| US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 19.0k | 93.3¢ | 96.5¢ | $18.3k | +$614 | +$335 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 11.0k | 84.4¢ | 83.5¢ | $9,198 | −$99 | +$71 | |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 8,735 | 94.8¢ | 96.1¢ | $8,390 | +$106 | +$365 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 8,000 | 93¢ | 95.5¢ | $7,640 | +$200 | +$196 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 7,808 | 92.1¢ | 96.4¢ | $7,526 | +$332 | +$132 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 7,015 | 91.6¢ | 96.7¢ | $6,780 | +$355 | +$49 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 6,359 | 92.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $5,946 | +$88 | +$23 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | 6,088 | 94¢ | 96.7¢ | $5,884 | +$161 | +$1.07 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 6,350 | 89.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $5,747 | +$74 | +$15 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,990 | 88.1¢ | 80¢ | $5,592 | −$565 | +$144 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 5,607 | 94.6¢ | 95.9¢ | $5,375 | +$73 | +$14 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 5,350 | 98.2¢ | 98.9¢ | $5,288 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 5,500 | 90.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $5,252 | +$258 | +$21 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,000 | 90.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,525 | −$2.48 | +$58 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 4,396 | 90.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $4,198 | +$205 | +$7.02 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 4,025 | 92.1¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,643 | −$63 | +$190 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 3,620 | 94.6¢ | 95.5¢ | $3,457 | +$33 | +$127 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,526 | 94.6¢ | 95.5¢ | $3,367 | +$32 | +$213 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,491 | 94.2¢ | 93.5¢ | $3,264 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,300 | 92.2¢ | 91¢ | $3,003 | −$39 | +$45 | |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,000 | 93¢ | 95.3¢ | $2,857 | +$68 | +$279 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,945 | 93.6¢ | 94.6¢ | $2,786 | +$28 | +$50 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,795 | 93.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $2,641 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,500 | 93.3¢ | 86.5¢ | $2,163 | −$171 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | No | 2,126 | 98.8¢ | 98.9¢ | $2,102 | +$0.89 | $0 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 2,123 | 94¢ | 96.6¢ | $2,051 | +$56 | +$14 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1,500 | 96.5¢ | 97¢ | $1,454 | +$6.75 | +$415 | |
| Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,442 | 91.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,363 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | No | 1,400 | 95.7¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,347 | +$6.44 | +$22 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 93.7¢ | 96.2¢ | $961 | +$24 | +$62 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 1,014 | 95¢ | 94.5¢ | $958 | −$4.93 | +$7.63 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 94.4¢ | 95.7¢ | $957 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 89¢ | 88.5¢ | $885 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | No | 835 | 86.7¢ | 95.5¢ | $797 | +$74 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 750 | 90.1¢ | 96.7¢ | $725 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 768 | 88.3¢ | 92.2¢ | $708 | +$30 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 568 | 89.1¢ | 94¢ | $533 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | No | 500 | 96.5¢ | 99.3¢ | $496 | +$14 | +$1.03 | |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 511 | 93.9¢ | 96.5¢ | $493 | +$13 | $0 | |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 500 | 78¢ | 96.7¢ | $484 | +$94 | $0 | |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | No | 500 | 89¢ | 96.3¢ | $482 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? | No | 500 | 93¢ | 92.5¢ | $463 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 500 | 89¢ | 92.4¢ | $462 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | No | 460 | 91.6¢ | 95.3¢ | $438 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | No | 500 | 89.