sharpside
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RicardoJones4589

0xe53…8ab8
PoliticsCultureSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$79vol $208k
PnL 30d+$194gains $180 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$3.41win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.2%adj 56.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,248cash n/a
Positions42 / 408open / all-time
Max drawdown−86.2%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 6mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$280below peak −$356Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale27
Adjusted win rateraw 57.2% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity14

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No68264¢93.5¢$638+$201$0
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M PanthersSouthern Miss Golden Eagles83952¢50¢$420−$17$0
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins35149¢50¢$176+$3.51$0
Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?No1196.9¢100¢$11+$0.34−$11
Will Brianne K. Nadeau win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No498.8¢100¢$4.00+$0.05−$1.37
Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-11?Yes94030¢0¢$0−$282$0
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club73386¢0¢$0−$630$0
Will Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?No35642¢0¢$0−$150−$5.10
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)Yes34442¢0¢$0−$144$0
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI22224.7¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?No21632¢0¢$0−$69$0
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No20075.3¢0¢$0−$151$0
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?Yes1991.1¢0¢$0−$2.19$0
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?Yes1741.3¢0¢$0−$2.26$0
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the announcement on December 22?No14664¢0¢$0−$93$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?Yes962.1¢0¢$0−$2.02$0
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?No8754¢0¢$0−$47$0
Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo8650¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?Yes652.2¢0¢$0−$1.43$0
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?Yes563.4¢0¢$0−$1.90−$1.20
Will Jensen Huang say "Lidar" during NVIDIA keynote?Yes5555¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?No4416.9¢0¢$0−$7.44$0
Named storm forms before hurricane season?Yes3233¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes313.2¢0¢$0−$0.99−$0.15
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 27 be between 2,750,000 and 3,000,000?No3056¢0¢$0−$17−$4.68
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes254.5¢0¢$0−$1.13−$1.12
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Yes2514¢0¢$0−$3.50+$2.75
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)Yes2116¢0¢$0−$3.36$0
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No197.7¢0¢$0−$1.46$0
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?No1815¢0¢$0−$2.70−$1.35
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No179¢0¢$0−$1.53−$0.12
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?No1158¢0¢$0−$6.38$0
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No111.3¢0¢$0−$0.14−$0.59
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?No861.9¢0¢$0−$4.96−$4.37
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes729¢0¢$0−$2.03$0
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 3?Yes617¢0¢$0−$1.01−$19
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?Yes559¢0¢$0−$2.95$0
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 5% and 10% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?-fkEWYes414¢0¢$0−$0.56−$3.20
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes24¢0¢$0−$0.08$0
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?Yes133¢0¢$0−$0.33−$4.23
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes122¢0¢$0−$0.22+$1.46
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes112¢0¢$0−$0.12$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?73¢106$7757%37
SELL YesWill Tisza win at least 90 seats?82¢16$1357%37
SELL NoWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?19¢618$11757%37
SELL NoWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?23¢614$14157%37
SELL NoWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?42¢945$39757%37
BUY Miami MarlinsSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins49¢351$17257%37
BUY NoWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?23¢614$14157%37
BUY NoWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?65¢945$61457%37
BUY NoWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?20¢618$12457%37
SELL NoNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?88¢1,454$1,28057%37
SELL NoNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?88¢30$2657%37
BUY NoWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?73¢106$7757%37
BUY NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?64¢682$43657%37
SELL NoWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?80¢549$43957%37
BUY NoWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?75.3¢200$15157%37
BUY NoNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?84¢1,484$1,24757%37
BUY NoWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?82¢549$45057%37
SELL NoWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?75¢170$12857%37
SELL NoWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?75¢1,216$91257%37
SELL NoWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?44¢583$25757%37