sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,665

l3t0

0xd14…a8ad
PnL 10k+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.5kvol $697k
PnL 30d−$3,180gains $1,677 · losses $6,239
PnL 7d−$925win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate47.6%adj 48.0% · 30d 18.2%
Open value$51.4kcash n/a
Positions31 / 134open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.4%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$12.5kbelow peak −$3,232Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 47.6% · shrunk toward 50%20
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity1

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes12.2k60.6¢62.5¢$7,625+$233$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No9,05084.7¢83.5¢$7,557−$107+$1,007
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes14.8k43.3¢41.3¢$6,105−$297$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes6,80559.2¢69¢$4,695+$664$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes6,30069.3¢70.5¢$4,441+$78$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes5,16578.3¢76.5¢$3,951−$91+$88
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes7,58529.9¢42.5¢$3,224+$957−$10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No3,60084¢84.5¢$3,042+$18$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes6,20029¢38.5¢$2,387+$589$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes3,70064¢62.5¢$2,313−$56$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00042¢44.5¢$2,225+$125$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No4,00039¢37.5¢$1,500−$60$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No99587¢89.5¢$891+$25$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,60039¢13.5¢$351−$663$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No47664.4¢69.5¢$331+$24$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes44566¢73.5¢$327+$33$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No27091¢97.4¢$263+$17$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3008¢18¢$54+$30$0
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes20220.5¢25¢$50+$9.10$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4005¢5.1¢$20+$0.20$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5002.3¢3¢$15+$3.50$0
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes2200.9¢6.3¢$14+$12$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes8001.3¢1.3¢$10−$0.40$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4001.8¢2.1¢$8.20+$1.00$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes10010¢3.3¢$3.25−$6.75$0
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5001¢0.4¢$1.75−$3.25$0
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2001.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$2.10$0
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,1761.7¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,1111.8¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes1,00052.3¢0¢$0−$523$0
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes8808.4¢0¢$0−$74$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢2,850$2,39448%42
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?84¢229$19348%42
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?66¢18$1248%42
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?18.9¢8,100$1,53248%42
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?43.9¢1,435$63048%42
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?39¢1,773$69248%42
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?42¢5,000$2,10048%42
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?29¢6,200$1,79848%42
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?60¢2,277$1,36648%42
SELL YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?82¢10$8.2048%42
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?59¢489$28848%42
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢1,200$1,02048%42
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?58¢2,000$1,16048%42
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?57¢342$19548%42
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?91.8¢5,000$4,58848%42
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?41¢1,449$59448%42
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?76¢458$34848%42
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?39¢4,300$1,67748%42
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?74¢1,300$96248%42
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?79¢343$27148%42