PnL all-time+$465kvol $48.1M
PnL 30d−$1,399gains $667 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$181win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate54.3%adj 54.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$281kcash n/a
Positions11 / 2,364open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.7%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 43d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$468kbelow peak −$18.0kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale81
Adjusted win rateraw 54.3% · shrunk toward 50%35
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yesclosed−$139kWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$103kWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yesclosed−$100kWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yesclosed−$100kWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yesclosed−$93.8k
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 280k | 50¢ | 86.9¢ | $243k | +$103k | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 280k | 50¢ | 13.2¢ | $36.8k | −$103k | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 16.0k | 4.2¢ | 2.7¢ | $424 | −$245 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 59 | 69.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $50 | +$8.78 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 1,568 | 76.1¢ | 2¢ | $31 | −$1,163 | $0 | |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | Iron Wing | 22.2k | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,889 | +$416 | |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs | Team Liquid | 11.1k | 37¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,111 | $0 | |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-23? | No | 5,555 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,778 | $0 | |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | FUT Esports | 5,374 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,827 | −$1,475 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,297 | 35.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$809 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,840 | 32.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$594 | −$16 |
Recent trades
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