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $433 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 450 | 91.4¢ | 95.6¢ | $430 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 424 | 98.6¢ | 99.1¢ | $420 | +$2.07 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 416 | 96¢ | 96.4¢ | $400 | +$1.45 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 94.5¢ | 98.4¢ | $394 | +$15 | +$1.05 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 300 | 93¢ | 95.9¢ | $288 | +$8.55 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | No | 300 | 93.6¢ | 93.6¢ | $281 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | No | 287 | 94.8¢ | 95¢ | $272 | +$0.30 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 300 | 78.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $257 | +$20 | +$13 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 300 | 72¢ | 84.5¢ | $254 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | 250 | 97¢ | 97.8¢ | $245 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | 89.2¢ | 97¢ | $242 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | 95¢ | 96.6¢ | $242 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | No | 250 | 97¢ | 96.4¢ | $241 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 250 | 92.5¢ | 96.3¢ | $241 | +$9.50 | $0 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $239 | +$8.75 | $0 | |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 250 | 83¢ | 95¢ | $238 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 250 | 93.5¢ | 94.6¢ | $236 | +$2.62 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | 87.9¢ | 92¢ | $230 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 250 | 90¢ | 87.5¢ | $219 | −$6.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | 209 | 96.5¢ | 97.3¢ | $203 | +$1.57 | $0 | |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 200 | 97.3¢ | 98.2¢ | $196 | +$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 445 | 68.6¢ | 42¢ | $187 | −$118 | $0 | |
| Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | No | 200 | 96.3¢ | 92.3¢ | $185 | −$8.10 | $0 | |
| Don Lemon sentenced to prison? | No | 187 | 93.7¢ | 95.2¢ | $178 | +$2.72 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 200 | 86¢ | 89¢ | $178 | +$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 200 | 88.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $163 | −$15 | +$6.67 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 143 | 96.5¢ | 97¢ | $138 | +$0.65 | +$723 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 150 | 64¢ | 88.5¢ | $133 | +$37 | +$10 | |
| Meta announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 148 | 94.7¢ | 84.2¢ | $125 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 111 | 92.2¢ | 98.9¢ | $110 | +$7.37 | +$14 | |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? | No | 111 | 99.1¢ | 98.8¢ | $110 | −$0.39 | $0 | |
| Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 108 | 96.5¢ | 96.8¢ | $104 | +$0.27 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 109 | 80¢ | 95¢ | $104 | +$16 | $0 | |
| SpaceXAI announces a full training pause in 2026? | No | 109 | 90.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $103 | +$4.64 | +$2.13 | |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31? | No | 100 | 98¢ | 98.1¢ | $98 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 100 | 96¢ | 97.8¢ | $98 | +$1.75 | $0 | |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 96¢ | 96.7¢ | $97 | +$0.65 | $0 | |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? | No | 100 | 95.2¢ | 95.6¢ | $96 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | 95¢ | 94.4¢ | $94 | −$0.65 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 94.2¢ | 94.1¢ | $94 | −$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 150 | 72.9¢ | 59.8¢ | $90 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | No | 100 | 81.4¢ | 83.7¢ | $84 | +$2.30 | $0 | |
| Will Alabama Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? | No | 100 | 90¢ | 83¢ | $83 | −$7.00 | $0 | |
| Iran invades Kuwait by December 31? | No | 71 | 93¢ | 97.4¢ | $69 | +$3.12 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 88 | 75¢ | 78¢ | $69 | +$2.64 | $0 | |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 69 | 89¢ | 96.6¢ | $66 | +$5.22 | +$2.66 | |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | Yes | 200 | 34¢ | 28.5¢ | $57 | −$11 | $0 | |
| OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026? | No | 55 | 88¢ | 91.5¢ | $51 | +$1.94 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 50 | 87¢ | 99.3¢ | $50 | +$6.15 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 50 | 97¢ | 99.1¢ | $50 | +$1.05 | $0 | |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 55 | 82.1¢ | 89.5¢ | $49 | +$4.07 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 63 | 78¢ | 76.5¢ | $48 | −$0.94 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve the twin prime conjecture in 2026? | No | 50 | 91¢ | 91.5¢ | $46 | +$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 40 | 93¢ | 97.9¢ | $39 | +$1.94 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 40 | 93¢ | 96.9¢ | $38 | +$1.52 | $0 | |
