| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 40.0k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $32.1k | +$12.1k | $0 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 18.5k | 89.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $17.3k | +$751 | +$1,254 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 16.3k | 87.7¢ | 87.3¢ | $14.2k | −$77 | +$9.83 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40.0k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $7,940 | −$12.1k | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 6,071 | 99.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $6,049 | +$21 | +$16 | |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 4,520 | 97.2¢ | 98.3¢ | $4,441 | +$47 | −$160 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 27.5k | 30.2¢ | 15.5¢ | $4,266 | −$4,036 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 3,681 | 60.2¢ | 82.5¢ | $3,037 | +$821 | +$173 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 3,000 | 73¢ | 77.5¢ | $2,325 | +$135 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5,228 | 28¢ | 41.3¢ | $2,159 | +$695 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 2,502 | 75.7¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,839 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2,075 | 73¢ | 87.5¢ | $1,814 | +$300 | $0 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 6,324 | 21¢ | 20¢ | $1,265 | −$63 | −$98 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,500 | 74¢ | 75.5¢ | $1,133 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 961 | 44.2¢ | 75¢ | $721 | +$296 | +$181 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 104k | 1.2¢ | 0.7¢ | $674 | −$562 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 65¢ | 63.5¢ | $635 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 628 | 74¢ | 86.5¢ | $543 | +$79 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 502 | 74.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $475 | +$99 | +$21 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,000 | 29¢ | 22.5¢ | $450 | −$130 | $0 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,000 | 29¢ | 21.5¢ | $430 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Yes | 3,000 | 14¢ | 14.1¢ | $423 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 500 | 74.5¢ | 71.3¢ | $356 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 1,867 | 26.4¢ | 18.5¢ | $345 | −$147 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 1,208 | 61.8¢ | 24.5¢ | $296 | −$450 | −$35 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 488 | 33¢ | 58.5¢ | $285 | +$124 | $0 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $284 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 303 | 80.6¢ | 93.4¢ | $283 | +$39 | +$8.39 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 457 | 25¢ | 60¢ | $274 | +$160 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 500 | 54¢ | 54.5¢ | $272 | +$2.50 | −$23 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 300 | 74.3¢ | 85.7¢ | $257 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,000 | 13¢ | 12.5¢ | $250 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 300 | 75¢ | 82¢ | $246 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 4,544 | 9.2¢ | 4.9¢ | $223 | −$194 | +$2,093 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 35¢ | 42.5¢ | $213 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 3,056 | 5.1¢ | 6.5¢ | $197 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 200 | 81¢ | 77.5¢ | $155 | −$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? | No | 71 | 84¢ | 90.5¢ | $64 | +$4.62 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 213 | 62.6¢ | 23.5¢ | $50 | −$83 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 50 | 90.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $46 | +$1.20 | −$1,630 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 55 | 58.9¢ | 57.8¢ | $32 | −$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 183 | 6¢ | 9.5¢ | $17 | +$6.40 | +$9,982 | |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 128 | 26¢ | 8.5¢ | $11 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 307 | 2.2¢ | 0.5¢ | $1.69 | −$5.02 | $0 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 15 | 26.4¢ | 8.1¢ | $1.22 | −$2.76 | $0 | |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | 7¢ | 3.5¢ | $1.03 | −$1.06 | $0 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 19 | 4.2¢ | 4.1¢ | $0.76 | −$0.02 | +$759 | |
| Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 40 | 1¢ | 1.7¢ | $0.66 | +$0.26 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | No | 100 | 7¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.50 | −$6.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 958k | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,130 | −$888 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 163k | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,660 | +$2,579 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 107k | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,554 | −$113 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 107k | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,472 | −$104 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 107k | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$618 | +$458 | |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | 75.0k | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18.8k | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | 75.0k | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18.8k | $0 | |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | Yes | 60.0k | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15.0k | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | Yes | 60.0k | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15.0k | $0 | |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | Yes | 60.0k | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15.0k | $0 | |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | Yes | 60.0k | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15.0k | $0 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16.0k | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$266 | +$4,153 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | Down | 13.2k | 7.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$966 | −$738 | |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | Conor McGregor | 10.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.99 | −$0.50 | |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | Canada | 8,052 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.05 | +$3,363 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 7,321 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,024 | −$1,650 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5,727 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | +$3,908 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 5,300 | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$303 | −$78 | |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde? | Yes | 5,000 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde? | Yes | 5,000 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Cabo Verde? | Yes | 5,000 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde? | Yes | 5,000 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde? | Yes | 5,000 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | $0 | |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.30 | |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde? | Yes | 5,000 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco? | No | 4,500 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.50 | +$748 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 10? | Yes | 3,900 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.80 | +$0.30 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11? | Yes | 3,200 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | +$9.69 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,707 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$460 | $0 | |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | France | 2,500 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.50 | +$7,687 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 2,317 | 22.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$520 | −$20 | |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? | No | 2,231 | 26.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$590 | +$786 | |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31? | No | 1,562 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.56 | +$998 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 1,099 | 55.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$614 | −$560 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | Yes | 1,034 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,000 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | +$1.70 | |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | No | 855 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.02 | +$736 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 802 | 75.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$608 | −$1.33 | |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | Yes | 779 | 47.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$373 | −$2.30 | |
| Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 519 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.11 | −$4.20 | |
| World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium? | No | 510 | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | −$0.36 | |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? | No | 500 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | No | 500 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | +$518 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Down | 500 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | Yes | 500 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$0.41 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 500 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$190 | $0 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Yes | 499 | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | +$13 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? | Yes | 485 | 15.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026? | No | 470 | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | −$1.40 | |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100? | No | 453 | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.58 | |
