Traders/Rank #2,043

FairValueMachine

0xd84…5908

PnL 10k+Crypto

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$38.4kvol $5.13M

PnL 30d+$49.3kgains $45.3k · losses $44.6k

PnL 7d+$17.1kwin rate 7d 52.2%

Win rate52.2%adj 52.1% · 30d 52.2%

Open value$396cash n/a

Positions1,972 / 18,364open / all-time

Max drawdown−1.1%of equity peak

Account age3molast trade 1m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$94.4kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65

Adjusted win rateraw 52.2% · shrunk toward 50%30

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Upclosed+$1,050 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Downclosed+$798 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Downclosed+$730 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Downclosed+$726 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Downclosed+$696

Worst markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Downclosed−$1,038 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Downclosed−$882 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Upclosed−$844 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Downclosed−$781 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Upclosed−$778

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2,500	20¢	13.5¢	$338	−$163	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	35	69.5¢	100¢	$35	+$11	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	13	45¢	100¢	$13	+$7.06	−$0.22	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	5	77¢	93.5¢	$4.67	+$0.82	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	39	23.6¢	4.5¢	$1.75	−$7.43	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	480	35¢	0¢	$0	−$168	−$4.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	469	27.4¢	0¢	$0	−$128	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	440	27.4¢	0¢	$0	−$120	−$3.50	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	413	54.6¢	0¢	$0	−$225	−$4.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	400	26¢	0¢	$0	−$104	−$2.48	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	400	31.4¢	0¢	$0	−$125	−$3.03	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	400	28.3¢	0¢	$0	−$113	−$5.67	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	400	40¢	0¢	$0	−$160	−$2.92	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	380	41.7¢	0¢	$0	−$158	−$2.88	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	366	18.8¢	0¢	$0	−$69	−$1.89	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	364	35.4¢	0¢	$0	−$129	−$3.39	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	360	28.3¢	0¢	$0	−$102	−$4.99	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	357	36.4¢	0¢	$0	−$130	−$2.68	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	353	44.1¢	0¢	$0	−$156	−$4.71	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	350	23.5¢	0¢	$0	−$82	−$3.40	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	320	21.2¢	0¢	$0	−$68	−$0.30	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	316	41¢	0¢	$0	−$129	−$0.38	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	310	30.8¢	0¢	$0	−$96	−$0.47	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	305	22.6¢	0¢	$0	−$69	−$3.37	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	300	30.5¢	0¢	$0	−$91	−$4.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	300	41¢	0¢	$0	−$123	−$3.31	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	300	45.6¢	0¢	$0	−$137	−$4.31	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	300	33.3¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$3.36	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	300	32.2¢	0¢	$0	−$97	−$3.78	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	300	19.5¢	0¢	$0	−$58	−$0.62	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	298	52.4¢	0¢	$0	−$156	−$4.84	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	297	65.7¢	0¢	$0	−$195	−$4.25	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	296	20.7¢	0¢	$0	−$61	−$3.15	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	293	30¢	0¢	$0	−$88	−$4.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	292	29.6¢	0¢	$0	−$86	−$1.54	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	290	30.5¢	0¢	$0	−$89	−$3.31	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	290	30.7¢	0¢	$0	−$89	−$1.55	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	289	42.9¢	0¢	$0	−$124	−$2.63	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	288	28.5¢	0¢	$0	−$82	−$4.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	286	32.4¢	0¢	$0	−$93	−$4.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	284	24.7¢	0¢	$0	−$70	−$3.42	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	281	33.3¢	0¢	$0	−$94	−$4.02	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	280	39.4¢	0¢	$0	−$110	−$4.20	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	280	37¢	0¢	$0	−$104	−$2.80	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	280	33.3¢	0¢	$0	−$93	−$1.44	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	279	55.4¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$2.81	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	277	48.9¢	0¢	$0	−$136	−$4.76	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	275	30.7¢	0¢	$0	−$84	−$3.33	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	274	29.5¢	0¢	$0	−$81	−$3.79	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	264	24.4¢	0¢	$0	−$64	−$1.97	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	261	32.3¢	0¢	$0	−$84	−$2.50	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	260	19.2¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$2.79	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	260	28.1¢	0¢	$0	−$73	−$3.61	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	260	20.8¢	0¢	$0	−$54	−$3.00	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	259	33.7¢	0¢	$0	−$87	−$3.72	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	257	63.8¢	0¢	$0	−$164	−$2.44	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	256	35.2¢	0¢	$0	−$90	−$0.95	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	254	40.2¢	0¢	$0	−$102	−$0.50	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	251	31.8¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$2.