PnL all-time+$68.8kvol $5.61M
PnL 30d+$2,598gains $4,863 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$794win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate77.6%adj 76.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$141kcash n/a
Positions10 / 354open / all-time
Max drawdown−43.4%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 28m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$72.5kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale69
Adjusted win rateraw 77.6% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity57
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Noclosed+$5,804US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$5,242Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Noclosed+$2,824Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? · Noclosed+$2,787Netanyahu out by March 31? · Noclosed+$2,742
Worst markets
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 40.0k | 97¢ | 99.6¢ | $39.8k | +$1,017 | +$331 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 35.5k | 91.5¢ | 96.2¢ | $34.2k | +$1,682 | +$911 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 35.0k | 93.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $33.1k | +$425 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 20.0k | 98.4¢ | 98.6¢ | $19.7k | +$32 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 10,000 | 93.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $9,450 | +$135 | +$20 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 2,000 | 76.1¢ | 95¢ | $1,900 | +$379 | +$2,361 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 85.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $945 | +$93 | +$444 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 84.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $845 | +$0.01 | +$231 | |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 1,449 | 64.1¢ | 51.5¢ | $746 | −$183 | +$664 | |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | No | 300 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$258 | −$159 |
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