PnL all-time−$513vol $171k
PnL 30d+$942gains $134 · losses $92
PnL 7d−$105win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate37.2%adj 41.3% · 30d 42.9%
Open value$3,012cash n/a
Positions11 / 57open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 37.2% · shrunk toward 50%3
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable59
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$443Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$119Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$113Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$90Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$84
Worst markets
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$269MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$204Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? · Yesclosed−$138US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? · Yesclosed−$128MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$126
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,082 | 93¢ | 97.1¢ | $1,051 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 626 | 92.2¢ | 97.3¢ | $609 | +$32 | +$33 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 316 | 96.6¢ | 99.1¢ | $313 | +$7.74 | $0 | |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 400 | 64.5¢ | 60.5¢ | $242 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,300 | 20.8¢ | 18.5¢ | $240 | −$29 | −$18 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | No | 216 | 95.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $215 | +$7.25 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 121 | 95¢ | 97.2¢ | $118 | +$2.60 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 111 | 88¢ | 99.1¢ | $110 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 58 | 96.9¢ | 98.7¢ | $57 | +$1.01 | $0 | |
| Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? | No | 42 | 99.7¢ | 99.8¢ | $42 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 20 | 77¢ | 79¢ | $16 | +$0.40 | +$3.05 |
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