sharpside
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Wowiwow

0xe54…aa14
SharpPnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$18.8kvol $454k
PnL 30d+$1,380gains $3,200 · losses $896
PnL 7d−$752win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate81.8%adj 79.9% · 30d 95.5%
Open value$25.0kcash n/a
Positions24 / 347open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.9%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 20h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$18.1kbelow peak −$855Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 81.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No12.6k85¢82.5¢$10.4k−$313$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes5,91793¢90.5¢$5,354−$148+$48
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes1,91288.3¢79¢$1,510−$177$0
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?No1,57693¢84.2¢$1,326−$139$0
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes97095¢97.3¢$944+$22$0
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes99792¢92.5¢$922+$4.98$0
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?No65993.4¢98¢$646+$30$0
FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?No61291.9¢97¢$593+$31$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No51996.2¢99.5¢$517+$17$0
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No45188.3¢81.5¢$367−$31$0
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?No46773.5¢67.5¢$315−$28$0
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?No50585.2¢55.5¢$280−$150$0
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?No32378.5¢83.5¢$269+$16$0
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No30983.9¢86¢$266+$6.38$0
Clavicular in jail by October 31?No22894.6¢97.7¢$223+$7.02$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No20992¢90.5¢$189−$3.13$0
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No21680.5¢78.5¢$170−$4.21$0
Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?No16196¢95.6¢$154−$0.64$0
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?No14593.1¢97.8¢$142+$6.83$0
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?No14193.7¢85.7¢$121−$11$0
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No12095.9¢97.9¢$117+$2.37$0
Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?No9195¢78.9¢$72−$15$0
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?No4995.2¢95¢$46−$0.11$0
Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026?No4694.1¢96.9¢$44+$1.26$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?92¢997$91782%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?95¢970$92282%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?96¢161$15582%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?97.1¢1$1.0182%82Sharp
BUY NoIsrael x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?87¢1$1.0282%82Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢1,231$1,03482%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?86¢85$7382%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?84¢120$10182%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?80¢150$12082%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?97.3¢30$2982%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?97.2¢379$36882%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?97.1¢496$48282%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?96.9¢62$6082%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?76¢10$7.5982%82Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?75¢115$8682%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢802$74682%82Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢4,500$3,82582%82Sharp
SELL NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?81¢300$24382%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?97¢9$8.9682%82Sharp
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?96.9¢938$91082%82Sharp