| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 20.0k | 50¢ | 77.9¢ | $15.6k | +$5,570 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,400 | 85.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,887 | +$266 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 5,000 | 88¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,525 | +$125 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20.0k | 50¢ | 22.2¢ | $4,430 | −$5,570 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 4,957 | 62.2¢ | 67.5¢ | $3,346 | +$263 | +$56 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 5,440 | 58.2¢ | 59.5¢ | $3,237 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 20.2k | 23.9¢ | 14.5¢ | $2,932 | −$1,906 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 3,842 | 70.3¢ | 74.5¢ | $2,863 | +$163 | +$64 | |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,923 | 87.9¢ | 96.7¢ | $2,827 | +$256 | $0 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 4,320 | 45.8¢ | 45.5¢ | $1,965 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 2,054 | 49.7¢ | 94.2¢ | $1,934 | +$912 | +$863 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,795 | 26.8¢ | 25.5¢ | $1,223 | −$61 | +$80 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,271 | 65¢ | 95.8¢ | $1,217 | +$391 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 1,471 | 68¢ | 75.5¢ | $1,111 | +$111 | +$42 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,893 | 55.3¢ | 19.5¢ | $954 | −$1,752 | +$793 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 3,605 | 26.6¢ | 24.5¢ | $883 | −$74 | $0 | |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 1,149 | 65.6¢ | 76.5¢ | $879 | +$125 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,200 | 71.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $870 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | No | 910 | 57.2¢ | 94¢ | $855 | +$335 | $0 | |
| Will Congress override any veto in 2026? | No | 874 | 78¢ | 94.3¢ | $825 | +$143 | $0 | |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter release an album in 2026? | No | 901 | 78.8¢ | 86.5¢ | $779 | +$70 | +$53 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 5,006 | 26.4¢ | 14.5¢ | $726 | −$595 | $0 | |
| Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | Yes | 810 | 88¢ | 86.5¢ | $701 | −$12 | +$6.10 | |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | No | 803 | 52.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $686 | +$261 | $0 | |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | No | 707 | 60.8¢ | 90¢ | $637 | +$206 | +$22 | |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | Yes | 2,100 | 40.8¢ | 28.5¢ | $599 | −$257 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 597 | 91¢ | 98.7¢ | $589 | +$46 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 833 | 60¢ | 68.5¢ | $571 | +$71 | $0 | |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 568 | 72.4¢ | 98¢ | $556 | +$145 | +$89 | |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 640 | 52.3¢ | 84¢ | $538 | +$203 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 1,000 | 35¢ | 53.5¢ | $535 | +$185 | +$230 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 944 | 47.3¢ | 53.5¢ | $505 | +$59 | $0 | |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 3,249 | 24¢ | 15.5¢ | $504 | −$278 | −$43 | |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | No | 600 | 65¢ | 78.5¢ | $471 | +$81 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 500 | 67.2¢ | 93.9¢ | $469 | +$133 | $0 | |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? | No | 632 | 53¢ | 73¢ | $462 | +$126 | $0 | |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 1,865 | 30.2¢ | 23.5¢ | $438 | −$126 | +$534 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,000 | 37¢ | 43.5¢ | $435 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | No | 432 | 97¢ | 98.4¢ | $425 | +$6.00 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 2,400 | 25.7¢ | 16.5¢ | $396 | −$222 | $0 | |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 400 | 89¢ | 96.2¢ | $385 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Chase Infiniti rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? | No | 400 | 78¢ | 90.5¢ | $362 | +$50 | $0 | |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 400 | 77¢ | 90¢ | $360 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | Yes | 2,048 | 16.7¢ | 16.1¢ | $330 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7,000 | 8¢ | 4.7¢ | $325 | −$234 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? | No | 800 | 55¢ | 35¢ | $280 | −$160 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,800 | 19¢ | 15.5¢ | $279 | −$63 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | No | 385 | 65¢ | 66.5¢ | $256 | +$5.77 | $0 | |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 736 | 42.9¢ | 32.5¢ | $239 | −$77 | $0 | |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 669 | 44.4¢ | 35.5¢ | $238 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes | 2,200 | 15¢ | 10.5¢ | $231 | −$99 | $0 | |
