sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,174

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0xd0d…d6db
Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,857vol $1.72M
PnL 30d−$3,963gains $3,112 · losses $4,688
PnL 7d−$945win rate 7d 30.8%
Win rate57.9%adj 57.5% · 30d 53.1%
Open value$5,178cash n/a
Positions21 / 382open / all-time
Max drawdown−57.6%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,912below peak −$6,587Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 57.9% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity42

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No3,52222.7¢19.5¢$687−$111−$24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes3,70319.8¢16.5¢$611−$121−$52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes2,88616.4¢16.5¢$476+$3.84−$15
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Yes4,39926.4¢10¢$440−$721−$12
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Yes5,2137.2¢8¢$417+$40+$103
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes61169.3¢67¢$409−$14+$2.10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes5,7039.2¢6.5¢$371−$156−$377
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?Yes1,59921¢18¢$288−$48$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes9,3566.3¢3.1¢$285−$307−$21
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?No1,84117.8¢14.5¢$267−$60−$34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes1,96713.1¢10.5¢$207−$52+$301
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No4,8623.9¢2.8¢$136−$52−$17
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes3,3126.6¢3.8¢$124−$94+$5.47
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes1,71010.5¢6.5¢$111−$68$0
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?No12.9k1.2¢0.9¢$110−$50−$2.77
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes2,1928.9¢4.5¢$99−$97$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes23225.1¢28.5¢$66+$7.87+$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes3,9112.2¢1.2¢$45−$41$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Yes4004.1¢4.5¢$18+$1.40$0
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes5349.9¢11.5¢$6.11−$20$0
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes2004¢2.6¢$5.20−$2.80$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?19¢193$3758%59
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?2.2¢463$1058%59
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?2.3¢1,248$2958%59
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?2.5¢2,941$7458%59
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?2.6¢210$5.4658%59
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?17¢578$9858%59
BUY NoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?0.7¢152$1.0658%59
SELL NoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?1.1¢361$3.9758%59
SELL NoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?1.2¢149$1.7858%59
SELL YesWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?10¢143$1458%59
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?17¢328$5658%59
BUY NoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?21¢1,328$27958%59
SELL NoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?6¢277$1758%59
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?93¢1,014$94358%59
BUY YesWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?19¢88$1758%59
BUY YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?18¢126$2358%59
BUY YesWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?19¢95$1858%59
BUY YesWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?4.1¢400$1658%59
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢1,014$95458%59
SELL YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?16¢1,771$28358%59