| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 3,501 | 85.2¢ | 90¢ | $3,151 | +$167 | −$891 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 2,800 | 76.1¢ | 80.5¢ | $2,254 | +$122 | −$228 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2,500 | 84¢ | 83.5¢ | $2,088 | −$13 | −$3,825 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | No | 2,291 | 69.6¢ | 77.5¢ | $1,776 | +$181 | −$20 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 2,000 | 77.2¢ | 81.5¢ | $1,630 | +$85 | +$269 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 1,700 | 91.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,556 | −$6.50 | −$415 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 1,600 | 93.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,512 | +$13 | +$12 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 1,600 | 82.3¢ | 83¢ | $1,328 | +$11 | −$198 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2,000 | 60.9¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,250 | +$32 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 1,300 | 93.2¢ | 95.3¢ | $1,239 | +$28 | +$65 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | Yes | 1,050 | 96.6¢ | 99.1¢ | $1,040 | +$26 | +$26 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 42.6¢ | 51¢ | $1,020 | +$168 | +$246 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1,591 | 69.1¢ | 63.5¢ | $1,010 | −$89 | −$130 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,351 | 62.2¢ | 73.5¢ | $993 | +$153 | −$261 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | Yes | 1,000 | 98.3¢ | 99.1¢ | $991 | +$8.00 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,681 | 33.7¢ | 36.5¢ | $979 | +$76 | +$188 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 1,250 | 73¢ | 77¢ | $963 | +$50 | +$473 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1,599 | 66.6¢ | 56¢ | $895 | −$170 | −$442 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 1,414 | 64.1¢ | 62.5¢ | $884 | −$23 | +$37 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 1,500 | 57.4¢ | 58.5¢ | $877 | +$16 | −$246 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 82¢ | 81.5¢ | $815 | −$5.00 | −$71 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | No | 792 | 86.8¢ | 87¢ | $689 | +$1.92 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: September | Nothing | 687 | 97.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $682 | +$11 | +$0.98 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 900 | 77.4¢ | 73.5¢ | $661 | −$35 | −$84 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1,000 | 65¢ | 64.5¢ | $645 | −$4.63 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 700 | 91.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $634 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | No | 871 | 78.9¢ | 70.5¢ | $614 | −$73 | −$84 | |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 600 | 95¢ | 95.5¢ | $573 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1,061 | 52.4¢ | 50.5¢ | $536 | −$20 | −$39 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 95.8¢ | 95.9¢ | $479 | +$0.25 | −$1,494 | |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 92¢ | 92¢ | $460 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,178 | 30.8¢ | 38.5¢ | $454 | +$91 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 500 | 80.6¢ | 79.5¢ | $398 | −$5.50 | +$4.74 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 900 | 49.4¢ | 43¢ | $387 | −$57 | +$1.85 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 510 | 77.3¢ | 73.5¢ | $375 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 93¢ | 93.5¢ | $374 | +$2.00 | +$2.35 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 77.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $354 | +$44 | −$249 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 500 | 71¢ | 70.5¢ | $353 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | No | 400 | 87¢ | 88¢ | $352 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | Yes | 1,060 | 35.3¢ | 33¢ | $350 | −$25 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 399 | 86¢ | 85.5¢ | $342 | −$2.00 | −$1,027 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 700 | 48¢ | 48.7¢ | $341 | +$4.57 | −$2,663 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | No | 500 | 67¢ | 67.5¢ | $338 | +$2.51 | +$327 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? | Yes | 620 | 55.4¢ | 54¢ | $335 | −$8.58 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 570 | 51.3¢ | 56.3¢ | $321 | +$28 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 500 | 63.6¢ | 64¢ | $320 | +$2.00 | −$20 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 350 | 85.1¢ | 90.5¢ | $317 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 348 | 83¢ | 90.5¢ | $315 | +$26 | −$928 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 418 | 69.1¢ | 68.5¢ | $287 | −$2.61 | −$202 | |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | No | 420 | 70.4¢ | 67.5¢ | $283 | −$12 | −$1.60 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 700 | 46.9¢ | 37.5¢ | $263 | −$65 | +$44 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 650 | 35.6¢ | 39.8¢ | $258 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 259 | 90¢ | 94.5¢ | $245 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | No | 420 | 53.6¢ | 57.5¢ | $242 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | No | 300 | 80¢ | 78.5¢ | $236 | −$4.50 | −$4.89 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? | No | 300 | 73¢ | 78.5¢ | $235 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? | No | 236 | 95.3¢ | 98.1¢ | $232 | +$6.49 | −$35 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 16¢ | 23¢ | $230 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 300 | 73¢ | 71.5¢ | $215 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: October | Nothing | 212 | 93¢ | 94¢ | $200 | +$2.12 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | No | 199 | 71.8¢ | 96.4¢ | $192 | +$49 | −$597 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | No | 300 | 65¢ | 63.5¢ | $191 | −$4.50 | +$12 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 291 | 65¢ | 65.5¢ | $190 | +$1.45 | −$273 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 324 | 69.8¢ | 58¢ | $188 | −$38 | −$16 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 64.3¢ | 62.5¢ | $188 | −$5.50 | $0 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 200 | 88.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $181 | +$4.00 | −$77 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? | No | 204 | 78.9¢ | 88.5¢ | $181 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 415 | 70.4¢ | 43.5¢ | $181 | −$112 | −$210 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | No | 190 | 89.3¢ | 94¢ | $179 | +$8.92 | −$157 | |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 303 | 51.2¢ | 56¢ | $170 | +$14 | +$11 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | 83¢ | 84.5¢ | $169 | +$3.00 | +$37 | |
| Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31? | No | 500 | 71.9¢ | 33.5¢ | $168 | −$192 | $0 | |
| Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 47¢ | 33¢ | $165 | −$70 | −$1.20 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 200 | 85¢ | 82¢ | $164 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 83.7¢ | 79.5¢ | $159 | −$8.50 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 195 | 76¢ | 81¢ | $158 | +$9.75 | −$10 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | No | 166 | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $150 | +$0.83 | $0 | |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 492 | 32.3¢ | 29.5¢ | $145 | −$14 | +$154 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,620 | 12.8¢ | 2.5¢ | $141 | −$579 | −$15 | |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 450 | 44.4¢ | 27.5¢ | $124 | −$76 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | Yes | 258 | 48.7¢ | 47¢ | $121 | −$4.40 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 200 | 58¢ | 60.5¢ | $121 | +$5.00 | +$20 | |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? | Yes | 200 | 61¢ | 60.5¢ | $121 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 34¢ | 38.5¢ | $116 | +$14 | +$13 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 223 | 48¢ | 49¢ | $109 | +$2.23 | −$82 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | No | 124 | 83¢ | 85.5¢ | $106 | +$3.10 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 13.1¢ | 10.5¢ | $105 | −$26 | +$202 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 95¢ | 98.2¢ | $98 | +$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Shanghai, China? | No | 100 | 94¢ | 93¢ | $93 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 112 | 80¢ | 80.5¢ | $91 | +$0.56 | +$57 | |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? | Yes | 108 | 79¢ | 83.5¢ | $90 | +$4.84 | $0 | |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | Yes | 220 | 32.2¢ | 40.5¢ | $89 | +$18 | +$125 | |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? | Yes | 620 | 13.9¢ | 14¢ | $87 | +$0.40 | +$2.00 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | No | 100 | 81¢ | 83.9¢ | $84 | +$2.90 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | Yes | 272 | 27.4¢ | 29¢ | $79 | +$4.24 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 180 | 25.7¢ | 43.5¢ | $78 | +$32 | +$49 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | No | 79 | 88¢ | 98.5¢ | $78 | +$8.31 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31? | No | 465 | 37.1¢ | 16.5¢ | $77 | −$96 | +$1.41 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | No | 200 | 36¢ | 37.5¢ | $75 | +$3.00 | +$14 | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | 73¢ | 73.5¢ | $74 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