| Deel IPO before 2027? | No | 200 | 31¢ | 99.6¢ | $199 | +$137 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 200 | 82¢ | 99.3¢ | $199 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $303,000 on December 31? | No | 209 | 71.6¢ | 91¢ | $191 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,500 | 66¢ | 12.5¢ | $187 | −$802 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 201 | 24¢ | 93¢ | $187 | +$139 | $0 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Yes | 776 | 48.5¢ | 24.1¢ | $187 | −$190 | $0 | |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | No | 200 | 66¢ | 89.5¢ | $179 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 70¢ | 58.5¢ | $176 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Wagner Moura rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? | No | 195 | 65¢ | 89¢ | $174 | +$47 | +$0.37 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 646 | 60.2¢ | 26.5¢ | $171 | −$218 | −$210 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 210 | 55¢ | 80¢ | $168 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 172 | 52.1¢ | 96.5¢ | $166 | +$76 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 200 | 40¢ | 82.5¢ | $165 | +$85 | $0 | |
| Will skuba have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026? | No | 150 | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | $150 | +$15 | $0 | |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 150 | 52¢ | 96.1¢ | $144 | +$66 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 200 | 50¢ | 51.6¢ | $103 | +$3.10 | +$4.05 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 4,329 | 3.4¢ | 2.3¢ | $97 | −$50 | −$74 | |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? | No | 100 | 78¢ | 96¢ | $96 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 1,400 | 21.7¢ | 6.5¢ | $91 | −$213 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | Yes | 250 | 20¢ | 35.9¢ | $90 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | No | 101 | 17¢ | 87¢ | $88 | +$71 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 1,500 | 6¢ | 5.5¢ | $83 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | Yes | 579 | 64.1¢ | 13.5¢ | $78 | −$293 | +$1.61 | |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 123 | 44¢ | 63.7¢ | $78 | +$24 | +$58 | |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | No | 81 | 89.1¢ | 96.7¢ | $78 | +$6.05 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 592 | 50¢ | 12.5¢ | $74 | −$222 | $0 | |
| Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | Yes | 188 | 48¢ | 38.5¢ | $72 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | No | 72 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $72 | +$2.13 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1,152 | 19¢ | 6.1¢ | $70 | −$149 | +$35 | |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | No | 71 | 73¢ | 96.9¢ | $69 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 400 | 34¢ | 15.5¢ | $62 | −$74 | $0 | |
| Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | No | 118 | 58¢ | 50.5¢ | $60 | −$8.86 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | No | 584 | 22¢ | 9.5¢ | $56 | −$73 | $0 | |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 21.7k | 1.6¢ | 0.3¢ | $54 | −$282 | $0 | |
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | No | 53 | 80¢ | 97.3¢ | $51 | +$9.14 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 81 | 59¢ | 56.5¢ | $46 | −$2.02 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 500 | 40¢ | 8.5¢ | $43 | −$158 | $0 | |
| Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 1,327 | 4¢ | 3.2¢ | $42 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 172 | 58¢ | 24.5¢ | $42 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 177 | 20¢ | 23.5¢ | $42 | +$6.20 | $0 | |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 465 | 2.8¢ | 8.9¢ | $41 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | No | 261 | 28.5¢ | 15.5¢ | $40 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 440 | 10¢ | 8.5¢ | $37 | −$6.60 | $0 | |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31? | No | 121 | 65¢ | 22.5¢ | $27 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? | No | 166 | 12.9¢ | 14.5¢ | $24 | +$2.65 | +$39 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,313 | 37¢ | 1.8¢ | $24 | −$462 | −$216 | |
| Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 157 | 21¢ | 14.5¢ | $23 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,147 | 10.1¢ | 1.8¢ | $20 | −$96 | $0 | |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? | Yes | 19 | 59¢ | 92.5¢ | $17 | +$6.25 | $0 | |
