sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,809

Tobias1909

0xe39…289c
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$58.2kvol $4.14M
PnL 30d+$22.2kgains $89.2k · losses $20.6k
PnL 7d+$15.5kwin rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate91.2%adj 89.6% · 30d 82.5%
Open value$59.4kcash n/a
Positions252 / 1,244open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.8%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$74.1kbelow peak −$6,569Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

80/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 91.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No23.2k39.8¢41¢$9,512+$284$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes15.0k73.7¢59¢$8,868−$2,216$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes17.5k46.1¢39.4¢$6,896−$1,191$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes13.5k37.8¢40.5¢$5,460+$364$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No8,21866.9¢59.5¢$4,890−$605$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes5,00974.5¢96.5¢$4,833+$1,104+$4,642
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?No6,29962¢60.5¢$3,811−$95$0
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Yes5,92254.4¢57.5¢$3,405+$185$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No3,89271.2¢73.5¢$2,860+$91$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes11.3k21.1¢23.5¢$2,648+$268$0
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes20.2k13¢10.5¢$2,116−$504$0
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes4,12337.4¢39.5¢$1,628+$85$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes2,08138.1¢26.5¢$551−$241$0
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No1,15449¢42.5¢$490−$75$0
Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?Yes59252.7¢56¢$332+$19$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12.7k9.7¢2.3¢$287−$955$0
Will Arthur Fils Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Yes22369.8¢86¢$192+$36$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No24681.9¢60.7¢$149−$52$0
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsYes14643.2¢99.1¢$145+$82$0
Will Villarreal qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No16171.5¢85.1¢$137+$22$0
Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?Yes9373.6¢77.5¢$72+$3.58$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No6174¢97.8¢$60+$15$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes2,66656.8¢0.9¢$23−$1,492$0
Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Yes6050¢26.5¢$16−$14$0
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes8,3029.6¢0.2¢$12−$785$0
Will the New Jersey Devils make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?No2035¢49¢$9.80+$2.80$0
Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?Yes3736¢20¢$7.32−$5.85$0
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes1,19716¢0.5¢$6.58−$185$0
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes2,42011.7¢0.2¢$3.63−$281$0
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes28.3k7.2¢0¢$0−$2,056$0
US Open ATP: Dino Prizmic vs Alexander ShevchenkoAlexander Shevchenko26.1k55.4¢0¢$0−$14.4k−$322
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Yes20.0k16.5¢0¢$0−$3,306−$72
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezMirra Andreeva19.0k50.5¢0¢$0−$9,584−$236
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica PegulaJessica Pegula18.0k17¢0¢$0−$3,060−$127
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison KeysMadison Keys18.0k48¢0¢$0−$8,640$0
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances TiafoeBrandon Nakashima17.7k52¢0¢$0−$9,200−$221
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes12.1k4.8¢0¢$0−$580−$17
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo ArnaldiMatteo Berrettini12.0k70¢0¢$0−$8,400−$29
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes12.0k21.3¢0¢$0−$2,554+$2,173
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes11.3k55.3¢0¢$0−$6,260−$24
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxAlexander Blockx11.0k39.7¢0¢$0−$4,370−$63
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga SwiatekMarta Kostyuk11.0k48.6¢0¢$0−$5,350−$136
Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaNikoloz Basilashvili10.1k49¢0¢$0−$4,967−$127
US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah FernandezLeylah Fernandez10.1k51.3¢0¢$0−$5,157−$126
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub MensikJakub Mensik10.0k55¢0¢$0−$5,500−$124
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FeryFlavio Cobolli10.0k11¢0¢$0−$1,100−$0.71
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?Yes10,00018.4¢0¢$0−$1,840−$38
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise MertensCoco Gauff10,00026¢0¢$0−$2,600−$25
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes9,8109.9¢0¢$0−$970−$19
US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur GeaMichael Zheng9,57442.2¢0¢$0−$4,043−$114
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva9,00048.2¢0¢$0−$4,340−$62
Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis ShapovalovAdrian Mannarino8,93232¢0¢$0−$2,858+$1,607
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio CobolliFrancisco Comesana8,76657¢0¢$0−$4,997−$107
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin TiranteThiago Agustin Tirante8,0790¢0¢$0$0$0
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison KeysVictoria Mboko8,00019.8¢0¢$0−$1,586−$38
National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep SonmezZeynep Sonmez8,00033¢0¢$0−$2,640−$88
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No7,85845.2¢0¢$0−$3,555$0
