sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

WatchTheTape

0xdd2…374a
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$8,897vol $1.41M
PnL 30d+$2,117gains $11.0k · losses $1,055
PnL 7d+$466win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate84.9%adj 83.5% · 30d 86.9%
Open value$14.6kcash n/a
Positions556 / 2,443open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$6,130below peak −$7,622Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 84.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?No1,36278.3¢89¢$1,212+$146−$10
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?No1,08982.4¢83¢$904+$6.44$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No86985.5¢83.5¢$726−$17+$20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes74175.1¢87.9¢$652+$95$0
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?No58284.6¢88.5¢$515+$23$0
Will CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win on 2026-10-11?No98847.2¢46.5¢$459−$7.00$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No65552.8¢60.5¢$396+$51$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?No43466.4¢81¢$352+$63$0
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Yes2,07823.7¢15.9¢$330−$162$0
Will Luis Suarez retire before 1 July 2027?No38045.3¢84.5¢$321+$149$0
Will Guayaquil City be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?No31793.6¢98.1¢$311+$14$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes45063.5¢58.5¢$263−$22$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No30084.4¢85¢$255+$1.65$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes30085¢83.5¢$251−$4.50$0
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-10-18?Yes72534.3¢33.5¢$243−$5.87$0
Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores?Yes51135.9¢43.5¢$222+$39$0
Will Deportivo Saprissa win on 2026-10-11?Yes30865¢68¢$209+$9.24$0
Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?Yes75228.2¢26.5¢$199−$13$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No44030.2¢41.5¢$183+$50$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No20471.1¢88.5¢$180+$35−$72
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No20194¢88.5¢$178−$11−$3.65
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2026-27 season end?Yes66127.5¢26.5¢$175−$6.65$0
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-10-14?No32448.6¢48.5¢$157−$0.18$0
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?No16592.2¢95.1¢$157+$4.77+$4.30
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes84724¢18.5¢$157−$47$0
Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?No18052.7¢85.5¢$154+$59$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No16789.6¢89.5¢$150−$0.26$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes36031.1¢41.5¢$149+$38$0
Will Orense SC vs. CD Cuenca end in a draw?Yes48631.1¢29.5¢$143−$7.53$0
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-11?No22066¢63.5¢$140−$5.50$0
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?No14891¢91.8¢$136+$1.17+$8.92
Kash Patel out by December 31?No16275¢81.5¢$132+$11$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No15064¢87.5¢$131+$35$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No12386¢93¢$114+$8.61−$3.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No13048.2¢83.5¢$109+$46$0
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Messi20367.8¢51.5¢$105−$33+$18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No12381¢84.5¢$104+$4.32$0
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?Yes15863.5¢65.5¢$104+$3.17$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes11983.4¢79.3¢$94−$4.86$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No9784.5¢95.5¢$92+$11+$12
Will Antigua GFC win on 2026-10-11?No20045¢43.5¢$87−$3.00$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No20033¢42.5¢$85+$19$0
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?No8985.7¢94.5¢$84+$7.83$0
Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?Yes10770¢74.5¢$80+$4.82$0
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?No45031.6¢17.5¢$79−$63$0
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No8092.5¢95.5¢$76+$2.40−$7.63
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes13941¢52.5¢$73+$16$0
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-11?Yes15838¢45.5¢$72+$12$0
Manchester City punishment announced by November 20?No7962¢90.5¢$71+$23$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes25436.8¢28.2¢$71−$22−$2.44
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No7496.2¢96.3¢$71+$0.02+$12
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-13?Yes15047¢45.5¢$68−$2.25$0
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Yamal14055¢48¢$67−$9.81$0
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No7384.9¢89¢$65+$3.03−$0.42
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11?No18532.1¢34.5¢$64+$4.47$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No32320¢19.5¢$63−$1.61$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No6494.7¢96.2¢$62+$0.96$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes6592.6¢94.3¢$61+$1.07$0
