sharpside
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chrislilondon

0xe5d…8203
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,298vol $20.3k
PnL 30d+$31gains $8.01 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1.33win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate84.2%adj 66.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$4,216cash n/a
Positions5 / 24open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.9%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,551below peak −$12Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 84.2% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable46
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 5

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alberta join the US? No2,83595.4¢99¢$2,805+$101$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No1,23884.9¢95.6¢$1,183+$132$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No11591¢90.5¢$104−$0.58$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No6685¢97.9¢$65+$8.49$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No6194¢96.9¢$59+$1.77$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢115$10584%43
BUY NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?94¢61$5784%43
BUY YesWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?70¢251$17684%43
BUY YesWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?96.2¢800$77084%43
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?92¢105$9784%43
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?85¢1,176$1,00084%43
BUY NoUS-China trade deal before June?80¢57$4684%43
BUY YesWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?12.7¢353$4584%43
BUY NoWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?68¢580$39484%43
BUY NoWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?93¢21$1984%43
BUY YesWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?10.1¢490$4984%43
BUY YesWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador in the next Canadian Election?95.8¢300$28784%43
BUY NoX allowed to operate in China before May?99.1¢488$48384%43
BUY NoWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?93¢50$4784%43
BUY YesWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador in the next Canadian Election?95.7¢40$3884%43
BUY YesWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador in the next Canadian Election?96.1¢10$9.6184%43
BUY YesWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador in the next Canadian Election?96.1¢15$1484%43
BUY YesWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador in the next Canadian Election?96.1¢10$9.6184%43
BUY FloridaFlorida vs. Houston52¢80$4284%43
BUY NoWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?67¢3,284$2,20084%43