| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1,050 | 52.6¢ | 89.5¢ | $940 | +$387 | +$99 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | No | 694 | 92.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $663 | +$19 | −$14 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 696 | 90.1¢ | 90¢ | $626 | −$1.15 | +$43 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 573 | 99.2¢ | 99.6¢ | $571 | +$2.24 | −$116 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026? | No | 559 | 98.8¢ | 99.6¢ | $557 | +$4.55 | +$0.17 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 538 | 98.1¢ | 98.8¢ | $532 | +$3.86 | −$96 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 525 | 20.7¢ | 95¢ | $499 | +$390 | +$47 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026? | No | 442 | 99.2¢ | 99.1¢ | $438 | −$0.70 | −$0.57 | |
| Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 425 | 99.5¢ | 99.8¢ | $424 | +$0.87 | −$2.01 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 418 | 98.2¢ | 98.5¢ | $411 | +$0.87 | −$50 | |
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 395 | 98.9¢ | 98.9¢ | $390 | −$0.19 | −$0.64 | |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 424 | 82.1¢ | 91.5¢ | $388 | +$40 | −$1.30 | |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 423 | 90.6¢ | 91.5¢ | $387 | +$3.65 | −$9.21 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 434 | 63.1¢ | 85¢ | $369 | +$95 | +$106 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 385 | 91.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $367 | +$14 | +$12 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | No | 383 | 92.9¢ | 95.5¢ | $366 | +$9.92 | +$3.79 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 389 | 92.7¢ | 92.9¢ | $361 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 614 | 62.9¢ | 57.5¢ | $353 | −$33 | +$46 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 416 | 28.6¢ | 83.5¢ | $347 | +$228 | +$113 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026? | No | 349 | 99.2¢ | 99.1¢ | $346 | −$0.53 | −$0.46 | |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 347 | 99.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $345 | +$0.45 | +$0.03 | |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 577 | 62.5¢ | 59.6¢ | $344 | −$17 | −$2.58 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 365 | 92.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $341 | +$4.09 | +$22 | |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 341 | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $338 | −$0.77 | −$5.93 | |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 363 | 87.2¢ | 90.5¢ | $328 | +$12 | −$30 | |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 366 | 86.1¢ | 86¢ | $315 | −$0.38 | −$9.73 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 406 | 67¢ | 77.5¢ | $314 | +$43 | +$7.87 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 371 | 84.4¢ | 84.5¢ | $314 | +$0.31 | −$602 | |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 300 | 98.9¢ | 99.8¢ | $299 | +$2.52 | +$0.03 | |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | No | 389 | 77.9¢ | 75.8¢ | $295 | −$8.46 | +$2.67 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | No | 293 | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $290 | +$0.35 | −$21 | |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | No | 303 | 92.7¢ | 95.7¢ | $290 | +$8.88 | +$1.72 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 314 | 86.1¢ | 91.5¢ | $287 | +$17 | −$23 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 348 | 79.9¢ | 81.5¢ | $283 | +$5.64 | −$31 | |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | No | 302 | 95.3¢ | 93.8¢ | $283 | −$4.53 | +$1.35 | |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 283 | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $281 | +$0.29 | −$4.94 | |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | No | 355 | 78.6¢ | 77¢ | $273 | −$5.72 | −$13 | |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 273 | 99.3¢ | 99.3¢ | $271 | −$0.13 | $0 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 274 | 97.6¢ | 98.3¢ | $269 | +$1.65 | −$122 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 308 | 83.9¢ | 86.5¢ | $266 | +$7.91 | −$43 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 647 | 25.3¢ | 40.8¢ | $264 | +$101 | +$73 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 284 | 89.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $257 | +$3.33 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 255 | 99.4¢ | 99.5¢ | $254 | +$0.09 | −$41 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 569 | 30.4¢ | 44.4¢ | $252 | +$79 | +$6.42 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 260 | 97.1¢ | 97.1¢ | $252 | −$0.14 | −$515 | |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 246 | 99.4¢ | 99.9¢ | $245 | +$1.12 | +$1.51 | |
| Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 240 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $240 | +$0.24 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 244 | 98¢ | 98.1¢ | $239 | +$0.17 | −$2.67 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 272 | 87.2¢ | 87.5¢ | $238 | +$0.73 | +$3.56 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 10? | No | 234 | 77.8¢ | 100¢ | $234 | +$52 | +$27 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 389 | 42.1¢ | 59.5¢ | $232 | +$68 | +$76 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2,088 | 55.2¢ | 11.1¢ | $231 | −$921 | −$793 | |
| Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? | No | 246 | 97.7¢ | 90.8¢ | $223 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 308 | 6.5¢ | 72¢ | $222 | +$201 | +$64 | |
| Iowa vs. Washington: O/U 41.5 | Over | 454 | 46.8¢ | 48.5¢ | $220 | +$7.54 | +$0.16 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 284 | 77.9¢ | 77.5¢ | $220 | −$1.18 | −$207 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 294 | 75.2¢ | 74.5¢ | $219 | −$2.06 | +$4.16 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 226 | 92.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $214 | +$5.02 | −$61 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in October 2026? | No | 213 | 99.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $212 | +$1.14 | +$0.29 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 329 | 63.1¢ | 62.5¢ | $206 | −$1.98 | +$320 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 277 | 18.1¢ | 74¢ | $205 | +$155 | +$57 | |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 234 | 85¢ | 87.5¢ | $205 | +$5.78 | −$23 | |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 246 | 86.8¢ | 83¢ | $205 | −$9.47 | −$6.46 | |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 199 | 99.4¢ | 99.3¢ | $198 | −$0.26 | −$107 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026? | No | 192 | 99.3¢ | 99.5¢ | $191 | +$0.37 | +$0.06 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 350 | 62.1¢ | 53.5¢ | $187 | −$30 | −$51 | |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | No | 250 | 82.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $186 | −$20 | −$6.55 | |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 248 | 74.2¢ | 73.5¢ | $182 | −$1.84 | +$0.10 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 304 | 56.6¢ | 59.3¢ | $180 | +$7.93 | +$50 | |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 181 | 99.1¢ | 99.4¢ | $180 | +$0.38 | −$46 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | No | 303 | 63.6¢ | 57.5¢ | $174 | −$18 | −$1.88 | |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 178 | 97.9¢ | 97.9¢ | $174 | −$0.08 | −$16 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 185 | 93¢ | 93.5¢ | $173 | +$0.92 | −$100 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 230 | 75.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $172 | −$2.31 | $0 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 187 | 90.6¢ | 91.5¢ | $171 | +$1.70 | −$69 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in October 2026? | No | 170 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $170 | +$0.98 | +$0.05 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in October 2026? | No | 164 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $164 | +$0.95 | −$30 | |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 200 | 20.6¢ | 81.5¢ | $163 | +$122 | +$52 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 612 | 20.8¢ | 26.5¢ | $162 | +$35 | −$109 | |
| LoL: Disguised vs Fuego (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs | Disguised | 189 | 85.4¢ | 85¢ | $160 | −$0.69 | −$5.85 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 167 | 94.6¢ | 95.7¢ | $160 | +$1.84 | +$6.82 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 161 | 99.1¢ | 99.1¢ | $160 | +$0.06 | −$198 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 305 | 52.4¢ | 51.5¢ | $157 | −$2.74 | +$0.96 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | No | 195 | 91.3¢ | 80¢ | $156 | −$22 | −$9.54 | |
| Vikings vs. Saints | Saints | 346 | 44.1¢ | 43.5¢ | $150 | −$1.97 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 158 | 92.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $149 | +$3.41 | −$26 | |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 152 | 99.1¢ | 97.9¢ | $148 | −$1.93 | +$1.40 | |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 154 | 86.2¢ | 95.4¢ | $147 | +$14 | −$1.69 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 153 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $146 | +$5.32 | −$68 | |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 155 | 93.1¢ | 94¢ | $145 | +$1.46 | −$42 | |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 387 | 9.7¢ | 37.5¢ | $145 | +$108 | +$10 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 170 | 81.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $144 | +$4.78 | −$7.62 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 214 | 77.1¢ | 67.1¢ | $144 | −$22 | +$80 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea? | No | 143 | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $143 | +$0.21 | −$50 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 154 | 93.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $142 | −$2.21 | −$32 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 157 | 89.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $142 | +$1.81 | −$64 | |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 148 | 95.3¢ | 95.2¢ | $141 | −$0.22 | −$15 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 144 | 96.4¢ | 97¢ | $140 | +$0.78 | −$4.59 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 10? | No | 146 | 91.5¢ | 96¢ | $140 | +$6.57 | $0 | |
| Bears vs. Packers | Bears | 265 | 57.2¢ | 52.5¢ | $139 | −$12 | +$0.17 | |