PnL all-time+$2,205vol $184k
PnL 30d+$829gains $467 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$468win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate92.3%adj 66.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$162kcash n/a
Positions11 / 24open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.7%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 7d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,781below peak $0Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 92.3% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable46
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d74
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$45.5kWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$416Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$380Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$356Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$305
Worst markets
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 110k | 50¢ | 91.4¢ | $100k | +$45.5k | $0 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.0k | 94.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $18.9k | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 110k | 50¢ | 8.6¢ | $9,515 | −$45.5k | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 7,000 | 93.1¢ | 94¢ | $6,580 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,527 | 93.5¢ | 98.5¢ | $5,441 | +$274 | +$81 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 96¢ | 97.3¢ | $4,863 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 95.8¢ | 95.6¢ | $4,780 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,871 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $4,723 | +$46 | +$0.26 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,914 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $3,833 | +$76 | +$22 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,785 | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | $1,766 | +$8.03 | +$178 | |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,296 | 93.8¢ | 97.9¢ | $1,268 | +$52 | $0 |
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