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances TiafoeDaniil Medvedev7,77546.7¢0¢$0−$3,632−$95
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes7,4265.1¢0¢$0−$379$0
US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco CerundoloJan-Lennard Struff7,08157¢0¢$0−$4,034−$87
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Yulia PutintsevaYulia Putintseva7,02349¢0¢$0−$3,441−$88
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija GolubicDonna Vekic7,00048¢0¢$0−$3,360−$87
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Cobolli7,00057.9¢0¢$0−$4,050−$36
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio CobolliTommy Paul6,62756¢0¢$0−$3,711−$81
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes6,47243.2¢0¢$0−$2,795−$19
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Yes6,47019¢0¢$0−$1,228−$49
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana ShnaiderJessica Pegula6,45435.1¢0¢$0−$2,267−$22
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub MensikMattia Bellucci6,19540¢0¢$0−$2,478−$74
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes6,14321.5¢0¢$0−$1,322−$31
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Arthur FeryJames Duckworth6,11341.7¢0¢$0−$2,546−$74
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian KordaCarlos Alcaraz6,10061.3¢0¢$0−$3,738$0
China Open: Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaLinda Noskova6,05340¢0¢$0−$2,421$0
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan DroguetLuca Van Assche6,00029¢0¢$0−$1,740−$62
The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina LiutovaEkaterina Alexandrova6,00053¢0¢$0−$3,180−$75
National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaAryna Sabalenka6,00043.9¢0¢$0−$2,635−$74
Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena RybakinaElena Rybakina6,00045¢0¢$0−$2,700−$43
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda BencicBelinda Bencic6,00041¢0¢$0−$2,460−$44
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana MariaMaria Sakkari6,00027¢0¢$0−$1,620−$0.95
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael CollignonRaphael Collignon6,00050¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
Davis Cup: Jakub Mensik vs. Ben SheltonBen Shelton5,76959¢0¢$0−$3,403−$70
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Jiri Lehecka (+1.5)Jiri Lehecka5,54150¢0¢$0−$2,770−$69
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes5,50342.4¢0¢$0−$2,333−$40
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena RybakinaQinwen Zheng5,44852.5¢0¢$0−$2,861−$68
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin VacherotValentin Vacherot5,11039¢0¢$0−$1,993−$61
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro TabiloAlejandro Tabilo5,00019¢0¢$0−$950−$38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Hailey BaptisteHailey Baptiste5,00032¢0¢$0−$1,600−$33
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor FritzAlexander Zverev5,00043¢0¢$0−$2,150−$37
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda BencicTaylor Townsend5,00047¢0¢$0−$2,350−$62
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes5,00012¢0¢$0−$600−$16
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao FonsecaJoao Fonseca5,00067¢0¢$0−$3,350−$33
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga SwiatekIga Swiatek5,00042¢0¢$0−$2,100−$37
Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sofia CostoulasSofia Costoulas5,00048¢0¢$0−$2,400$0
Roland Garros WTA: Clara Tauson vs Daria SnigurClara Tauson5,00053¢0¢$0−$2,650−$12
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana YastremskaDayana Yastremska5,00057¢0¢$0−$2,850$0
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda NoskovaJessica Pegula4,85456¢0¢$0−$2,718−$15
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes4,84543.9¢0¢$0−$2,125$0
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja ChwalinskaDiana Shnaider4,80052¢0¢$0−$2,496$0
US Open WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda BencicBelinda Bencic4,78860.8¢0¢$0−$2,911−$57
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights Ducks4,72528.5¢0¢$0−$1,346−$29
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No4,52721¢0¢$0−$951−$23

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?43¢666$28791%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?42¢686$28891%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?50¢5$2.5091%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?66¢10$6.6091%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?39.7¢29$1191%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?23¢679$15691%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?65¢549$35791%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?37¢4,000$1,48091%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?44.8¢3,074$1,37891%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?63¢1,380$86991%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?44.6¢1,145$51091%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?44¢125$5591%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?45¢125$5691%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?38.3¢17$6.4891%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?42¢5,005$2,10291%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?39¢515$20191%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?39¢660$25791%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?21¢510$10791%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?38¢937$35691%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?72¢146$10591%80Sharp