sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,448

OswaldMcFurther

0xd79…7e51
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,571vol $177k
PnL 30d−$653gains $7,831 · losses $10.2k
PnL 7d−$1,589win rate 7d 78.8%
Win rate73.2%adj 67.1% · 30d 77.5%
Open value$34.2kcash n/a
Positions22 / 78open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.5%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 47m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,214below peak −$2,261Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.2% · shrunk toward 50%68
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity64

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes36.1k60¢85.7¢$30.9k+$9,252+$508
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes2,38479.7¢79¢$1,884−$16$0
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,26483.9¢97.3¢$1,229+$169−$15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes32331¢28.5¢$92−$8.06$0
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes90911¢6.8¢$61−$39$0
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes76913¢4.6¢$35−$65$0
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Yes9950.7¢12¢$12−$38$0
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,9961.9¢0¢$0−$57−$1.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown9291.1¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes66170¢0¢$0−$463−$5.55
Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Yes53371.4¢0¢$0−$380−$4.35
Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Yes30250¢0¢$0−$151−$3.02
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Yes23479.8¢0¢$0−$187−$1.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown2334.3¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes21214.2¢0¢$0−$30−$1.02
Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Yes13773.1¢0¢$0−$100−$1.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown10021.2¢0¢$0−$21$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown9116.3¢0¢$0−$15−$0.87
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander ZverevRafael Jodar6042¢0¢$0−$25−$0.43
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic3978.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.20
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-30?Yes3852¢0¢$0−$20−$0.48
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Yes3030.2¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.25

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.7¢1,167$1,00073%41
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?79.7¢377$30073%41
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.7¢2,334$2,00073%41
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?79.2¢1,263$1,00073%41
BUY YesWill Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?96.8¢1,033$1,00073%41
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84¢3,571$3,00073%41
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?80.8¢371$30073%41
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?80.4¢373$30073%41
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.3¢3,558$3,00073%41
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?17¢11.1k$1,89173%41
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82.6¢3,632$3,00073%41
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.6¢8,273$7,00073%41
BUY YesWill Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?26¢231$6073%41
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?53¢94$5073%41
BUY YesWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?51¢71$3673%41
SELL YesWill Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?11.1¢368$4173%41
BUY YesWill Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?69.4¢144$10073%41
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?20.1¢65$1373%41
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?29.4¢316$9373%41
SELL YesWill Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?22.1¢653$14473%41