PnL all-time+$220vol $11.4k
PnL 30d+$29gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$3.14win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate90.9%adj 64.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,650cash n/a
Positions7 / 18open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$333below peak −$3.70Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale33
Adjusted win rateraw 90.9% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable42
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 811 | 92¢ | 97¢ | $786 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 450 | 87¢ | 97.9¢ | $441 | +$49 | +$1.50 | |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 209 | 95.9¢ | 97.5¢ | $203 | +$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | No | 125 | 80¢ | 93¢ | $116 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 114 | 88¢ | 91.5¢ | $104 | +$3.98 | $0 | |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | Yes | 23 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address? | Yes | 21 | 93.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 |
Recent trades
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