sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,080

suntori

0xe90…cff6
WhaleSportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$11.3Mvol $746M
PnL 30d−$283kgains $28.9k · losses $30.6k
PnL 7d−$107kwin rate 7d 44.4%
Win rate44.4%adj 44.6% · 30d 44.4%
Open value$308kcash n/a
Positions1,071 / 289,170open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$8.21Mbelow peak −$8.21MOct 8

SharpScore inputs

26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 44.4% · shrunk toward 50%12
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes243k54.9¢83.5¢$203k+$69.5k−$7,721
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes8,50557¢81.5¢$6,932+$2,086$0
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Yandex10.5k38.7¢51.2¢$5,368+$1,309$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9,36553.5¢53.7¢$5,025+$17+$1,772
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes21.2k19.1¢22.5¢$4,760+$729+$23
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No5,14771.8¢70.5¢$3,629−$68−$14
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes4,74149.8¢61.5¢$2,916+$554−$14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?Yes2,59199.4¢100¢$2,590+$13−$159
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes2,63464.7¢96.2¢$2,533+$828+$73
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes2,36784.3¢99.1¢$2,345+$350+$19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes10.2k34.3¢22.5¢$2,304−$1,213−$43
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes2,11985¢96¢$2,034+$232−$17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes2,39970.9¢82¢$1,967+$267−$1,125
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsFaZe1,86346¢100¢$1,862+$1,005$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes2,33965¢68.5¢$1,602+$83+$1.49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes8,85232.3¢15.5¢$1,372−$1,488−$1,241
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsPARIVISION2,70656.3¢48.8¢$1,321−$203−$34
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?No2,31450.7¢55.5¢$1,284+$112$0
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?Yes1,87766.9¢66.5¢$1,248−$7.45$0
Shamrock Rovers vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 1.5Over1,21381¢100¢$1,212+$230$0
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffsGalorys2,31251¢50.5¢$1,167−$12$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,44766.5¢76.5¢$1,107+$144$0
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes111k1.2¢1¢$1,058−$300$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No1,29078.9¢79.5¢$1,025+$7.60−$0.95
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes3,86426.4¢26.5¢$1,024+$3.38−$23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?No1,69228.5¢58.6¢$990+$508$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,38471.6¢71.3¢$987−$4.12−$1.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes6,35418.7¢15.5¢$985−$204−$1,450
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes175k0.9¢0.5¢$961−$666$0
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes97693¢92.5¢$903−$4.88$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,03582.5¢84.5¢$874+$21+$8.56
Valencia vs. Hapoel Tel AvivValencia86556.3¢100¢$865+$377$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No6,86217.3¢12.3¢$844−$347−$34
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,92532.1¢39.9¢$767+$149−$283
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No76991.3¢97.1¢$747+$44−$0.21
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08?Yes1,32855¢54.5¢$724−$6.64−$2.83
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?No94261.1¢72.5¢$683+$108$0
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes99070¢67.5¢$669−$25−$4.72
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No74953.4¢84.5¢$633+$233−$88
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,19881.1¢26.5¢$583−$1,201−$304
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes3,36518.2¢15.5¢$522−$90+$86
Will Washington Capitals advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?No81358.6¢62.5¢$508+$32$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?No2,22016.9¢22.5¢$499+$124$0
SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Over82358¢60.5¢$498+$21$0
Shamrock Rovers vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 2.5Over47658¢100¢$476+$200+$1,491
Will Shamrock Rovers win on 2026-10-08?Yes47572.7¢100¢$475+$129+$1.69
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over54787¢86¢$471−$5.47$0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC vs. CF Correcaminos UAT: O/U 1.5Over53888.5¢86¢$463−$14$0
CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano: CS Cienciano O/U 1.5Over46248¢100¢$462+$240$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes9,1947.1¢4.9¢$451−$205−$2,633
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsPaper Rex69064¢64.5¢$445+$3.59−$19
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?Up44786¢97.8¢$437+$53$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes6,14830¢7¢$430−$1,415+$122
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No1,94427¢21¢$408−$117$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes44580.7¢87.7¢$390+$31+$454
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,51647.2¢23.5¢$356−$359−$9.07
