| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 331k | 68.4¢ | 64.5¢ | $213k | −$13.0k | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 275k | 59.1¢ | 62.5¢ | $172k | +$9,449 | $0 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 128k | 93.9¢ | 96.2¢ | $123k | +$2,841 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 141k | 62.9¢ | 75¢ | $105k | +$17.0k | +$2,799 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 193k | 41.4¢ | 50.8¢ | $97.9k | +$18.1k | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 86.1k | 41.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $82.2k | +$46.6k | +$23.3k | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 82.1k | 52.3¢ | 50¢ | $41.0k | −$1,856 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 278k | 9.7¢ | 14.5¢ | $40.4k | +$13.3k | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 35.9k | 50.3¢ | 96¢ | $34.5k | +$16.4k | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 65.3k | 37.4¢ | 48.4¢ | $31.6k | +$7,221 | +$56 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 100.0k | 28¢ | 29.5¢ | $29.5k | +$1,501 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 32.5k | 55¢ | 88.5¢ | $28.7k | +$10.9k | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 540k | 11.1¢ | 4.9¢ | $26.5k | −$33.4k | −$865 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 34.6k | 41.4¢ | 61.5¢ | $21.3k | +$6,953 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 33.5k | 69.4¢ | 62.5¢ | $20.9k | −$2,301 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 24.6k | 70.6¢ | 84.5¢ | $20.8k | +$3,408 | +$3,712 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 30.2k | 46¢ | 62.5¢ | $18.9k | +$4,982 | +$3,244 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 56.4k | 29.7¢ | 28.5¢ | $16.1k | −$685 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 34.7k | 45.4¢ | 37.5¢ | $13.0k | −$2,750 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 43.5k | 21.7¢ | 26.5¢ | $11.5k | +$2,072 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.8k | 84¢ | 84.5¢ | $10.8k | +$64 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 16.1k | 46¢ | 62.5¢ | $10.1k | +$2,665 | +$5,503 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 17.7k | 41¢ | 50¢ | $8,839 | +$1,591 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 20.4k | 43.1¢ | 40.7¢ | $8,312 | −$501 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 8,266 | 58.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $8,258 | +$3,406 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 9,666 | 66¢ | 84.5¢ | $8,168 | +$1,788 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9,093 | 74.3¢ | 74.5¢ | $6,774 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 8,294 | 72.6¢ | 74.9¢ | $6,208 | +$190 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 23.3k | 24.7¢ | 24.8¢ | $5,781 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7,293 | 52¢ | 58.5¢ | $4,266 | +$476 | $0 | |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,764 | 71.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $3,369 | +$672 | $0 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.7k | 28.2¢ | 28.5¢ | $3,038 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat? | Yes | 1,714 | 79.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,517 | +$155 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,996 | 72¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,467 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1,422 | 65.9¢ | 96.4¢ | $1,370 | +$434 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 10.8k | 23.5¢ | 12.6¢ | $1,364 | −$1,177 | $0 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 10.2k | 41¢ | 11.5¢ | $1,168 | −$2,998 | +$51 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 10,000 | 22¢ | 11¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1,931 | 46.6¢ | 56.3¢ | $1,086 | +$186 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6,919 | 53¢ | 15.5¢ | $1,072 | −$2,595 | $0 | |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 1,353 | 49.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $1,049 | +$379 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1,099 | 29.4¢ | 87.4¢ | $961 | +$638 | +$4,456 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? | No | 1,059 | 81.2¢ | 89.5¢ | $948 | +$88 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 14.3k | 23.1¢ | 4.5¢ | $642 | −$2,650 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 590 | 81.4¢ | 97.5¢ | $575 | +$95 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,018 | 51¢ | 56.5¢ | $575 | +$56 | $0 | |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 564 | 73¢ | 93.6¢ | $527 | +$116 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | No | 5,301 | 14.9¢ | 9.5¢ | $504 | −$284 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,055 | 15¢ | 9.5¢ | $480 | −$277 | $0 | |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 9,397 | 9¢ | 4.6¢ | $428 | −$419 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 6,126 | 9.1¢ | 5.6¢ | $343 | −$215 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 438 | 61¢ | 58.5¢ | $256 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? | No | 1,665 | 10.1¢ | 13.5¢ | $225 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will Control Resonant win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 567 | 10.7¢ | 28¢ | $159 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 478 | 46¢ | 28.4¢ | $136 | −$84 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? | Yes | 136 | 35.7¢ | 87.5¢ | $119 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | Yes | 271 | 24.3¢ | 34.5¢ | $93 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? | Yes | 3,156 | 2¢ | 1.7¢ | $52 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 9,114 | 4.2¢ | 0.5¢ | $41 | −$341 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 28.7k | 11.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $29 | −$3,286 | $0 | |
| Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? | No | 25 | 65¢ | 56.5¢ | $14 | −$2.13 | $0 | |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 20.0k | 7.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $10 | −$1,541 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.52M | 15.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$397k | +$19.7k | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Yes | 987k | 11.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$116k | −$2,852 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 937k | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,131 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 872k | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$136k | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | Yes | 743k | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36.2k | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 732k | 16.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$119k | +$11.9k | |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 697k | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21.2k | −$168 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Yes | 615k | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56.3k | $0 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 562k | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$59.2k | +$3,227 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 552k | 23.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$129k | −$14.7k | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | 430k | 15.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$66.8k | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | Yes | 385k | 18.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$73.0k | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 356k | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$74.9k | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 325k | 20.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$66.8k | $0 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 324k | 45.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$147k | −$1,072 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 309k | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40.9k | +$25.9k | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 276k | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,948 | +$1,136 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Yes | 271k | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24.3k | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 213k | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,893 | −$4.62 | |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 204k | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.9k | −$4,629 | |
| Dolphins vs. Vikings | Dolphins | 189k | 18.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34.4k | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Thunder | 188k | 22.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42.8k | −$515 | |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 170k | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16.0k | +$84.4k | |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Cavaliers | 165k | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.9k | −$97 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 163k | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.2k | $0 | |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | No | 151k | 19.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29.9k | −$7.15 | |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | No | 150k | 30.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45.8k | $0 | |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Timberwolves | 149k | 18.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28.0k | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 146k | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.5k | −$43 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 134k | 34.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$46.0k | +$8,800 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | Yes | 132k | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13.0k | $0 | |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Yes | 124k | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,584 | $0 | |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 121k | 35.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$43.1k | −$57 | |
| Chargers vs. Bills | Chargers | 120k | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30.0k | $0 | |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | Yes | 115k | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,826 | −$29 | |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Pistons | 113k | 25.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28.4k | −$420 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | Yes | 109k | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,815 | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Lakers | 106k | 11.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.6k | −$206 | |