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	250	51.6¢	0¢	$0	−$129	−$2.81	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	250	27.2¢	0¢	$0	−$68	−$3.44	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	249	20.9¢	0¢	$0	−$52	−$2.54	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	248	49.2¢	0¢	$0	−$122	−$3.92	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	245	15.6¢	0¢	$0	−$38	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	245	35.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	−$3.94	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	245	18.3¢	0¢	$0	−$45	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	244	16.8¢	0¢	$0	−$41	−$2.38	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	242	16.1¢	0¢	$0	−$39	−$2.20	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	241	45.3¢	0¢	$0	−$109	−$3.40	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	241	52.5¢	0¢	$0	−$127	−$3.67	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	239	30¢	0¢	$0	−$72	−$0.08	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	234	56.3¢	0¢	$0	−$132	−$3.71	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	231	22.9¢	0¢	$0	−$53	−$2.58	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	230	32.7¢	0¢	$0	−$75	−$3.24	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	229	41.1¢	0¢	$0	−$94	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	225	41.3¢	0¢	$0	−$93	−$3.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	225	15.5¢	0¢	$0	−$35	−$1.75	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	224	30.1¢	0¢	$0	−$67	−$2.87	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	223	23.4¢	0¢	$0	−$52	−$2.61	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	220	39.9¢	0¢	$0	−$88	−$3.59	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	220	35.8¢	0¢	$0	−$79	−$2.72	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	212	43.4¢	0¢	$0	−$92	−$0.71	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	210	17.8¢	0¢	$0	−$37	−$1.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	210	29.4¢	0¢	$0	−$62	−$2.76	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	207	55.2¢	0¢	$0	−$114	−$3.29	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	206	46.1¢	0¢	$0	−$95	−$2.62	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	206	75.2¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$0.65	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	205	53.8¢	0¢	$0	−$110	−$3.56	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	204	65.4¢	0¢	$0	−$133	−$2.50	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	202	54.1¢	0¢	$0	−$109	−$3.45	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	202	68.8¢	0¢	$0	−$139	−$0.65	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	202	37.3¢	0¢	$0	−$75	−$1.74	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	202	23.2¢	0¢	$0	−$47	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	201	39.6¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$3.36	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	200	46¢	0¢	$0	−$92	−$3.48	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	200	36.2¢	0¢	$0	−$72	−$3.24	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	200	44.7¢	0¢	$0	−$89	−$2.52	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	200	28.5¢	0¢	$0	−$57	−$2.82	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	200	37.2¢	0¢	$0	−$74	−$3.20	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	200	24¢	0¢	$0	−$48	−$2.53	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	16¢	8	$1.20	52%	69
1m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	15¢	100	$15	52%	69
2m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	16¢	60	$9.60	52%	69
3m ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	77¢	21	$16	52%	69
3m ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	77¢	5	$3.85	52%	69
4m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	31¢	35	$11	52%	69
4m ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	53.7¢	100	$54	52%	69
7m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	82¢	30	$25	52%	69
7m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	74¢	68	$50	52%	69
8m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	73¢	60	$44	52%	69
11m ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	84¢	15	$12	52%	69
11m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	31¢	8	$2.48	52%	69
11m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	31¢	15	$4.65	52%	69
11m ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	55¢	60	$33	52%	69
12m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	50¢	100	$50	52%	69
12m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	13¢	60	$7.80	52%	69
12m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	16¢	60	$9.60	52%	69
13m ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	57¢	8	$4.56	52%	69
13m ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	56¢	8	$4.48	52%	69
13m ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	51¢	40	$20	52%	69