sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,412

CDAP1

0xe03…40a5
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$138kvol $9.93M
PnL 30d+$156kgains $170k · losses $7.44
PnL 7d+$5,516win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 63.6% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$216kcash n/a
Positions24 / 48open / all-time
Max drawdown−64.7%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$195kbelow peak −$10.1kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity35

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$131kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yesopen+$40.3kWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yesopen+$29.6kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$22.4kFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yesclosed+$10.9k

Worst markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$22.5kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$19.3kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$8,956Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$6,614Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$5,926

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes277k61.7¢75.5¢$209k+$38.2k+$2,121
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes11.1k32.3¢31.5¢$3,499−$92+$377
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No1,40549.3¢97.4¢$1,367+$675$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes3,7852.9¢20.3¢$770+$660$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes13.0k5.4¢3.3¢$430−$278$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes40015.2¢95.6¢$382+$321+$29.3k
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes1,36320¢2.7¢$36−$236−$0.42
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes4,3083¢0.1¢$2.15−$125$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes1.97M0.5¢0¢$0−$9,515+$559
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes700k2.1¢0¢$0−$14.7k−$4,569
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes688k0.8¢0¢$0−$5,646−$280
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes315k15.5¢0¢$0−$48.9k+$26.4k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes223k2.9¢0¢$0−$6,582−$32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes200k0.8¢0¢$0−$1,600+$258
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes90.0k2.1¢0¢$0−$1,886−$29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes30.2k1.6¢0¢$0−$478−$136
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes6,7980.9¢0¢$0−$58−$1.34
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes3,6710.5¢0¢$0−$18−$0.31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes1,75318.9¢0¢$0−$331$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes1,57010.6¢0¢$0−$166$0
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes1,4543.5¢0¢$0−$51+$32
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?No17363.9¢0¢$0−$111+$64
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes1647¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No9216¢0¢$0−$15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?32.5¢6,484$2,10875%40
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?32¢4,414$1,41275%40
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?74¢15.5k$11.5k75%40Whale
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?74¢5,173$3,82775%40
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?72.9¢6,651$4,84975%40
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?68¢2,956$2,01075%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?35¢1$0.3275%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?37.4¢3,585$1,34175%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?72¢4,174$3,00575%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?73.5¢7,390$5,43575%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?74¢7,390$5,46975%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?31¢1,376$42775%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?33¢2,602$85975%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?33¢2,828$93375%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?34¢1,513$51575%40
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?35¢6,010$2,10375%40
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?34¢6,587$2,24075%40
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?74¢1,478$1,09475%40
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?75¢8,219$6,16475%40
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?74¢65$4875%40