sharpside
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antlerlitres4

0xe35…4128
<7d old<14d old<30d oldCryptoPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$44vol $3,160
PnL 30d−$0.17gains $144 · losses $186
PnL 7d−$0.17win rate 7d 45.6%
Win rate45.6%adj 46.6% · 30d 45.6%
Open value$249cash n/a
Positions59 / 127open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age3dlast trade 47m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.6% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 47

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes2678¢76¢$19−$0.51$0
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes2934.1¢37.4¢$11+$0.97$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?No1281¢83¢$10+$0.25$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes1376.1¢76¢$9.98−$0.02$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 17?Yes1040¢99.8¢$9.98+$5.98$0
Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?No1189¢88¢$9.89−$0.11$0
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Yes1377¢76¢$9.87−$0.13$0
Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?No1469¢68¢$9.86−$0.14$0
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes3330¢22¢$7.33−$2.67$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes780.7¢79.5¢$5.91−$0.09$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Yes866¢68.5¢$5.19+$0.19$0
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Yes679¢78.5¢$4.97−$0.03$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1437¢36.5¢$4.93−$0.07$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes1724¢29.5¢$4.92+$0.92$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes5010¢9.5¢$4.75−$0.25$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes1729¢27.5¢$4.74−$0.26$0
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?No3116¢14.5¢$4.53−$0.47$0
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes1238.1¢3.6¢$4.42−$5.58$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Yes490¢96.6¢$4.29+$0.29$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes588¢91.5¢$4.16+$0.16$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18?Yes850¢51¢$4.08+$0.08$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes1332¢32.5¢$4.06+$0.06$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes587¢87.5¢$4.02+$0.02$0
Thunder vs. SpursSpurs755.3¢55.5¢$4.01+$0.01$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes577.7¢77.8¢$4.00$0$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?No666.8¢66.5¢$3.98−$0.02$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes517.9¢7.9¢$3.97−$0.03$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes756¢55.5¢$3.96−$0.04$0
Celtics vs. PistonsPistons849¢48.5¢$3.96−$0.04$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes1040¢39.5¢$3.95−$0.05$0
76ers vs. Knicks76ers1138¢37.5¢$3.95−$0.05$0
Warriors vs. LakersWarriors1136¢35.5¢$3.94−$0.06$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes665¢64¢$3.94−$0.06$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes449.1¢9¢$3.93−$0.07$0
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes577¢73¢$3.79−$0.21$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1822.2¢21¢$3.77−$0.23$0
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes944¢40.5¢$3.68−$0.32$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes2020¢18¢$3.60−$0.40−$0.65
Timberwolves vs. HeatHeat652¢51.5¢$2.97−$0.03$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes1526.2¢16.2¢$2.47−$1.53$0
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes587¢47¢$2.16−$1.84$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2010.1¢9.9¢$1.95−$0.05$0
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1020¢19.5¢$1.95−$0.05$0
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes923¢21.5¢$1.87−$0.13$0
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?Yes219.5¢8.5¢$1.79−$0.21$0
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes382.6¢3.1¢$1.17+$0.17$0
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes531.9¢2.1¢$1.08+$0.08$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET74¢5$4.0046%41
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET41¢10$4.0046%41
SELL DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET26¢12$3.0946%41
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET33.6¢12$4.0046%41
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET87.6¢11$1046%41
BUY NoWill "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?89¢11$1046%41
BUY NoWill "Look at Me!" by XXXTENTACION be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?78¢1$1.0046%41
BUY NoWill "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?69¢14$1046%41
BUY NoWill "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?69¢1$1.0046%41
BUY NoWill "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?64¢2$1.0046%41
BUY NoWill "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?69¢1$1.0046%41
BUY NoWill "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?60¢2$1.0046%41
BUY YesWill "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?87¢5$4.0046%41
BUY YesWill "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?0.5¢200$1.0046%41
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET69¢6$4.0046%41
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET59¢2$1.0046%41
BUY YesWill gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?77¢5$4.0046%41
BUY YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?40¢10$4.0046%41
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?23¢4$1.0046%41
BUY YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?77.7¢5$4.0046%41