PnL all-time+$15.9kvol $801k
PnL 30d+$846gains $166 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$819win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate88.9%adj 75.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$242kcash n/a
Positions9 / 45open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.2%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 10h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$31.2kbelow peak −$1,355Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 88.9% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noopen+$7,485Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · Yesclosed+$6,462Trump out as President before 2027? · Noopen+$6,200China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yesclosed+$3,880Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Noopen+$3,608
Worst markets
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 54.2k | 84¢ | 95.5¢ | $51.7k | +$6,200 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 56.0k | 83.7¢ | 83.5¢ | $46.8k | −$113 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 46.3k | 83.3¢ | 89¢ | $41.2k | +$2,655 | +$952 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 39.2k | 84.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $38.0k | +$4,816 | +$2,669 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 25.0k | 94.6¢ | 97.2¢ | $24.3k | +$630 | $0 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 17.1k | 94.7¢ | 96.5¢ | $16.5k | +$307 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 12.5k | 91.9¢ | 97.7¢ | $12.2k | +$715 | +$1,224 | |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 11.4k | 89.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $10.7k | +$530 | +$12 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 700 | 90¢ | 11¢ | $77 | −$553 | −$2,801 |
Recent trades
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