sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,304

TheArtOfTACO

0xe54…94f0
SharpPnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$21.4kvol $508k
PnL 30d+$1,167gains $1,639 · losses $444
PnL 7d+$73win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.9%adj 80.0% · 30d 78.9%
Open value$34.5kcash n/a
Positions15 / 225open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.1%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 58m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$22.2kbelow peak −$13Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

83/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 82.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No20.6k98.6¢99.8¢$20.5k+$244+$510
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo9,00088.3¢91.5¢$8,235+$285$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No2,00079.6¢94.5¢$1,890+$298+$19
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No1,50085.3¢97¢$1,455+$175+$38
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No75082¢86.5¢$649+$34$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No50083.4¢96.3¢$481+$65$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes50091.6¢96¢$480+$22$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No50061.4¢63.5¢$318+$11$0
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No25072.3¢72.6¢$181+$0.62$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,00012.3¢13.5¢$135+$12$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No70020.3¢15.5¢$109−$33$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No10071¢57¢$57−$14−$31
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes5088¢79.5¢$40−$4.25$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes2530¢29.5¢$7.38−$0.13$0
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes5015¢4.5¢$2.25−$5.25$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.8¢5,000$4,99083%83Sharp
SELL NoWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?96.6¢200$19383%83Sharp
SELL NoWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?96.6¢500$48383%83Sharp
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?73.2¢102$7583%83Sharp
BUY YesFed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?20¢105$2183%83Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?48¢20$9.6083%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?75.4¢36$2783%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?81¢5$4.0583%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?99.8¢1,000$99883%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?99.8¢2,000$1,99683%83Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?99.6¢2,500$2,49083%83Sharp
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?90¢100$9083%83Sharp
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?81¢100$8183%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?85.4¢200$17183%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?99.9¢50$5083%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?91.2¢50$4683%83Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?99.5¢5,000$4,97583%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?87¢30$2683%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?89¢12$1183%83Sharp
BUY NoWill another country strike Iran by March 7?84¢25$2183%83Sharp