| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | No | 153k | 95.3¢ | 99.5¢ | $153k | +$6,406 | +$581 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 125k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $100k | +$37.7k | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100.0k | 83.7¢ | 83.5¢ | $83.5k | −$165 | +$26.5k | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 47.6k | 86.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $45.0k | +$3,973 | +$8,328 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 47.2k | 88¢ | 93.5¢ | $44.2k | +$2,607 | +$1,771 | |
| Plague pandemic in 2026? | No | 44.3k | 94.5¢ | 97.2¢ | $43.0k | +$1,195 | +$358 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 41.1k | 93.5¢ | 96.3¢ | $39.6k | +$1,155 | +$1,646 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 39.9k | 85.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $37.3k | +$3,197 | +$1,329 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 35.1k | 98.8¢ | 99.6¢ | $35.0k | +$278 | +$2,240 | |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | No | 31.4k | 89¢ | 99.2¢ | $31.1k | +$3,201 | +$5.98 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 28.4k | 98.3¢ | 98.6¢ | $28.0k | +$88 | +$0.11 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 36.5k | 54.3¢ | 71.3¢ | $26.0k | +$6,201 | +$117 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 125k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $24.8k | −$37.7k | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 26.5k | 75¢ | 80.5¢ | $21.3k | +$1,458 | +$1.16 | |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 21.5k | 92.6¢ | 97.7¢ | $21.1k | +$1,088 | +$394 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 109k | 32¢ | 18.5¢ | $20.1k | −$14.6k | −$6,350 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 17.0k | 89.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $16.2k | +$1,021 | +$216 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 17.9k | 84.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $16.2k | +$1,108 | −$2,036 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 13.2k | 95.7¢ | 97.3¢ | $12.9k | +$212 | −$9.80 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 14.1k | 82.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $12.8k | +$1,124 | +$1,034 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 13.5k | 49.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $10.0k | +$3,373 | +$200 | |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 11.6k | 85.8¢ | 86¢ | $9,984 | +$23 | +$898 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 10.5k | 90.7¢ | 91.5¢ | $9,627 | +$84 | +$135 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 8,297 | 91.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $7,841 | +$272 | +$0.19 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 7,890 | 93.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $7,456 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 32.6k | 48.7¢ | 18.5¢ | $6,035 | −$9,864 | +$122 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 5,526 | 88.6¢ | 90¢ | $4,973 | +$78 | −$827 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 4,844 | 93.7¢ | 92.5¢ | $4,481 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 4,604 | 91.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,351 | +$132 | $0 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 4,581 | 89.7¢ | 89.1¢ | $4,080 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | No | 3,987 | 98.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $3,967 | +$25 | −$1,934 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 6,135 | 70.9¢ | 63.5¢ | $3,896 | −$451 | −$0.93 | |
| NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season? | No | 3,825 | 96.7¢ | 98.9¢ | $3,781 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,755 | 85.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $3,360 | +$141 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 3,496 | 92.1¢ | 95.5¢ | $3,339 | +$119 | +$45 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 3,010 | 93.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $2,873 | +$58 | +$846 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 2,447 | 96.1¢ | 96.3¢ | $2,357 | +$5.33 | +$17 | |
| Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,208 | 96¢ | 97.3¢ | $2,147 | +$27 | +$79 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 11.2k | 57.9¢ | 19¢ | $2,133 | −$4,366 | −$463 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 2,034 | 93.5¢ | 95.3¢ | $1,938 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2,020 | 92¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,909 | +$51 | +$1,315 | |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | No | 2,631 | 74.4¢ | 67.5¢ | $1,776 | −$182 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 7,709 | 40.1¢ | 23¢ | $1,773 | −$1,322 | +$56 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7,925 | 25.8¢ | 21.5¢ | $1,704 | −$343 | +$0.40 | |
| Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | No | 1,718 | 94.5¢ | 97.9¢ | $1,682 | +$58 | +$1.20 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 121k | 1¢ | 1.3¢ | $1,514 | +$255 | +$38 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.6k | 16.6¢ | 9¢ | $1,403 | −$1,182 | +$133 | |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 1,530 | 84.6¢ | 89.5¢ | $1,369 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,442 | 75.6¢ | 89.5¢ | $1,290 | +$201 | $0 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 1,515 | 79.8¢ | 80.7¢ | $1,222 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 67.3k | 9.6¢ | 1.7¢ | $1,110 | −$5,378 | +$254 | |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | No | 1,116 | 92.2¢ | 99.4¢ | $1,108 | +$80 | +$58 | |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | No | 1,031 | 95.2¢ | 98.6¢ | $1,016 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1,079 | 83.5¢ | 87.3¢ | $942 | +$41 | −$28 | |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 1,020 | 89.1¢ | 92.2¢ | $940 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? | No | 1,111 | 78.9¢ | 78.5¢ | $872 | −$4.22 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? | No | 883 | 88.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $826 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | No | 766 | 94¢ | 95.8¢ | $734 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 822 | 38.7¢ | 89¢ | $732 | +$413 | +$119 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 748 | 90¢ | 91.5¢ | $685 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 61¢ | 62.5¢ | $625 | +$15 | $0 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 2,262 | 26¢ | 26.5¢ | $599 | +$12 | $0 | |
| NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27? | Yes | 598 | 90.4¢ | 97.2¢ | $581 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 58.3¢ | 37.5¢ | $563 | −$312 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | No | 555 | 93¢ | 93.5¢ | $519 | +$2.77 | $0 | |
| Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | No | 510 | 90.2¢ | 94.2¢ | $480 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Graham Platner divorce by October 31? | No | 500 | 78.2¢ | 95.5¢ | $478 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | No | 500 | 90¢ | 94¢ | $470 | +$20 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 800 | 52.6¢ | 58.5¢ | $468 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 5,854 | 56.5¢ | 7.5¢ | $439 | −$2,870 | −$6,852 | |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 500 | 64¢ | 85.5¢ | $428 | +$108 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 500 | 85¢ | 81.5¢ | $408 | −$18 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | Yes | 344 | 95.7¢ | 99.2¢ | $341 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 2,701 | 50.8¢ | 11.5¢ | $311 | −$1,063 | $0 | |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? | No | 312 | 91.1¢ | 97.1¢ | $302 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 303 | 70¢ | 87.2¢ | $264 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 2,440 | 13.8¢ | 9.5¢ | $232 | −$105 | +$190 | |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 219 | 96.4¢ | 98.2¢ | $215 | +$3.94 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,045 | 26.7¢ | 20.5¢ | $214 | −$65 | +$2,567 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | No | 250 | 83¢ | 85.5¢ | $214 | +$6.25 | $0 | |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 200 | 90¢ | 96.4¢ | $193 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31? | No | 198 | 90¢ | 94.7¢ | $187 | +$9.21 | $0 | |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 89¢ | 90¢ | $180 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31? | No | 199 | 87.7¢ | 87¢ | $173 | −$1.49 | $0 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | No | 200 | 86¢ | 83.9¢ | $168 | −$4.20 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 1,080 | 34.4¢ | 15.5¢ | $167 | −$204 | −$25 | |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | No | 182 | 87¢ | 89.5¢ | $163 | +$4.55 | $0 | |
| Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31? | No | 168 | 92¢ | 93.5¢ | $157 | +$2.52 | $0 | |
| Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026? | No | 152 | 93.2¢ | 96.1¢ | $146 | +$4.39 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 700 | 77¢ | 19.5¢ | $137 | −$403 | $0 | |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 4,518 | 1¢ | 2.4¢ | $106 | +$59 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31? | Yes | 108 | 99¢ | 94.1¢ | $101 | −$5.33 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31? | Yes | 109 | 99¢ | 92.3¢ | $100 | −$7.35 | $0 | |
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? | No | 108 | 91¢ | 92¢ | $99 | +$1.08 | $0 | |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 751 | 55¢ | 13.1¢ | $98 | −$315 | −$399 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | Yes | 209 | 48.7¢ | 42.5¢ | $89 | −$13 | −$38 | |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 465 | 32¢ | 18.5¢ | $86 | −$63 | $0 | |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? | No | 87 | 91¢ | 94.5¢ | $82 | +$3.04 | $0 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 651 | 33¢ | 12.5¢ | $81 | −$133 | $0 | |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 79 | 93¢ | 96.1¢ | $76 | +$2.41 | $0 | |
