sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,801

hippoka

0xdd9…31a0
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$60.7kvol $9.97M
PnL 30d+$11.1kgains $19.6k · losses $90
PnL 7d−$1,616win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate47.9%adj 48.4% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$49.6kcash n/a
Positions26 / 97open / all-time
Max drawdown−55.1%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$76.0kbelow peak −$5,447Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 47.9% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity45

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yesopen+$51.9kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$22.3kNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$20.3kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$19.3kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$11.8k

Worst markets

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$12.8kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$12.3kWill Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024? · Yesclosed−$11.5kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$8,500Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yesopen−$8,071

Open positions · 26

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes30.4k8¢95.6¢$29.1k+$26.6k+$25.3k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes6,25162.7¢84.5¢$5,282+$1,362+$436
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes5,2704.5¢67.7¢$3,568+$3,333$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes4,00060¢75.5¢$3,020+$620$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes12.5k39¢15.5¢$1,938−$2,938−$1,370
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No1,04219¢99.3¢$1,034+$836$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?No1,04264¢98.3¢$1,024+$357$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No1,0427.3¢97.6¢$1,016+$940$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No1,04235¢97.4¢$1,015+$650$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes46.9k13¢1.8¢$820−$5,295$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes24.7k1.6¢2.9¢$704+$315$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes6,3442.5¢10.1¢$641+$482$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes33.3k25¢0.8¢$250−$8,071$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes5007.9¢20.1¢$101+$61$0
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes19.8k27.2¢0.3¢$49−$5,331$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Yes3,12611.3¢1.6¢$48−$305$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes4,1679.2¢1¢$42−$344$0
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes6,25119.2¢0.3¢$16−$1,184$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Yes2,08421.9¢0.4¢$8.33−$449$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Yes1,04231.2¢0.3¢$2.60−$322$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes40.0k0.8¢0¢$0−$305−$13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes35.4k13.1¢0¢$0−$4,627+$1,446
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes16.2k34.9¢0¢$0−$5,649−$6,650
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes4,16723.3¢0¢$0−$971−$37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes4,0000.1¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.20
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes48635.8¢0¢$0−$174−$5.59

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?18.7¢6,251$1,17048%47
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?80¢3,125$2,50048%47
BUY YesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?28.5¢50$1448%47
BUY YesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?19.8¢50$9.9248%47
BUY YesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?16.8¢50$8.4148%47
BUY YesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?15.3¢50$7.6548%47
BUY YesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?15.3¢50$7.6548%47
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?46¢4,169$1,91848%47
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.7¢251$1.7648%47
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.7¢4,000$2848%47
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.7¢3,000$2148%47
BUY YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.1¢4,000$4.0048%47
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.8¢3,000$2448%47
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.9¢5$0.0548%47
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?37¢6,251$2,31348%47
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?19¢3,125$59448%47
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?63¢3,125$1,96948%47
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?80¢6,251$5,00148%47
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.8¢4,851$4148%47
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.7¢15.0k$10748%47