sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,802

DooBieZ

0xdb4…3612
WhalePnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOtherCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$12.9kvol $9.02M
PnL 30d+$14.1kgains $14.1k · losses $1,279
PnL 7d+$1,907win rate 7d 57.9%
Win rate57.3%adj 57.0% · 30d 73.9%
Open value$144kcash n/a
Positions72 / 6,025open / all-time
Max drawdown−96.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 16h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$14.9kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 57.3% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity4

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$24.8kUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,111US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yesclosed+$1,964US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Noclosed+$1,794Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$1,626

Worst markets

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$24.8kIsrael closes its airspace by September 30? · Noopen−$4,287US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? · Yesopen−$2,921Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · Yesclosed−$1,383Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? · Noclosed−$1,090

Open positions · 72

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No80.0k50¢81¢$64.8k+$24.8k+$0.60
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes80.0k50¢19.1¢$15.2k−$24.8k$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No9,99986.5¢93.5¢$9,349+$703$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No6,75584.7¢93.5¢$6,316+$597+$4.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes6,00088.5¢91.5¢$5,490+$182+$78
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes5,00081.4¢85.5¢$4,275+$205$0
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?No4,37691.1¢95.5¢$4,180+$191$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes4,22293.6¢95.3¢$4,021+$70$0
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No3,50092.7¢92.5¢$3,238−$7.49+$61
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes3,00098.6¢100¢$2,998+$41$0
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No2,89089¢92.5¢$2,673+$100$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No3,04383.4¢85.5¢$2,601+$64$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,50084¢84.5¢$2,113+$13+$306
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No2,17892.7¢96¢$2,091+$72$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes3,47058.5¢57.5¢$1,995−$33$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No1,88893.1¢97.7¢$1,844+$86$0
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No2,05882.6¢83.5¢$1,719+$19+$54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes6,00025.3¢22.5¢$1,350−$170$0
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No1,50084.3¢86.5¢$1,298+$33+$397
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes2,00063.5¢63¢$1,260−$10.00$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes84692¢95.5¢$808+$30$0
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No85584.4¢90.5¢$774+$52$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes88870¢75.5¢$670+$49$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No70091.9¢95.5¢$669+$25+$12
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?No50089.7¢87.4¢$437−$12$0
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No42281.2¢86.5¢$365+$22+$71
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?No55595¢44.2¢$245−$282$0
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No28476.3¢86¢$244+$28$0
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes3,0007¢4.5¢$135−$75$0
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No6295.5¢97.3¢$61+$1.12+$1.12
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No10090¢60.5¢$61−$30+$0.49
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes1,1956.8¢4.5¢$54−$27$0
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes7878¢4.5¢$35−$28−$2.13
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Yes5188¢67.5¢$34−$10$0
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No4069¢76.5¢$31+$3.00$0
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?No2593.9¢92.8¢$23−$0.28$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes10076¢16¢$16−$60$0
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes2506.8¢4.5¢$11−$5.75+$1.40
Will the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat?No2168.6¢4.6¢$9.95−$8.76+$0.10
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM?No994¢97.7¢$8.60+$0.32+$1.22
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes1507¢5.5¢$8.25−$2.25$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?No1089¢65.5¢$6.55−$2.35$0
Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?No11611.7¢4.3¢$4.95−$8.63+$5.13
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?Yes5089¢6.5¢$3.25−$41+$1.01
Will the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?No3212¢8.5¢$2.70−$1.11−$0.19
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-06 House seat?No1237.2¢1.8¢$2.15−$6.75$0
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?No295.2¢97.6¢$1.98+$0.05−$19
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-04 House seat?Yes555¢2.3¢$1.24−$1.51−$2.50
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes206¢5.5¢$1.10−$0.10+$0.86
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-29 House seat?No386.8¢1.9¢$0.72−$1.86+$0.32
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Yes744.5¢0.2¢$0.11−$3.22$0
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes94¢0.9¢$0.08−$0.28+$7.40
Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes23¢0.1¢$0−$0.05+$2.40
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No3,55587.1¢0¢$0−$3,095−$1,192
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes3,11093.9¢0¢$0−$2,921$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?Yes5553¢0¢$0−$17$0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No50094.7¢0¢$0−$474$0
Will Ashley Trail come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?Yes3604.5¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026?Yes2102.8¢0¢$0−$5.87+$0.72
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes20088¢0¢$0−$176$0
Will Brad Kohler win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes1952¢0¢$0−$3.90−$0.08
Will Phil Parrish win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes1952¢0¢$0−$3.90−$0.05
Will Ashley Trail win Big Brother season 28?Yes1806.6¢0¢$0−$12−$1.94
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes13734¢0¢$0−$46$0
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes1019.7¢0¢$0−$9.78$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No8840¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will Nicolaus Sleister be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?Yes365¢0¢$0−$1.78+$0.05
Will the US add at least 150k jobs in August?No3092¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Ryan Walters win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes211.1¢0¢$0−$0.23$0
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?No1485¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes57¢0¢$0−$0.37−$2.32

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?92¢111$10257%50
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?6¢64$3.8257%50
SELL YesJames Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?0.6¢614$3.6957%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?99.8¢7,965$7,94957%50
BUY NoIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?94.9¢799$75857%50
BUY NoIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?93.6¢104$9757%50
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?95.4¢115$10957%50
SELL YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?0.7¢1,529$1157%50
SELL YesWill Lauren Boebert resign by September 30, 2026?1¢22$0.2257%50
SELL NoWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?0.3¢5,409$1657%50
SELL NoWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?6¢199$1257%50
BUY NoWill Saudi airspace be closed by September 30?75¢60$4557%50
BUY NoWill Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?99¢20$2057%50
BUY NoWill Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?99¢58$5857%50
SELL NoWill Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?94.5¢16$1557%50
SELL NoWill João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?64¢18$1257%50
SELL NoWill Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?99.9¢10$9.8557%50
SELL NoWill Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?4.2¢41$1.7357%50
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?3.2¢50$1.6057%50
SELL YesWill the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?1.7¢55$0.9457%50