sharpside
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Traders/Rank #651

cqs

0xdfe…73c4
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$309kvol $15.2M
PnL 30d+$13.1kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$3,138win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.2%adj 67.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$370kcash n/a
Positions26 / 426open / all-time
Max drawdown−54.9%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$411kbelow peak −$417kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 68.2% · shrunk toward 50%68
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity45

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Noclosed+$91.8kTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noclosed+$67.6kZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Noopen+$62.8kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$61.9kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? · Noclosed+$43.4k

Worst markets

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Noclosed−$124kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Noopen−$116kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Noclosed−$60.5kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Noopen−$59.9kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Noclosed−$43.9k

Open positions · 26

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No183k61.6¢93.5¢$171k+$58.5k+$4,287
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No87.0k60.3¢95.5¢$83.1k+$30.6k$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No62.2k77¢96¢$59.6k+$11.8k+$11.7k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes23.5k73.3¢90.5¢$21.3k+$4,048$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No16.1k77¢90.5¢$14.6k+$2,171$0
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No9,93870¢96.4¢$9,575+$2,615$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes100k17¢8.1¢$8,050−$8,950$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No1,10068.7¢97.4¢$1,071+$315$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,00012.1¢15.2¢$758+$153$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00042¢65.5¢$655+$235$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes71664.7¢20¢$143−$320$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes1,00029¢10.5¢$105−$185$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No10435¢92.5¢$96+$60$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes31034¢16.5¢$51−$54$0
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes9009¢4.2¢$37−$44$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No218k53.4¢0¢$0−$116k+$566
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No64.6k92.6¢0¢$0−$59.9k$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No37.7k77.1¢0¢$0−$29.0k$0
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$20−$0.60
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No10,00024.8¢0¢$0−$2,480$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes5,00029¢0¢$0−$1,450$0
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes1,81975.1¢0¢$0−$1,366−$3,934
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0002.1¢0¢$0−$21−$1.03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes50052¢0¢$0−$260$0
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes1396.9¢0¢$0−$9.61$0
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No10016¢0¢$0−$16$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2.1¢1,000$2168%56
BUY YesWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.2¢10.0k$2068%56
BUY YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?86.5¢7,403$6,40568%56
BUY YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?97.6¢22.7k$22.1k68%56Whale
BUY NoUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?97.4¢112$10968%56
SELL YesIran leadership change by December 31?30¢170$5168%56
SELL YesWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?0.3¢185$0.5668%56
SELL NoWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?0.2¢2,566$5.1468%56
SELL YesWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?98.4¢3,895$3,83368%56
SELL NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?85¢30.0k$25.5k68%56Whale
SELL NoXi Jinping out before 2027?92.9¢581$53968%56
SELL NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?85.1¢30.0k$25.5k68%56Whale
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?93.2¢42.2k$39.3k68%56Whale
SELL YesWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?99.7¢10.0k$9,97068%56
SELL NoXi Jinping out before 2027?93¢27.7k$25.7k68%56Whale
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?93.6¢52.9k$49.6k68%56Whale
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?93.5¢7,929$7,41468%56
SELL NoWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?56¢1,160$64968%56
SELL NoWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?38¢13.6k$5,18568%56
SELL NoWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?33.1¢6,433$2,12868%56