sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,770

VFALL

0xe5d…35f9
WR 60+1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,586vol $4.88M
PnL 30d+$600gains $1,962 · losses $673
PnL 7d+$316win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate63.5%adj 63.0% · 30d 84.2%
Open value$598cash n/a
Positions230 / 2,701open / all-time
Max drawdown−57.9%of equity peak
Account age2.8ylast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,651below peak −$6,116Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 63.5% · shrunk toward 50%58
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity42

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes33378¢79.5¢$265+$5.00$0
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?No19576.5¢99.1¢$193+$44+$43
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?No8895¢89.8¢$79−$4.65−$8.56
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No8572¢72¢$61$0$0
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? No14.3k5.4¢0¢$0−$765−$435
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes2,21331.4¢0¢$0−$694−$2.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp2,2090.3¢0¢$0−$6.63+$6.74
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION1,77764.3¢0¢$0−$1,143−$581
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No1,51669.8¢0¢$0−$1,057+$54
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown1,3052¢0¢$0−$26−$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp1,29170.7¢0¢$0−$912+$21
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?Yes1,1116¢0¢$0−$67+$39
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No1,11185¢0¢$0−$944−$3.19
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?No1,1115.1¢0¢$0−$57$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp1,03933¢0¢$0−$343−$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown1,00352.2¢0¢$0−$524−$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown88851.9¢0¢$0−$461−$0.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown80868¢0¢$0−$549−$117
Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?Kai7886.2¢0¢$0−$48+$10
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp7720.2¢0¢$0−$1.54−$6.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown66555.5¢0¢$0−$370−$7.40
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?No62767.9¢0¢$0−$426$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5AM ETUp60675.9¢0¢$0−$460−$153
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on June 24?Yes60051.5¢0¢$0−$309−$5.99
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes59060.3¢0¢$0−$356−$56
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown5686.4¢0¢$0−$36$0
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown55598.6¢0¢$0−$547$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown5551¢0¢$0−$5.55$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp55521¢0¢$0−$117$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp54968.2¢0¢$0−$374−$19
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?Yes54250¢0¢$0−$271+$332
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp54016¢0¢$0−$86−$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp54050¢0¢$0−$270−$9.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp51465.2¢0¢$0−$335−$6.60
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown5142¢0¢$0−$10−$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETUp51061¢0¢$0−$311$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown48266.3¢0¢$0−$319−$53
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp46351.6¢0¢$0−$239−$5.15
Will Bitcoin reach $120K August 4–10?No43881.8¢0¢$0−$358−$2.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp43499¢0¢$0−$430+$55
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on March 18?No42975.4¢0¢$0−$323$0
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageFURIA42963¢0¢$0−$270−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown38862.6¢0¢$0−$243−$77
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp38383.8¢0¢$0−$321−$247
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 11AM ETDown38097¢0¢$0−$369$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp37063.1¢0¢$0−$234−$6.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp33380¢0¢$0−$266$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown33183.3¢0¢$0−$276$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp32970.8¢0¢$0−$233$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown32970.8¢0¢$0−$233$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown32450¢0¢$0−$162−$84
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown30793.4¢0¢$0−$287$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETUp29451.7¢0¢$0−$152−$5.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown29183.9¢0¢$0−$244−$22
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No28852¢0¢$0−$150−$84
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?No28188.3¢0¢$0−$248$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETDown27655.6¢0¢$0−$154+$0.60
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETDown26596.5¢0¢$0−$256$0
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown25969.7¢0¢$0−$181+$7.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp25169.2¢0¢$0−$174$0
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes25081¢0¢$0−$202−$2.88
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETUp24954.8¢0¢$0−$137+$7.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp23955.8¢0¢$0−$134$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown23953.6¢0¢$0−$128+$88
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No23569.2¢0¢$0−$163−$1.09
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETDown22570.6¢0¢$0−$159−$108
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Yes22347.3¢0¢$0−$106−$103
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp22255¢0¢$0−$122$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown22262.6¢0¢$0−$139−$3.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp22223.1¢0¢$0−$51−$2.00
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Yes22230¢0¢$0−$67$0
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp22291¢0¢$0−$202$0
Will Hegseth say "CIA" during press conference?Yes22233¢0¢$0−$73−$53
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETDown22286.8¢0¢$0−$193$0
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?No22124.7¢0¢$0−$55$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp22184¢0¢$0−$186$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETDown22073.5¢0¢$0−$162$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETDown21959¢0¢$0−$129$0
Annual inflation above 2.5% in August?Yes21864¢0¢$0−$140$0
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp2115.7¢0¢$0−$12−$61
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown20224¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?No20164¢0¢$0−$129−$1.85
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No20060.7¢0¢$0−$122−$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp19986.8¢0¢$0−$173−$4.57
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown19353.8¢0¢$0−$104−$23
Will Bitcoin reach $121K August 4–10?No19045¢0¢$0−$86$0
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown17781¢0¢$0−$143$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown17782.1¢0¢$0−$145$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETUp17379¢0¢$0−$137−$112
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown16695.3¢0¢$0−$158$0
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETUp16679.7¢0¢$0−$132$0
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp16625.1¢0¢$0−$42−$28
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown15890.2¢0¢$0−$142−$56
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown15798.4¢0¢$0−$155$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown15673.3¢0¢$0−$114+$5.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETUp15553.3¢0¢$0−$83−$2.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp15435.1¢0¢$0−$54−$29
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETUp15185.9¢0¢$0−$129−$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETDown1448¢0¢$0−$12$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp14454¢0¢$0−$78−$19

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?67¢332$22264%60
SELL NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?72¢140$10164%60
SELL YesWill Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?92.6¢150$13964%60
BUY NoWill Trump say "Ammunition" this week?76.5¢391$29964%60
SELL NoWill Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?89.9¢100$9064%60
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?97.2¢315$30664%60
SELL NoWill Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?90.7¢30$2764%60
SELL NoWill Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?91.3¢30$2764%60
SELL NoWill Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?92¢40$3764%60
SELL YesWill Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?89.1¢167$14964%60
SELL YesWill Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?89.3¢100$8964%60
SELL YesWill Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?87.6¢94$8264%60
SELL YesWill Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?89.6¢194$17464%60
BUY NoWill Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in New York?76.7¢222$17064%60
SELL 1WINCounter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage99.9¢990$98964%60
SELL YesQuebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?32¢10$3.2064%60
SELL YesQuebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?30¢153$4664%60
SELL NoWill Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?95.9¢30$2964%60
BUY NoWill Claude Villeneuve win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?79.9¢220$17664%60
BUY NoWill Claude Villeneuve win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?79¢105$8364%60