7k
PnL 7d+$24.5kwin rate 7d 62.5%
Win rate52.4%adj 52.3% · 30d 59.5%
Open value$131kcash n/a
Positions24 / 2,763open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.3%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$208kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 52.4% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No35.0k99.3¢99.5¢$34.8k+$70$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo35.0k92¢91.5¢$32.0k−$175$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No22.0k87¢94.5¢$20.8k+$1,648$0
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No12.9k89¢94.5¢$12.1k+$707$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No16.0k63¢65.5¢$10.5k+$400$0
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?No4,00092¢96.9¢$3,874+$194$0
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?No4,00086¢93.2¢$3,728+$288$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes12.1k27¢27.5¢$3,328+$61+$101
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No5,94937¢54.5¢$3,242+$1,041$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No5,14961.7¢61.5¢$3,167−$12−$35
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No1,20678.6¢93.1¢$1,122+$174+$9.82
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes1,02857¢71.5¢$735+$149$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes5,00030¢9.5¢$475−$1,025$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?No3,23511.5¢13.5¢$437+$65$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,18335.6¢36.5¢$432+$10+$10.5k
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?Yes1,46411.7¢12.5¢$183+$11$0
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes19637¢55.5¢$109+$36$0
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1,41524.9¢6.8¢$96−$257$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No6384¢95.1¢$60+$6.99+$188
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4,1610.2¢0.9¢$35+$27$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes10721¢22.5¢$24+$1.61+$103
Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes11621.4¢11.5¢$13−$12$0
Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes1939.7¢6.7¢$13−$5.77$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes2536¢26.5¢$6.63−$2.38$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?73¢629$45952%69
BUY NoWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54¢225$12252%69
BUY NoWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?72¢12.2k$8,78852%69
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?56¢10.2k$5,69252%69
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?24¢20$4.9252%69
SELL YesWill Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?9¢12$1.0952%69
SELL NoWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?96.7¢3,000$2,90152%69
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?35¢20.0k$7,00052%69
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?11.7¢1,464$17252%69
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?11.5¢3,235$37152%69
BUY NoWill Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?89¢12.9k$11.4k52%69Whale
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?62¢110$6852%69
SELL YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?77¢1,491$1,14852%69
BUY BuccaneersVikings vs. Buccaneers48¢10.0k$4,80052%69
BUY ChargersChargers vs. Bills25¢1,167$29252%69
SELL NoWill the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?21.7¢9,542$2,07152%69
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?33¢80$2652%69
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?34¢11.6k$3,94352%69
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?35¢10.4k$3,63252%69
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House27¢20.4k$5,51952%69