PnL all-time+$12.2kvol $230k
PnL 30d+$3,051gains $2,200 · losses $89
PnL 7d+$2,340win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate58.6%adj 55.1% · 30d 84.6%
Open value$11.3kcash n/a
Positions1 / 33open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.3%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 9h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$12.6kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 58.6% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026? · Noclosed+$11.1kUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yesopen+$850Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? · Yesclosed+$589Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$539Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$415
Worst markets
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$1,552US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? · Yesclosed−$249Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$89US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$70Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 8, 2026? · Yesclosed−$7.07
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 14.6k | 72.3¢ | 77.5¢ | $11.3k | +$764 | +$86 |
Recent trades
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