Will Buffalo Sabres advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Yes1,11525.6¢30.5¢$340+$54$0
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes38076¢88¢$334+$46$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes40780.6¢81.5¢$332+$3.78+$0.29
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes33686¢97.5¢$327+$39$0
Panathinaikos vs. FenerbahcePanathinaikos30866.1¢100¢$308+$105$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No6,88714.1¢4.5¢$306−$666−$21
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,11617.4¢26.5¢$296+$102$0
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?No29096.6¢99.8¢$289+$9.13$0
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes42867.3¢67¢$287−$1.37$0
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes28385.9¢99.5¢$282+$39+$17
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1,23417.1¢22.5¢$278+$67+$11
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-10?No27352.2¢100¢$273+$131−$63
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes29976¢90.5¢$270+$43−$0.37
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes54450.3¢48.6¢$264−$9.78−$249
Kosovo vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreYes89967.2¢29¢$261−$344$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No26390.2¢95.1¢$250+$13+$34
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Yes65729¢37.5¢$246+$56$0
Will AS FAR win on 2026-10-08?Yes24152.3¢100¢$241+$115+$170
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2,18213.2¢11.1¢$241−$47−$9.31
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes40776.9¢59¢$240−$73−$112
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes3,9546.2¢6¢$237−$7.01−$5.34
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes51.9k0.5¢0.5¢$233−$48−$9.96
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes22766.8¢100¢$227+$75+$3.42
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes5,1639¢4.1¢$212−$255−$287
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $750B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?No21184.7¢99.5¢$210+$31$0
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes33059.6¢59.5¢$197−$0.19$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?No19899¢99.2¢$196+$0.30$0
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Low Cortisol - Map 1 WinnerGalorys38852¢50.5¢$196−$5.82$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes2,04811¢9.5¢$195−$31−$26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes53232¢36.5¢$194+$24−$38
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No19896¢97.6¢$194+$3.03$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes2,55113.4¢7.5¢$191−$150−$5.06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,06017.5¢18¢$190+$4.85+$0.39
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No19496.1¢97.9¢$190+$3.34$0
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsAurora Gaming26871¢70.5¢$189−$1.34−$1.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes26671¢70.5¢$188−$1.34−$0.03
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No61320.8¢28.7¢$176+$48−$0.92
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes9,4006.5¢1.9¢$174−$434−$548
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes2,9450.6¢5.9¢$174+$156$0
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes32958.8¢52.5¢$173−$21−$12
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No17978.2¢96.3¢$172+$32$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No19482¢88.5¢$171+$13$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No36849.8¢46.4¢$170−$13−$32
AS Monaco leading at halftime?No33656.6¢50.5¢$170−$21$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesExact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 1 CA Mineiro?14¢7$1.0444%26
SELL YesWill Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-10-08?85.9¢10$8.8944%26
SELL YesWill Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw?16¢7$1.1744%26
BUY OverSantos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.552¢183$9544%26
BUY OverSantos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.594¢30$2944%26
SELL YesExact Score: Clube Náutico Capibaribe 1 - 1 Grêmio Novorizontino?7¢9$0.6144%26
BUY METANOIA WOLVESCounter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs23¢19$4.3844%26
BUY YesExact Score: CA Paranaense 2 - 1 CA Mineiro?10¢29$2.8544%26
BUY Cupid EsportsLoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winner10¢95$9.5244%26
BUY VillainousCounter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs67¢43$2944%26
BUY ThunderThunder vs. Hawks38¢43$1644%26
SELL YesWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 9?0.1¢21$0.0244%26
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET46¢10$4.6744%26
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET59¢79$4744%26
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET47¢18$8.4144%26
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?10.1¢12$1.2144%26
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?2.1¢53$1.1244%26
BUY YesWill Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?24¢23$5.6144%26
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET50¢21$1044%26
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET45.2¢827$37444%26