sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,571

0xd71…3b85

0xd71…3b85
WeatherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,810vol $2.88M
PnL 30d−$61.2kgains $945 · losses $1,027
PnL 7d+$8,957win rate 7d 47.6%
Win rate47.6%adj 48.2% · 30d 47.6%
Open value$3,578cash n/a
Positions283 / 48,720open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 33s ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$26.8kbelow peak −$37.4kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 47.6% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?No25691.6¢95.6¢$245+$9.98$0
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes20497.6¢98.5¢$201+$1.70$0
Will Ukraine win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?No17977.9¢97.3¢$174+$35+$109
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes1504¢95.6¢$143+$137+$5.53
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No25447.3¢51.5¢$131+$11+$258
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 10?No10099.4¢100¢$100+$0.54−$109
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes36414.3¢23.6¢$86+$34+$20
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No6799.3¢98.2¢$65−$0.73−$1.00
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No6796.9¢97.9¢$65+$0.64−$0.77
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No6797.8¢96.9¢$65−$0.58−$0.52
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No6793.9¢94¢$63+$0.09+$3.40
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No6788¢88¢$59−$0.03+$2.19
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No6788.2¢88¢$59−$0.16+$6.12
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No6784.9¢86¢$57+$0.76+$6.56
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on October 10?No4999.8¢99.8¢$49$0−$12
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 10?No4999.8¢99.8¢$49−$0.01−$12
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?No4896.7¢96.5¢$47−$0.11−$218
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 10?No4495.9¢96.4¢$43+$0.20−$11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?No5765.8¢74¢$42+$4.69−$7.79
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 10?No4980.3¢83.7¢$41+$1.65−$10
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.8¢99.9¢$38+$0.03−$36
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.9¢99.9¢$38$0−$36
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.8¢99.7¢$38−$0.05−$36
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.8¢99.7¢$38−$0.06−$36
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.8¢99.6¢$38−$0.09−$36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.3¢99.5¢$38+$0.06−$36
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.6¢99.5¢$38−$0.03−$36
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.4¢99.5¢$38$0−$36
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.7¢99.4¢$38−$0.13−$36
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.5¢99.3¢$38−$0.08−$36
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.7¢99.1¢$38−$0.21−$36
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.3¢99¢$38−$0.14−$36
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.2¢99¢$38−$0.08−$35
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?No3898.9¢98.9¢$38−$0.01−$35
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?No3899.7¢98.8¢$37−$0.35−$36
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 10?No4478.4¢82¢$36+$1.61−$5.53
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?No3892.1¢95.1¢$36+$1.14−$28
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 10?No3599.9¢100¢$35+$0.02−$110
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No3399.9¢99.6¢$33−$0.12−$16
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No3393.3¢99¢$33+$1.89−$15
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No3399.9¢98.9¢$33−$0.33−$16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes441.8¢71.6¢$32+$31+$108
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No3399.9¢95.1¢$31−$1.61−$16
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No6740.9¢44.5¢$30+$2.39+$124
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?No6146.1¢47.5¢$29+$0.83+$271
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No3375.5¢82.5¢$27+$2.32−$8.47
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?No2898.7¢97.4¢$27−$0.37−$35
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?No3186.9¢82.2¢$25−$1.44−$34
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No4647.6¢52.5¢$24+$2.29−$0.47
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No3865.6¢60.5¢$23−$1.92−$12
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?No3580.3¢56.5¢$20−$8.38−$26
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes2566.1¢7.7¢$20+$3.97$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?No1999.3¢98¢$18−$0.24−$36
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?No1877.1¢99.6¢$18+$3.99+$170
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?No1892.9¢95.3¢$17+$0.44+$19
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?No2081.1¢84¢$16+$0.57+$17
Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No1699.9¢99.9¢$16−$0.01−$1.34
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?No4444.1¢34¢$15−$4.47+$2.26
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes524¢28.5¢$15+$13+$22
Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?Yes2914.3¢47.6¢$14+$9.65+$39
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 4 - 3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1399.7¢99.6¢$13−$0.02$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 2 - 5 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1399.8¢99.6¢$13−$0.03$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 3 - 4 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1399.7¢99.6¢$13−$0.02$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 5 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1399.7¢99.5¢$13−$0.03$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 5 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1399.7¢99.5¢$13−$0.03$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 4 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1399.5¢99.5¢$13−$0.01$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 4 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1399.5¢99.3¢$13−$0.03$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 4 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1399.3¢99.2¢$13−$0.02$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 2 - 4 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1399.2¢99.1¢$13−$0.02$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 4 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1399¢98.8¢$13−$0.03$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 3 - 3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1398.7¢98.7¢$13−$0.01$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 4 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1398.7¢98.5¢$13−$0.03$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 3 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1398.1¢98¢$13−$0.01$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 3 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1397.6¢97.5¢$13−$0.01$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 2 - 3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1397.1¢97¢$13−$0.01$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 3 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1397.1¢97¢$13−$0.01$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1396.8¢96.7¢$13−$0.01$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 2 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1396¢95.5¢$12−$0.07$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1396¢95.5¢$12−$0.07$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 2 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1394¢93.5¢$12−$0.07$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1394¢93.5¢$12−$0.07$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1394¢93.5¢$12−$0.07$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 2 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1393¢92.5¢$12−$0.07$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1393¢92.5¢$12−$0.07$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1392¢91¢$12−$0.13$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1391¢90.5¢$12−$0.07$0
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No3329¢35.3¢$12+$2.09+$6.22
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No1377¢88.5¢$12+$1.50$0
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?No1387¢87¢$11$0$0
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No1099.9¢99.9¢$9.89$0−$1.34
Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No1099.9¢99.9¢$9.89$0−$1.34
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on October 10?No1099.8¢100¢$9.78+$0.01−$12
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?No1098.8¢98.6¢$9.59−$0.02−$33
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes393.2¢24¢$9.28+$8.03+$40
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?No2671.6¢35.5¢$9.23−$9.38+$10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 10?No999.8¢100¢$9.10+$0.01$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on October 10?No999.9¢100¢$9.10$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on October 10?No999.9¢100¢$9.10$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on October 10?No999.9¢100¢$9.10$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 10?No998.9¢99.8¢$9.08+$0.08$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 10?98.7¢57$5648%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 10?85¢26$2248%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 10?0.3¢11$0.0348%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 10?65.1¢7$4.5648%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 10?52¢61$3248%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 11?99.8¢2$1.6548%45
BUY NoWill Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?99.8¢5$5.0448%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 11?61¢3$1.8348%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 11?99.3¢2$2.4448%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on October 11?99.9¢5$5.0948%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 11?99.6¢6$6.0948%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 10?98.5¢30$3048%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 10?83.5¢5$4.1848%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 10?0.4¢5$0.0248%45
BUY NoWill Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?99¢47$4648%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 10?29¢31$8.8548%45
BUY NoWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?77¢10$7.7048%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 10?29.1¢5$1.5148%45
BUY NoWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?99¢10$1048%45
BUY NoWill Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?99.5¢8$7.4648%45