sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,446

Binotto

0xdd9…49b3
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$135kvol $25.4M
PnL 30d−$7,519gains $49.5k · losses $44.2k
PnL 7d−$7,348win rate 7d 53.5%
Win rate37.7%adj 38.2% · 30d 44.6%
Open value$211cash n/a
Positions174 / 1,247open / all-time
Max drawdown−95.4%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$130kbelow peak −$2.53MOct 9

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 37.7% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity5

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lukhona Mnguni be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes6962.4¢6.1¢$42+$26$0
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes2052¢97.8¢$20+$9.15$0
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes4046¢48.5¢$19+$1.00$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9,3260.5¢0.2¢$14−$37$0
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9,3260.5¢0.2¢$14−$37$0
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9,3260.5¢0.2¢$14−$37$0
Will Tori launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes2046¢63.5¢$13+$3.50$0
Will Decibel launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes2047¢55¢$11+$1.60$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,7190.3¢0.4¢$6.02+$0.06$0
Will Dada Morero be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes6962.4¢0.9¢$5.91−$11$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9,3260.5¢0.1¢$4.66−$47$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9,3260.5¢0.1¢$4.66−$47$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,7190.3¢0.3¢$4.30−$1.66$0
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes3991.3¢1.1¢$4.19−$1.15$0
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,7190.3¢0.2¢$2.58−$3.38$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,7190.3¢0.2¢$2.58−$3.38$0
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Yes6722¢3.4¢$2.29−$13+$6.88
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes3991.3¢0.4¢$1.40−$3.94$0
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes3991.3¢0.4¢$1.40−$3.94$0
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2,7421.9¢0.1¢$1.37−$52−$4.45
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2,7421.9¢0.1¢$1.37−$52−$4.45
Will Guillermo Moreno win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes3991.3¢0.3¢$1.00−$4.34$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,7190.3¢0.1¢$0.86−$5.10$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,7190.3¢0.1¢$0.86−$5.10$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,7190.3¢0.1¢$0.86−$5.10$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,7190.3¢0.1¢$0.86−$5.10$0
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?No112¢78¢$0.78+$0.66+$17
Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,4874¢0.1¢$0.74−$58$0
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,4874¢0.1¢$0.74−$58$0
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,4874¢0.1¢$0.74−$58$0
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,4874¢0.1¢$0.74−$58$0
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,4874¢0.1¢$0.74−$58$0
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,4874¢0.1¢$0.74−$58$0
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,4874¢0.1¢$0.74−$58$0
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,4874¢0.1¢$0.74−$58$0
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,4874¢0.1¢$0.74−$58$0
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,4874¢0.1¢$0.74−$58$0
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,4874¢0.1¢$0.74−$58$0
Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes3991.3¢0.2¢$0.60−$4.74$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes230.7¢2.2¢$0.50+$0.34$0
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8801.6¢0.1¢$0.44−$14−$12
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8801.9¢0.1¢$0.44−$17−$4.45
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8801.9¢0.1¢$0.44−$17−$4.45
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8802.1¢0.1¢$0.44−$18−$14
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8801.9¢0.1¢$0.44−$17−$4.45
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8801.9¢0.1¢$0.44−$17−$4.45
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8802.1¢0.1¢$0.44−$18−$16
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8802.1¢0.1¢$0.44−$18−$15
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8801.9¢0.1¢$0.44−$17−$4.45
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8801.9¢0.1¢$0.44−$17−$4.45
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes8802.1¢0.1¢$0.44−$18−$15
Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes3991.3¢0.1¢$0.20−$5.14$0
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes3991.3¢0.1¢$0.20−$5.14$0
Will Nicolás del Caño win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes3991.3¢0.1¢$0.20−$5.14$0
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.08−$1.69$0
Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.08−$1.69$0
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.08−$1.69$0
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.08−$1.69$0
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1182.4¢0.1¢$0.06−$2.76$0
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1182.4¢0.1¢$0.06−$2.76$0
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1182.4¢0.1¢$0.06−$2.76$0
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1182.4¢0.1¢$0.06−$2.76$0
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes770.7¢0.1¢$0.04−$0.49+$7.74
Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.04−$1.72$0
Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.04−$1.72$0
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.04−$1.72$0
Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.04−$1.72$0
Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.04−$1.72$0
Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.04−$1.72$0
Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.04−$1.72$0
Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.04−$1.72$0
Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes772.3¢0.1¢$0.04−$1.72$0
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1.15M0.3¢0¢$0−$2,988+$6,058
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1.04M0.2¢0¢$0−$1,791−$2,923
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes142k1.4¢0¢$0−$2,038−$3,835
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes65.0k2.4¢0¢$0−$1,559−$3,278
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes65.0k2.5¢0¢$0−$1,596−$2,976
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes38.0k1.1¢0¢$0−$403−$148
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes35.0k1.2¢0¢$0−$405−$516
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes35.0k1.2¢0¢$0−$404−$513
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes35.0k1.2¢0¢$0−$404−$513
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes35.0k0.9¢0¢$0−$309−$536
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15.0k1.9¢0¢$0−$283−$408
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$523
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$602
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$524
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15.0k0¢0¢$0$0−$434
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?No7,56711¢0¢$0−$832−$43
Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes5,2310.9¢0¢$0−$48+$267
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4,0240.4¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes2,1009.6¢0¢$0−$201+$19
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No1,8633.5¢0¢$0−$65+$24
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,7441.8¢0¢$0−$31+$13
Will Eduardo Girão win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes1,7180.6¢0¢$0−$10+$787
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes1,3892.4¢0¢$0−$34−$42
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes1,3892.4¢0¢$0−$34−$42
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes1,3892.4¢0¢$0−$34−$42
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes1,3892.4¢0¢$0−$34−$42
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes1,3892.4¢0¢$0−$34−$42
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes1,3892.4¢0¢$0−$34−$42

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Randolfe win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?93¢40$3738%44
SELL YesWill Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.4¢739$2.9638%44
SELL YesWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2.2¢101k$2,23538%44
SELL YesWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?3¢143k$4,30838%44
SELL YesWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?4.2¢43.5k$1,82738%44
SELL YesWill Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?39¢92$3638%44
SELL YesWill Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?43.6¢64$2838%44
SELL YesWill Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?43.7¢70$3038%44
SELL YesWill Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.8¢563$4.5038%44
SELL YesWill Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.9¢26.0k$23438%44
SELL YesWill Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.2¢9,326$1938%44
SELL YesWill Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?0.2¢235$0.4738%44
SELL YesWill Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?0.6¢95$0.5738%44
SELL YesWill Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?27.5¢241$6638%44
SELL YesWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?55¢154$8538%44
SELL YesWill Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.1¢11$0.0138%44
SELL YesWill Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.2¢480$0.9638%44
SELL YesWill Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?30.1¢97$2938%44
SELL YesWill Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?5.5¢155$8.5138%44
SELL YesWill Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?0.1¢737$0.7438%44