sharpside
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Traders/Rank #117

Kickstand7

0xd1a…08d5
WhalePnL 1M+PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1.48Mvol $68.9M
PnL 30d−$1,333gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$710win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate61.6%adj 61.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$401kcash n/a
Positions67 / 1,322open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.7%of equity peak
Account age3.9ylast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1.47Mbelow peak −$2,807Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale88
Adjusted win rateraw 61.6% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 67

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No376k50¢80.2¢$301k+$113k$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes376k50¢19.9¢$74.6k−$113k$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes20.5k34.9¢96¢$19.7k+$12.5k+$231
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No21.2k21¢9.5¢$2,016−$2,432−$47
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes15.9k20.7¢9.5¢$1,506−$1,775−$43
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No1,29847.8¢85.5¢$1,110+$490$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No61950¢51.5¢$318+$8.97$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes61950¢48.6¢$300−$8.97$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No2380¢96.6¢$22+$3.82$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1021.2¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.11+$52
Texans vs. PatriotsTexans50.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$50$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes47.5k22.7¢0¢$0−$10.8k+$5,843
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes40.9k13.6¢0¢$0−$5,573$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes32.1k39.6¢0¢$0−$12.7k−$4.10
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No31.5k64.6¢0¢$0−$20.4k$0
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?Yes28.0k4¢0¢$0−$1,117$0
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?Yes26.4k5¢0¢$0−$1,318+$391
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No23.9k3.5¢0¢$0−$837+$210
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes23.6k13.6¢0¢$0−$3,222−$292
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? No22.7k43.8¢0¢$0−$9,934−$1,536
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?Yes18.1k11¢0¢$0−$1,995+$78
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes14.4k39.5¢0¢$0−$5,697+$59
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes11.0k1.8¢0¢$0−$199−$1.15
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?Yes10.3k41.9¢0¢$0−$4,329−$397
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes9,0021.1¢0¢$0−$100−$44
Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?Yes6,2618.2¢0¢$0−$514−$13
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?Yes5,6800.2¢0¢$0−$11−$0.35
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?No5,2765.2¢0¢$0−$277+$39
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes5,0001¢0¢$0−$50$0
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy Ruffy 3,32359¢0¢$0−$1,960$0
Any Texas House Democrats arrested by August 19?Yes2,9966.4¢0¢$0−$192$0
Dodgers vs. Blue JaysDodgers2,8180.5¢0¢$0−$14−$2.92
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?Yes2,72650.7¢0¢$0−$1,383+$113
Bills vs. PatriotsPatriots2,50027¢0¢$0−$675$0
Vikings vs. BrownsBrowns2,39738¢0¢$0−$911$0
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No1,7902.3¢0¢$0−$41−$213
Boxing – Salt Papi vs. Tony FergusonSalt Papi1,74678.2¢0¢$0−$1,365$0
Fed rate cut by December meeting?No1,42020.3¢0¢$0−$289+$3.61
Will Jim Harbaugh be fired by February 28?Yes1,3995¢0¢$0−$70−$30
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No1,31614.3¢0¢$0−$188$0
Dern vs. JandirobaJandiroba1,25044¢0¢$0−$550$0
Bonfim vs. PadillaBonfim1,10351¢0¢$0−$563$0
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico Pico 1,00059¢0¢$0−$590$0
Eagles vs. ChiefsChiefs1,00047¢0¢$0−$470$0
Dvalishvili vs. SandhagenSandhagen1,0002¢0¢$0−$20$0
Tigers vs. MarinersTigers1,00048¢0¢$0−$480$0
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?No1,0000.5¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
TCU vs. North CarolinaNorth Carolina1,00039¢0¢$0−$390$0
Packers vs. BroncosPackers1,00035¢0¢$0−$350$0
Rams vs. EaglesRams1,00044¢0¢$0−$440$0
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Raptors98550.8¢0¢$0−$500$0
Spread: Thunder (-24.5)Jazz98549.8¢0¢$0−$490$0
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes94115.6¢0¢$0−$147$0
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9-12%?Yes9060.3¢0¢$0−$2.74$0
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes77316.3¢0¢$0−$126$0
Luigi Mangione mistrial?Yes65513.4¢0¢$0−$88$0
Will the Texas House vote on HB 4 by August 19?Yes3846¢0¢$0−$23$0
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Yes34531¢0¢$0−$107$0
Will Trump resign today?Yes2700.1¢0¢$0−$0.27+$183k
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?Yes25038.8¢0¢$0−$97+$317
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?No2240.5¢0¢$0−$1.12$0
MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes1913.4¢0¢$0−$6.48+$162
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No11516¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No4326¢0¢$0−$11−$736
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes406¢0¢$0−$2.40−$947
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes1532.4¢0¢$0−$4.87−$133
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)Joaquin Buckley1255¢0¢$0−$6.36$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?7¢54$3.7662%63
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?7¢40.9k$2,86662%63
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?7¢58.7k$4,11162%63
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?89¢64.4k$57.3k62%63Whale
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?89¢98.5k$87.7k62%63Whale
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?88¢44.1k$38.8k62%63Whale
SELL NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?63.6¢5,000$3,17962%63
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?63¢7,993$5,03562%63
SELL YesWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?21.8¢6,050$1,31962%63
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?65.9¢251$16562%63
BUY YesWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?0.6¢25$0.1562%63
BUY YesWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?2¢29$0.5862%63
SELL YesWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?1.4¢16.9k$23562%63
BUY YesWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?2¢374$7.4862%63
BUY YesWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?1.7¢24$0.4162%63
BUY YesWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?1.3¢2,291$3062%63
SELL NoWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?47.9¢5,000$2,39562%63
BUY YesWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?1.8¢408$7.3562%63
BUY YesWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?1.6¢45$0.7262%63
BUY YesWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?1.9¢257$4.8862%63