sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,041

commeowder

0xd06…d4a6
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+OtherPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$195kvol $12.1M
PnL 30d+$1,413gains $1,280 · losses $0.66
PnL 7d−$1,036win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate76.1%adj 75.0% · 30d 83.9%
Open value$84.2kcash n/a
Positions300 / 1,735open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.2%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 9m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$195kbelow peak −$1,275Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

84/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 76.1% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Yesclosed+$7,155Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? · Noclosed+$4,865Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? · Noclosed+$3,775Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? · Noclosed+$3,287Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? · Noclosed+$2,569

Worst markets

US recession in 2025? · Noclosed−$2,529Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yesopen−$2,092Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Noopen−$1,507Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? · Noclosed−$1,455Will Pump.fun dip to $0.003 before August? · Noopen−$1,336

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No57.9k93.1¢90.5¢$52.4k−$1,507$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No3,50693.5¢95.7¢$3,354+$74+$40
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?No2,92995.4¢98.4¢$2,882+$89$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?No2,25391.4¢97.8¢$2,204+$145+$5.76
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No2,10895.2¢98.1¢$2,067+$61$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?No2,05884.1¢96.7¢$1,990+$258+$15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?No1,81993.9¢97.6¢$1,774+$67−$2.00
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No1,99589¢88.5¢$1,766−$9.97−$1.95
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?No1,33796¢98.5¢$1,317+$33$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?No1,12490¢97.6¢$1,096+$85+$6.77
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?No1,14192.4¢95¢$1,084+$30+$38
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?No1,07093.5¢98.2¢$1,050+$51+$31
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?No1,06394¢97.6¢$1,037+$38+$5.49
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?No1,11479.4¢91.5¢$1,019+$135$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?No1,08087.9¢90.5¢$977+$28$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?No87393¢96.9¢$846+$34$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in October?No83495.2¢79.7¢$664−$129$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?No1,00055¢62.5¢$625+$75+$90
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?No63494.4¢96¢$609+$9.88$0
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No50094¢97.5¢$488+$18+$240
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?No1,03836.1¢39¢$405+$30+$21
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?No43791.6¢88¢$384−$16$0
Ebola pandemic in 2026?No37690¢98.2¢$369+$30+$469
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?No32391¢93.5¢$302+$8.08+$3.63
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?No33180.3¢91¢$301+$36$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?No39543.6¢70.5¢$278+$106$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?No29291¢92.5¢$270+$4.38−$2.05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?No32088.8¢82.6¢$265−$20+$1.16
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% before 2027?No30871¢85¢$262+$43$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?No38333.6¢65¢$249+$120$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?No25890¢90.5¢$233+$1.29$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in October?No27693¢76.3¢$210−$46$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?No89914.6¢20.3¢$182+$51+$82
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?No22173¢80¢$177+$15$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October?No20090¢76.1¢$152−$28$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No13395.4¢97.6¢$130+$2.80$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in October?No13488.7¢92¢$124+$4.40$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?No11194¢94.1¢$104+$0.04+$0.39
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?No10184.2¢89.5¢$90+$5.36$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No9193.3¢97.7¢$89+$3.97−$8.64
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?No8594¢98.1¢$83+$3.42+$5.41
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?No10073¢64¢$64−$9.00$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?No5081¢85.5¢$43+$2.25$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?No3195.2¢96.1¢$30+$0.28+$6.13
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?No3996¢75.9¢$30−$7.86$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?No5059¢58¢$29−$0.50$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No2096¢97.4¢$20+$0.26+$35
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?No2066¢69.5¢$14+$0.70$0
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No1096.9¢99.7¢$9.96+$0.28$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No1094¢98¢$9.93+$0.40−$2.10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No1096.2¢96.8¢$9.68+$0.06$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in October?No1165¢79.5¢$9.09+$1.66$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No595.8¢98¢$5.21+$0.12$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?No569¢67.5¢$3.38−$0.07$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?Yes507.1¢6.5¢$3.22−$0.30$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?Yes207.2¢8¢$1.60+$0.15$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes105.5¢9.5¢$0.95+$0.40$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Yes205.7¢2.7¢$0.54−$0.61$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Yes222¢2¢$0.42$0$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes57¢7.5¢$0.38+$0.03$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?Yes100.6¢2.4¢$0.24+$0.18+$4.35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?Yes55¢4.5¢$0.23−$0.03$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Yes54.7¢4.4¢$0.22−$0.02+$4.46
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Yes54¢2.6¢$0.13−$0.07$0
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes51¢1.9¢$0.09+$0.04+$11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes51¢1.8¢$0.09+$0.04$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Yes51.2¢1.3¢$0.07+$0.01$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 15 2026?Yes5,0050.1¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes4,19024¢0¢$0−$1,004$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of June 15 2026?Yes3,1330.1¢0¢$0−$3.18−$0.01
USDT depeg in 2025?Yes3,0008¢0¢$0−$240$0
US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?Yes2,80213.5¢0¢$0−$378$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes2,34665.9¢0¢$0−$1,547−$545
Will Tesla dip to $308 in November?Yes2,0002¢0¢$0−$40$0
US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?Yes1,5308.3¢0¢$0−$127$0
Will Solana dip to $170 in September?Yes1,4925.7¢0¢$0−$85+$30
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?Yes1,4472.7¢0¢$0−$39+$1.49
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.003 before August?No1,38380.2¢0¢$0−$1,110−$227
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?Yes1,1009.9¢0¢$0−$109$0
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?No95478.5¢0¢$0−$749−$312
Will NVIDIA reach $224 in November?Yes95411.5¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $180?No92015.3¢0¢$0−$141−$1.20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No89287.6¢0¢$0−$782−$3.84
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?No78114.2¢0¢$0−$111+$51
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of November 10 above $230?No7785.4¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $122 end of November?Yes51710.4¢0¢$0−$54$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of July 13 2026?Yes5169¢0¢$0−$46+$19
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?Yes48311.9¢0¢$0−$58+$5.05
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of June 29 2026?Yes4444.7¢0¢$0−$21−$2.45
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 10 above $1,120?Yes39665.5¢0¢$0−$259$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 10 above $560?Yes3603.2¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $120 end of November?Yes31512.3¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will Palantir reach $264 in November?Yes3102¢0¢$0−$6.35$0
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of November?Yes3103¢0¢$0−$9.43$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?No28433.9¢0¢$0−$96−$4.19
Anthropic IPO in 2025?Yes2684.6¢0¢$0−$12−$4.50
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of November?No26661¢0¢$0−$162$0
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.004 before August?No25790.3¢0¢$0−$232−$156
Will Google dip to $235 in November?Yes2503¢0¢$0−$7.50−$0.50
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $550B by July 31?No22920.9¢0¢$0−$48−$1.51

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October?87.7¢135$11976%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?84.2¢101$8576%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?95¢10$9.5076%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in October?92¢61$5676%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in October?86¢73$6376%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in October?96¢5$4.9476%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?96¢179$17276%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?93.8¢374$35176%84Sharp
SELL YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?95.5¢1,500$1,43376%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?91.6¢437$40076%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?79.4¢1,113$88376%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?80.3¢331$26676%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?33.6¢383$12976%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% before 2027?71¢308$21976%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?43.6¢395$17276%84Sharp
SELL YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?95.9¢1,064$1,02076%84Sharp
SELL NoWill the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?19¢611$11676%84Sharp
SELL NoWill the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?70¢174$12276%84Sharp
SELL NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?19¢621$11876%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?22.5¢107$2476%84Sharp