sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,944

shovelingdigging

0xe90…2d9f
SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+CultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$43.9kvol $1.22M
PnL 30d+$20.3kgains $29.1k · losses $9,812
PnL 7d+$4,588win rate 7d 75.5%
Win rate68.5%adj 67.8% · 30d 71.6%
Open value$39.2kcash n/a
Positions43 / 905open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.7%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$52.4kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 68.5% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?Yes6,59294.7¢97.7¢$6,437+$197$0
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?No4,52982.8¢95.8¢$4,337+$586+$87
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Yes4,88176.6¢81.4¢$3,971+$234+$34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes4,14154.7¢42.6¢$1,762−$502$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Yes2,81849.4¢62.5¢$1,761+$369$0
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 119m by October 31?No1,56390.6¢99.2¢$1,550+$135$0
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17?Yes1,54083.7¢97.6¢$1,503+$215$0
Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?Yes1,52123.8¢98.4¢$1,497+$1,135$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?No1,56974.7¢85¢$1,334+$161$0
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?No1,43965.8¢82.5¢$1,187+$241$0
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 27M in October?No1,15788.8¢99.5¢$1,151+$123$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes7,96415.6¢13.5¢$1,075−$165$0
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?Yes1,04082.4¢97.6¢$1,014+$157−$65
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?No1,04386.4¢97.2¢$1,013+$113$0
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?Yes1,91950.6¢45.5¢$873−$99$0
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes1,11164.9¢73.5¢$817+$95+$88
Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes1,14143.3¢63.5¢$725+$230+$218
Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?No72090.5¢95¢$684+$32$0
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?No73482.1¢88.5¢$650+$47$0
Spread: Texans (-7.5)Texans1,22449¢49.5¢$606+$6.12$0
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes87745.6¢69¢$605+$205$0
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?No58174.1¢88.5¢$514+$83$0
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 26M in October?No48583.6¢94.5¢$458+$53$0
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?No60771.2¢70¢$425−$7.03$0
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?Yes41562.1¢100¢$414+$157$0
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes1,90814.6¢18.3¢$349+$70+$199
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17?Yes35482.8¢95.4¢$338+$45−$6.11
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes75932.3¢44.5¢$338+$92+$267
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes2,38318.5¢13¢$310−$130$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Yes45762.7¢62¢$283−$3.22+$18
Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Yes4,09012.2¢5¢$205−$295$0
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?Yes27863.2¢69¢$192+$16$0
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?Yes16473.8¢100¢$164+$43$0
Will "Resident Evil" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Yes15469¢76.5¢$118+$12$0
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17?No11490¢98.3¢$112+$9.42$0
Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?Yes11621.2¢97¢$112+$88$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?Yes20954.7¢53¢$111−$3.48$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?No75415¢13¢$98−$15$0
Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes28814.1¢15¢$43+$2.63+$0.22
Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes5234¢5.7¢$30+$8.73$0
Will Confessions II (Madonna) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes5264.4¢5.3¢$28+$4.52$0
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?Yes19773.5¢3.2¢$6.21−$139$0
Love Wins: 2026 EditionNo960¢64¢$5.60+$0.35+$0.23

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?95¢887$84369%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14¢1,714$24069%76Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?82.7¢279$23069%76Sharp
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?71.2¢607$43269%76Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?90.5¢720$65269%76Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?73.4¢459$33769%76Sharp
BUY YesWill MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?34¢95$3269%76Sharp
BUY YesWill "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?60.2¢152$9169%76Sharp
SELL YesWill "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #2 song this week?14.7¢100$1569%76Sharp
BUY YesWill "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?22.1¢865$19169%76Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?72.8¢831$60569%76Sharp
BUY YesWill "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?54.7¢209$11469%76Sharp
BUY YesWill MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?45.7¢319$14669%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?28.2¢623$17669%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢6,250$1,00069%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?14.1¢305$4369%76Sharp
BUY YesWill "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?10.1¢383$3969%76Sharp
BUY YesWill "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?21.2¢116$2469%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?78.4¢431$33769%76Sharp
BUY TexansSpread: Texans (-7.5)49¢1,224$60069%76Sharp