PnL all-time+$9,485vol $237k
PnL 30d−$2,820gains $0.50 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$42win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.4%adj 77.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$5,033cash n/a
Positions7 / 177open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 21d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$779below peak −$5,140Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 80.4% · shrunk toward 50%93
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d28
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Noclosed+$1,076US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Yesclosed+$840Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yesclosed+$768Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? · Noclosed+$645Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Noclosed+$640
Worst markets
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yesclosed−$2,290Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? · Noclosed−$1,353Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yesclosed−$817Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? · Noclosed−$518Nothing Ever Happens: March · Somethingclosed−$357
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | No | 3,000 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $3,000 | +$90 | −$3.49 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 83¢ | 94¢ | $940 | +$110 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 813 | 73.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $777 | +$180 | $0 | |
| Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 261 | 93.3¢ | 98.4¢ | $257 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 300 | 68.1¢ | 12.5¢ | $37 | −$167 | $0 | |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | No | 150 | 82.8¢ | 10.1¢ | $15 | −$109 | $0 | |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,000 | 1.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $7.50 | −$43 | $0 |
Recent trades
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