Manchester City punishment announced by November 6?No6575.3¢91.5¢$59+$11$0
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima (M) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No6083.7¢98¢$59+$8.57$0
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?No8080¢69.5¢$56−$8.40$0
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No6873¢80.5¢$55+$5.14$0
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No6379.2¢84.5¢$53+$3.33$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No5395.6¢97.8¢$51+$1.14−$0.63
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes42718¢11.5¢$49−$28$0
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?No9057¢54.5¢$49−$2.25$0
Will Robert Lewandowski retire before 1 July 2027?No6452.7¢74.5¢$48+$14$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes25714.2¢17.8¢$46+$9.39$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?No5150.8¢88.5¢$45+$19$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes8748.2¢5.1¢$44−$28−$1,688
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?No6045¢71.5¢$43+$16$0
Will Cobresal be relegated from the 2026 Chile Primera?No6065¢67.5¢$41+$1.50$0
Will Deportivo Cuenca be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?No4298¢96¢$40−$0.86$0
Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?No4085¢99.5¢$40+$5.78$0
Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?No27448¢14.5¢$40−$92$0
Will CSD Suchitepéquez win on 2026-10-10?Yes8053¢49.5¢$40−$2.80$0
Will Club Aurora win on 2026-10-11?No8749.2¢45.5¢$40−$3.18$0
Will Ivan Perisic retire before 1 July 2027?No4351¢89¢$38+$16$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No8337.1¢4.5¢$37−$22$0
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?No4287.6¢88¢$37+$0.16$0
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?No4288¢86¢$36−$0.84+$52
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No3597.3¢97.6¢$34+$0.09$0
Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No4031¢84.5¢$34+$21$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5065.8¢67¢$34+$0.60$0
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?No3392¢97.3¢$32+$1.73$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?No3475.6¢94¢$32+$6.19$0
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes3578.9¢89.5¢$31+$3.73$0
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027?No3395¢94.6¢$31−$0.15$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20019.8¢15.5¢$31−$8.70$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No3395.9¢93.6¢$31−$0.78$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes5066¢61.5¢$31−$2.25$0
Will Botafogo FC vs. Ceará SC end in a draw?Yes10532.7¢29¢$30−$3.90$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?No3187.1¢94.3¢$30+$2.27$0
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?No3068¢97.1¢$29+$8.71$0
Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No3590¢82.6¢$29−$2.61$0
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?No2597.6¢98.3¢$25+$0.17$0
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No2982¢82¢$23$0$0
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11?No4156¢56.5¢$23+$0.21$0
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027?No2579.2¢92.5¢$23+$3.33$0
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No508¢43.5¢$22+$18$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?57¢90$5185%45
BUY YesWill CA Aldosivi win on 2026-10-18?34.3¢725$24985%45
BUY YesWill CDP Junior FC win on 2026-10-10?46¢43$2085%45
BUY NoWill CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win on 2026-10-11?50¢66$3385%45
BUY NoWill CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win on 2026-10-11?50¢112$5685%45
BUY NoWill CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win on 2026-10-11?49¢72$3585%45
BUY NoWill CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win on 2026-10-11?49¢189$9385%45
SELL NoWill Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-10?99.9¢50$5085%45
SELL OverCelta Fortuna vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.599.9¢172$17285%45
BUY YamalBallon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?55¢40$2285%45
BUY YesWill CA Central Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?43¢420$18185%45
BUY YamalBallon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?55¢100$5585%45
BUY NoWill Club Aurora win on 2026-10-11?52¢25$1385%45
BUY NoWill Club Aurora win on 2026-10-11?51¢25$1385%45
BUY YesWill Manta FC win on 2026-10-10?48¢100$4885%45
SELL YesWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-10?3.7¢144$5.3185%45
BUY YesWill Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-11?38¢158$6085%45
SELL YesWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?47¢280$13285%45
BUY YesWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?55¢280$15485%45
BUY YesWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-10?42¢360$15185%45