PnL all-time+$431vol $24.9k
PnL 30d+$368gains $3,561 · losses $2,919
PnL 7d−$292win rate 7d 28.6%
Win rate55.6%adj 54.3% · 30d 52.5%
Open value$2,052cash n/a
Positions11 / 83open / all-time
Max drawdown−49.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 11h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$865below peak −$744Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 55.6% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity51
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 626 | 79.9¢ | 82.5¢ | $516 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16? | No | 510 | 78.5¢ | 75¢ | $382 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 425 | 47.1¢ | 76¢ | $323 | +$123 | $0 | |
| Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) | Tampa Bay Rays | 588 | 34¢ | 38¢ | $224 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 | Over | 409 | 48.9¢ | 47.5¢ | $194 | −$5.66 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 260 | 77¢ | 72.5¢ | $188 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 176 | 57¢ | 55¢ | $97 | −$3.46 | $0 | |
| Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic + OpenAI | 202 | 49.4¢ | 26.5¢ | $54 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 266 | 25.2¢ | 14.2¢ | $38 | −$29 | −$4.54 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 233 | 43¢ | 14.5¢ | $34 | −$66 | $0 |
Recent trades
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