sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #13,869

0xd85…fd58

0xd85…fd58
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$8.27vol $45.3k
PnL 30d+$134gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$12win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate82.6%adj 67.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,752cash n/a
Positions23 / 46open / all-time
Max drawdown−97.2%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 9mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$251below peak −$794Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 82.6% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity3

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes1,00045¢100¢$1,000+$550$0
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No50061¢100¢$500+$195$0
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No50067¢96.2¢$481+$146$0
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No30072¢100¢$300+$84$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,00042¢23.5¢$235−$185$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes20567¢100¢$205+$68$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes40042¢5.5¢$22−$146$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes41916¢2.2¢$9.21−$58$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes1,00034¢0¢$0−$340$0
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No1,00014¢0¢$0−$140$0
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?No1,00029¢0¢$0−$290$0
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes90025.8¢0¢$0−$232$0
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No71946.9¢0¢$0−$337$0
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes66546.7¢0¢$0−$311$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?No60341.4¢0¢$0−$250$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No40076¢0¢$0−$304$0
Will the US strike Iran next?Yes30032¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes27636.2¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes25021¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?Yes15266¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Fulham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?Yes10030¢0¢$0−$30$0
Colts vs. JaguarsColts10053¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?Yes10058¢0¢$0−$58$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the US strike Iran next?32¢239$7783%21
BUY YesWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?45¢1,000$45083%21
BUY YesWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?16¢419$6783%21
SELL YesWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? 12¢862$10383%21
BUY YesWill Fulham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?30¢100$3083%21
BUY T1Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)75¢150$11383%21
BUY NoUS strikes Nigeria by December 31?87.1¢352$30683%21
BUY YesWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?36.2¢276$10083%21
BUY YesWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? 29¢862$25083%21
BUY NoWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 30?58.8¢170$10083%21
BUY YesWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?66¢152$10083%21
BUY NoWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?41.4¢603$25083%21
BUY NoWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?32.2¢620$20083%21
BUY YesWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?86.7¢500$43383%21
SELL NoWill Israel strike Gaza on November 1?93.4¢364$34083%21
BUY NoWill Israel strike Gaza on November 1?46¢188$8783%21
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?88.6¢830$73683%21
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?88.6¢1,359$1,20483%21
SELL YesWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?3.2¢5,000$15883%21
SELL YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?41.3¢1,200$49683%21