PnL all-time+$90vol $16.7k
PnL 30d+$4,080gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$230win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 66.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$10.5kcash n/a
Positions12 / 22open / all-time
Max drawdown−38.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$6,087below peak −$245Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale28
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity62
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$5,751Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noopen+$213US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$54US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Noclosed+$52US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Noclosed+$21
Worst markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Noopen−$30US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noopen−$30Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$21US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$20Will Trump visit China by May 15? · Noopen−$1.24
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 11.5k | 36.8¢ | 86.9¢ | $9,988 | +$5,751 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 500 | 45¢ | 87.5¢ | $438 | +$213 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 60 | 59¢ | 93.5¢ | $56 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 350 | 13.3¢ | 13.2¢ | $46 | −$0.52 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 10 | 79¢ | 96.6¢ | $9.65 | +$1.75 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 9 | 58.5¢ | 59¢ | $5.05 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3,300 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.55 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 80 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 39 | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 34 | 87¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? | No | 13 | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | No | 10 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.20 | −$0.04 |
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